{"id":45084,"date":"2026-04-21T07:55:01","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T07:55:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/aud-jpy-avrupa-acilisinda-11395e-yakin-geriledi-temkinli-piyasa-havasi-yeni-destekledi-yukari-yonlu-potansiyel-100-gunluk-ema-uzerinde-korunuyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-21T07:55:01","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T07:55:01","slug":"aud-jpy-avrupa-acilisinda-11395e-yakin-geriledi-temkinli-piyasa-havasi-yeni-destekledi-yukari-yonlu-potansiyel-100-gunluk-ema-uzerinde-korunuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/aud-jpy-avrupa-acilisinda-11395e-yakin-geriledi-temkinli-piyasa-havasi-yeni-destekledi-yukari-yonlu-potansiyel-100-gunluk-ema-uzerinde-korunuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/JPY Avrupa a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131nda 113,95\u2019e yak\u0131n geriledi; temkinli piyasa havas\u0131 yeni destekledi, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyel 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA \u00fczerinde korunuyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

AUD\/JPY, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 113,95 civar\u0131na geriledi. Piyasalar olas\u0131 ABD-\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri \u00f6ncesinde daha temkinli hale gelirken Japon Yeni, Avustralya Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7lendi.<\/p>\n

Bloomberg, ABD Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 JD Vance\u2019in m\u00fczakereleri yeniden ba\u015flatmak i\u00e7in Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ilerleyen saatlerde Pakistan\u2019a gidece\u011fini; g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin Sal\u0131 gecesi veya \u00c7ar\u015famba sabah\u0131 yap\u0131labilece\u011fini yazd\u0131. Vance\u2019e Jared Kushner ile \u00f6zel temsilci (diplomatik g\u00f6revli) Steve Witkoff\u2019un kat\u0131lmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

M\u00fczakereler ve Piyasa Temkini<\/h3>\n

ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ran ile iki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkesi uzatmas\u0131n\u0131n olas\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemesinin ard\u0131ndan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler belirsizli\u011fini korudu. Bu durum, sava\u015f\u0131 bitirecek bir anla\u015fmaya var\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in m\u00fczakereciler \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Piyasalar Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki geli\u015fmeleri ve ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerindeki ilerlemeyi izliyor. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n uzamas\u0131, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00f6neldi\u011fi para birimi) olarak Yen\u2019i destekleyebilir ve AUD\/JPY \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilir.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte fiyat, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Bollinger basit hareketli ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcstel hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (EMA: son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren hareketli ortalama) \u00fczerinde kal\u0131yor. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI-14: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 67,56 seviyesinde; a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine (genelde 70 \u00fcst\u00fc) yak\u0131n. \u00dcst Bollinger band\u0131 (oynakl\u0131k band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131) yukar\u0131 hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Destek, Bollinger orta band\u0131 yak\u0131n\u0131nda 111,75 civar\u0131nda; ard\u0131ndan 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019da 108,51 ve alt Bollinger band\u0131nda 108,41 seviyelerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Diren\u00e7, \u00fcst bantta 115,10 civar\u0131nda.<\/p>\n

Kritik Seviyeler ve Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n

2025\u2019teki g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, AUD\/JPY paritesi olas\u0131 ABD-\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri nedeniyle belirsizlik ya\u015f\u0131yordu. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n uzad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair i\u015faretler, Yen\u2019in g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine zemin haz\u0131rl\u0131yordu. \u0130zlenen teknik seviyelerde 108,51\u2019deki EMA destek, 115,10 ise y\u00fckseli\u015fin teyidi i\u00e7in kritik seviye olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yordu (k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi).<\/p>\n

Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin sonunda k\u0131r\u0131lgan bir tansiyon d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ya\u015fand\u0131. Bu durum, Yen\u2019in \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d talebini ge\u00e7ici olarak azalt\u0131rken, ta\u015f\u0131ma i\u015flemi (carry trade: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizli para biriminde bor\u00e7lan\u0131p y\u00fcksek faizli para birimine yat\u0131r\u0131m yapma) yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 yeniden piyasaya \u00e7ekti. B\u00f6ylece parite 115,10 direncinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonlar\u0131na do\u011fru 118,50 civar\u0131nda zirve yapt\u0131. 2025\u2019te olu\u015fan y\u00fckseli\u015f havas\u0131 bir s\u00fcre ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcn ana belirleyici, jeopolitik riskten \u00e7ok iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fck faiz fark\u0131. Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131, enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizi %4,5\u2019te tutuyor; enflasyon %3,8 seviyesinde. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131, politika faizini Ocak ay\u0131nda yaln\u0131zca %0,1\u2019e yeni y\u00fckseltti.<\/p>\n

400 baz puan\u0131n (bp: y\u00fczde 1\u2019in 100\u2019de biri, yani 0,01) \u00fczerindeki bu faiz fark\u0131, \u201cpozitif ta\u015f\u0131ma\u201d (positive carry: faiz fark\u0131ndan elde edilen getiri) nedeniyle AUD\/JPY\u2019de uzun pozisyonu (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisiyle al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015flem) cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, jeopolitik tansiyonun yeniden artmas\u0131 halinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n riskini s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in opsiyonlar\u0131 (opsiyon: belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) de\u011ferlendirebilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin al\u0131m opsiyonu (call) almak veya sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put) satmak. Demir cevheri fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ton ba\u015f\u0131na 110 dolar civar\u0131nda istikrarl\u0131 seyretmesi, Avustralya Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in temel (makro\/emtia kaynakl\u0131) destek sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jeopolitik man\u015fetler AUD\/JPY\u2019de havay\u0131 bozdu: Parite 113,95\u2019e \u00e7ekilirken g\u00fcvenli liman Yen g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. G\u00f6zler ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde; teknik e\u015fikler 111,75 destek, 115,10 diren\u00e7.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45084","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45084","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45084"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45084\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45084"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45084"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45084"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}