{"id":45117,"date":"2026-04-21T15:24:49","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T15:24:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/patterson-ve-manthey-makro-sikilasmanin-talebi-zayiflatmasiyla-bakirin-yukselislerin-ardindan-geriledigini-iki-ayin-zirvesine-yakin-seyrettigini-soyluyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-21T15:24:49","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T15:24:49","slug":"patterson-ve-manthey-makro-sikilasmanin-talebi-zayiflatmasiyla-bakirin-yukselislerin-ardindan-geriledigini-iki-ayin-zirvesine-yakin-seyrettigini-soyluyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/patterson-ve-manthey-makro-sikilasmanin-talebi-zayiflatmasiyla-bakirin-yukselislerin-ardindan-geriledigini-iki-ayin-zirvesine-yakin-seyrettigini-soyluyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Patterson ve Manthey, makro s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fman\u0131n talebi zay\u0131flatmas\u0131yla bak\u0131r\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015flerin ard\u0131ndan geriledi\u011fini, iki ay\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n seyretti\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bak\u0131r fiyatlar\u0131 son d\u00f6nemdeki y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan geriledi, ancak h\u00e2l\u00e2 iki ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine yak\u0131n. Sanayi metalleri (\u00fcretimde kullan\u0131lan metaller) talebi, zay\u0131f ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ve daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 (faizlerin y\u00fcksek tutulmas\u0131) nedeniyle bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131 ve kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n kolay d\u00fc\u015fmemesi), para politikas\u0131n\u0131n daha uzun s\u00fcre s\u0131k\u0131 kalmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. Bu durum, sanayi metalleri talebine ili\u015fkin beklentileri zay\u0131flatabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Al\u00fcminyum fiyatlar\u0131, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki arz sorunlar\u0131 (\u00fcretilen ve piyasaya \u00e7\u0131kan miktar\u0131n azalmas\u0131) nedeniyle destekli kal\u0131yor. Uluslararas\u0131 Al\u00fcminyum Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc verilerine g\u00f6re, K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerinde \u00fcretim mart ay\u0131nda g\u00fcnl\u00fck 15.963 tona geriledi; bu, y\u00fczde 6 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda, haberin yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131yla haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve bir edit\u00f6r taraf\u0131ndan kontrol edildi\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bak\u0131r iki ay\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n i\u015flem g\u00f6rse de, k\u00fcresel ekonomik r\u00fczg\u00e2rlar (b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi zay\u0131flatan etkenler) ivmeyi azalt\u0131yor. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f ve enflasyonun inat\u00e7\u0131 seyri, para politikas\u0131n\u0131n beklenenden uzun s\u00fcre s\u0131k\u0131 kalmas\u0131 riskini art\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, sanayi metalleri i\u00e7in gelecekteki talebi bask\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Mart 2026 ABD enflasyon verisi, T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi\u2019nin (T\u00dcFE: t\u00fcketicinin \u00f6dedi\u011fi fiyatlar\u0131n genel \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm\u00fc) y\u00fczde 3,7\u2019de kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi; bu da ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) \u00fczerinde faizleri sabit tutma bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte benzer bir tablo 2024 sonlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f, y\u00fcksek faizler sonraki ilkbaharda imalat sipari\u015flerinde yava\u015flamaya neden olmu\u015ftu. Bu \u00f6rnek, sanayi faaliyeti so\u011fursa mevcut y\u00fcksek bak\u0131r fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 olmayabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu, daha temkinli bir d\u00f6neme ve olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon almaya i\u015faret ediyor. 2026\u2019n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fi i\u00e7in bak\u0131r vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda (gelecek tarihte belirlenen fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse kazand\u0131ran hak) al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 beklenebilir. Bu strateji, k\u00fcresel talebin zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla gelebilecek fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 korunma sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer yandan al\u00fcminyum fiyatlar\u0131, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki s\u00fcren arz kesintileriyle destekleniyor. K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerinde \u00fcretim Mart 2026\u2019da g\u00fcnl\u00fck 15.963 tona d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; bu y\u00fczde 6 gerileme demek. Bu arz sorunu, fiyatlar i\u00e7in bir taban (a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayan destek) olu\u015fturuyor ve al\u00fcminyumu ekonomik bask\u0131lar\u0131n bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnden koruyor.<\/p>\n<p>2025\u2019te Avrupa\u2019da enerji s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n izabe tesislerinde (metal eritilip \u00fcretim yap\u0131lan sanayi tesisleri) \u00fcretimi k\u0131smas\u0131, b\u00f6lgesel arz \u015foklar\u0131n\u0131n (ani \u00fcretim d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerinin) k\u00fcresel fiyatlara uzun s\u00fcre etkili olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6stermi\u015fti. Nisan 2026 tarihli uydu verileri, K\u00f6rfez b\u00f6lgesindeki kritik izabe tesislerinde enerji eri\u015fiminin (elektrik\/do\u011falgaz gibi girdilere ula\u015f\u0131m\u0131n) iyile\u015fmedi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor; bu da \u00fcretimin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k, al\u00fcminyumda arz taraf\u0131n\u0131n belirleyici rol\u00fcn\u00fc koruyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bak\u0131r iki ay\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n kalsa da geri \u00e7ekildi; s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 ve zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm talebi zorluyor. Al\u00fcminyum, K\u00f6rfez\u2019de \u00fcretimde %6 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle arz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 sayesinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45117","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45117","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45117"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45117\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45117"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45117"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45117"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}