{"id":45106,"date":"2026-04-21T13:21:36","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T13:21:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-chf-avrupa-islemlerinde-07800-civarinda-025-yukseldi-07775-fibonacci-seviyesini-savunduktan-sonra-dengelendi\/"},"modified":"2026-04-21T13:21:36","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T13:21:36","slug":"usd-chf-avrupa-islemlerinde-07800-civarinda-025-yukseldi-07775-fibonacci-seviyesini-savunduktan-sonra-dengelendi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-chf-avrupa-islemlerinde-07800-civarinda-025-yukseldi-07775-fibonacci-seviyesini-savunduktan-sonra-dengelendi\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CHF Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 0,7800 civar\u0131nda %0,25 y\u00fckseldi; 0,7775 Fibonacci seviyesini savunduktan sonra dengelendi"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/CHF, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131nda 0,7800 civar\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,25 y\u00fckseliyor. Hareket, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n saat 14:00 GMT\u2019de Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n bir sonraki ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 olarak **Senato onay oturumu** \u00f6ncesinde de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131yla geldi.<\/p>\n

ABD Dolar Endeksi %0,25 art\u0131\u015fla 98,30 civar\u0131nda. Piyasalar, Fed\u2019in faiz politika y\u00f6n\u00fcne dair ipucu i\u00e7in Warsh\u2019\u0131n ifadesini izliyor.<\/p>\n

ABD Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 Odakta<\/h3>\n

Mart ay\u0131 ABD Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 verisi 12:30 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Piyasa beklentisi, \u015eubat\u2019taki %0,6\u2019dan sonra **ayl\u0131k** (bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re) %1,4.<\/p>\n

Wall Street Journal\u2019\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re \u0130ran, ABD ile yeni bir bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi turunu kabul etti. Resmi do\u011frulama yok.<\/p>\n

Y\u00fckseli\u015fe ra\u011fmen k\u0131sa vadeli teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, 0,7866\u2019daki **20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcssel hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (EMA: fiyat\u0131n son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verildi\u011fi ortalama)** ve 0,7826\u2019daki **%50 Fibonacci seviyesinin (fiyat\u0131n olas\u0131 d\u00fczeltme\/d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f alan\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren teknik seviye)** alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece negatif. **14 d\u00f6nem RSI** (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi: fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m durumunu \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 41\u2019e yak\u0131n.<\/p>\n

Destek seviyeleri 0,7775; ard\u0131ndan 0,7701 ve 0,7608. Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 0,7826, 0,7866, 0,7878; ard\u0131ndan 0,7941 ve 0,8044.<\/p>\n

Makro Etkenler ve Kritik \u0130\u015flem Seviyeleri<\/h3>\n

USD\/CHF\u2019nin 0,9150 civar\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyretti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; bu, 2025\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde al\u0131\u015f\u0131k oldu\u011fumuz seviyelere g\u00f6re belirgin bir de\u011fi\u015fim. ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenme genele yay\u0131lm\u0131\u015f durumda; Dolar Endeksi (DXY) 106,00 \u00fczerinde tutunuyor. Bu tablo, parite i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadede yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimi destekliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu dolar y\u00fckseli\u015finin ana nedeni Fed\u2019den gelen mesajlar. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda konu\u015fulan yak\u0131n vadeli faiz indirimi beklentileri zay\u0131flad\u0131; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc son enflasyon verileri y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam ediyor. Fed yetkilileri art\u0131k **\u201cuzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek faiz\u201d** politikas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor; bu da dolara para giri\u015fini destekliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015f, ABD ekonomisinin dayan\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret eden verilerle de destekleniyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin Mart 2026 **Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP: tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerdeki ayl\u0131k istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi)** verisi 295 bin art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi; beklentilerin \u00fczerinde kalarak i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret etti. Bu t\u00fcr g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc veriler, Fed\u2019in yak\u0131nda para politikas\u0131n\u0131 gev\u015fetmesini zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Jeopolitik belirsizlik de etkili. \u00c7in ile ticaret g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimler, piyasada **g\u00fcvenli limana y\u00f6nelimi** art\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu e\u011filim genelde, ba\u015fl\u0131ca **g\u00fcvenli liman para birimi** olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekler.<\/p>\n

**T\u00fcrev piyasada** (vadeli i\u015flemler ve opsiyonlar gibi fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnler) i\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in bu, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn s\u00fcrmesine ancak oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n artmas\u0131na i\u015faret edebilir. **14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI** 70\u2019e yakla\u015farak **a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine** (fiyat\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi\u011fi ve d\u00fczeltme riski ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 alan) gelirken, 0,9250 civar\u0131nda **al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131)** almak, riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayarak ek y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalanmaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir. Alternatif olarak, **\u201cparan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d sat\u0131m opsiyonu (out-of-the-money put: mevcut fiyat\u0131n hayli alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put)** satmak, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklenmedi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle prim geliri sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n

\u0130zlenecek kritik seviyeler: 0,9200\u2019de ilk diren\u00e7; daha \u00f6nce y\u00fckseli\u015fi durdurmu\u015f bir seviye. Bunun \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 hareket, y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen 0,9280 tepesine do\u011fru alan a\u00e7abilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 0,9060 civar\u0131nda **20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama** yak\u0131n\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek olu\u015fuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/CHF 0,7800\u2019de y\u00fckselirken g\u00f6zler Warsh\u2019\u0131n Fed onay oturumunda: DXY g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor, perakende sat\u0131\u015flar bekleniyor. Teknikte 0,7826\/0,7866 alt\u0131 bask\u0131; 0,7775 destek. Uzun vadede Fed \u201cy\u00fcksek faiz\u201d, jeopolitik riskler USD\u2019yi destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45106","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45106","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45106"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45106\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45106"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45106"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45106"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}