{"id":45082,"date":"2026-04-21T07:23:59","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T07:23:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-iran-baris-gorusmeleri-oncesinde-piyasa-tedirginligi-abd-dolarini-yukseltti-aud-usd-asya-islemlerinde-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-04-21T07:23:59","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T07:23:59","slug":"abd-iran-baris-gorusmeleri-oncesinde-piyasa-tedirginligi-abd-dolarini-yukseltti-aud-usd-asya-islemlerinde-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-iran-baris-gorusmeleri-oncesinde-piyasa-tedirginligi-abd-dolarini-yukseltti-aud-usd-asya-islemlerinde-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD-\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri \u00f6ncesinde piyasa tedirginli\u011fi ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltti, AUD\/USD Asya i\u015flemlerinde geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD, pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc 0,7115\u2019teki (son \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcn\u00fcn en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi) toparlanman\u0131n \u00fczerine koyamad\u0131 ve sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geriledi. Parite 0,7165 civar\u0131nda, %0,15 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve ge\u00e7en cuma g\u00f6r\u00fclen Haziran 2022\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeye yak\u0131n kald\u0131. <\/p>\n

Piyasa y\u00f6n\u00fc, ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 kalmaya devam etti. Pakistan\u2019daki ikinci tur bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri \u00f6ncesinde H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresindeki gerilimler de yak\u0131ndan izleniyor. Bu temkinli hava ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 desteklerken, ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. Bu da Dolar\u2019a destek verirken AUD\/USD \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131. <\/p>\n

Fed Ve RBA Politika Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131<\/h3>\n

Ancak ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f, piyasalar\u0131n ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisini azaltmas\u0131yla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. Piyasa fiyatlamas\u0131 (i\u015flemlere yans\u0131yan beklentiler), y\u0131l sonuna kadar Fed\u2019in faiz indirimine gitme ihtimalini yakla\u015f\u0131k %45-50 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda g\u00f6steriyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) daha s\u0131k\u0131 bir duru\u015f (faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma e\u011filimi) sergiledi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. <\/p>\n

RBA Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Andrew Hauser, bankan\u0131n orta vadeli enflasyon beklentilerinin (halk\u0131n ve \u015firketlerin ileride enflasyonun ne olaca\u011f\u0131na dair tahmini) y\u00fckselmesini engellemeye odakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Piyasalar may\u0131sta 25 baz puanl\u0131k (0,25 y\u00fczde puan) faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini %65 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor ve faizin 2026 ortas\u0131nda 4,85 ile zirve yapabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. <\/p>\n

AUD\/USD\u2019nin Haziran 2022\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesine yak\u0131n, 0,7165 civar\u0131nda tutunmas\u0131 dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 olsa da sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerde al\u0131m\u0131n devreye girdi\u011fi (destek buldu\u011fu) g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc; son olarak 0,7115 seviyesi buna \u00f6rnek. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, g\u00fcnl\u00fck dalgalanmalara ra\u011fmen paritede alttan gelen bir g\u00fc\u00e7 (al\u0131c\u0131l\u0131 e\u011filim) oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. <\/p>\n

Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekleyen ana unsur, RBA\u2019n\u0131n enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 sert tutumu. Avustralya\u2019da 1. \u00e7eyrek T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, yani enflasyon \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm\u00fc) verisi enflasyonun %3,6 ile y\u00fcksek seyretti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu nedenle piyasa, gelecek ay faizin 4,60\u2019a y\u00fckseltilmesi ihtimalini %65 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD\u2019de \u00e7ekirdek PCE (Core PCE: Fed\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi, g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemleri d\u0131\u015flayan enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) %2,8\u2019e geriledi. Bu da y\u0131l sonuna kadar Fed faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. <\/p>\n

Jeopolitik Risk Ve Petrol Kaynakl\u0131 Dalgalanma<\/h3>\n

Buna kar\u015f\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki gerilim ve bunun ham petrol \u00fczerindeki etkisi paritedeki y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fcksek seyrediyor ve varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu durum k\u00fcresel enflasyon endi\u015felerini yeniden canland\u0131r\u0131rken, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda talep g\u00f6ren varl\u0131k) olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekliyor. 2022\u2019de de enerji fiyatlar\u0131, jeopolitik geli\u015fmelerle birlikte sert ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmesi zor hareketler \u00fcretmi\u015fti. <\/p>\n

Bu \u00e7eki\u015fme ortam\u0131nda, kademeli y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalan\u0131rken y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131ktan (fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve geni\u015f aral\u0131kta hareket etmesi) kaynakl\u0131 riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayan stratejiler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir. \u201cBull call spread\u201d (y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisine y\u00f6nelik, bir al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 ba\u015fka bir al\u0131m opsiyonu satarak maliyeti ve riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayan strateji) bu a\u00e7\u0131dan kullan\u0131labilir. Bu y\u00f6ntem, jeopolitik belirsizlik nedeniyle pahal\u0131la\u015fan opsiyon primlerinin (opsiyonu sat\u0131n alma bedeli) etkisini azaltmaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD 0,7165\u2019te: RBA \u015fahinli\u011fi pariteyi ayakta tutarken Fed\u2019indirim beklentisi dolar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Ancak H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimi ve 85$ petrol, g\u00fcvenli liman dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyip y\u00fckseli\u015fi t\u00f6rp\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45082","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45082","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45082"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45082\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45082"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45082"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45082"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}