USD\/SGD, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ko\u015fullu olarak yeniden a\u00e7\u0131labilece\u011fine dair haberlerin ard\u0131ndan ge\u00e7en cuma 1,2667\u2019ye geriledi. Hafta sonu \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bo\u011faz\u0131 yeniden kapatmas\u0131yla birlikte parite, haftan\u0131n ilk i\u015flemlerinde sert \u015fekilde toparland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Piyasa oda\u011f\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 24\u201348 saatte anla\u015fma sa\u011flan\u0131p sa\u011flanmayaca\u011f\u0131na ya da asker\u00ee gerilimin t\u0131rman\u0131p t\u0131rmanmayaca\u011f\u0131na \u00e7evrilmi\u015f durumda. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi (ay\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum) s\u00fcrse de bu bask\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131flamaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair ilk i\u015faretler g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m durumunu g\u00f6steren teknik g\u00f6sterge) a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine yak\u0131n seviyelerden yukar\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fcyor. Destek 1,2700 ve 1,2670\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; 1,2670 seviyesi %76,4 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesine (fiyat\u0131n olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilme noktalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7mek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lan oran) denk geliyor.<\/p>\n
Diren\u00e7 1,2750\/60 b\u00f6lgesinde; bu b\u00f6lge 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama (son 50 g\u00fcn fiyat ortalamas\u0131) ve %50 Fibonacci seviyesine ba\u011fl\u0131. Di\u011fer diren\u00e7ler 1,2800 (21 ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamalar ile 2026 dipten tepeye hareketin %38,2 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesi) ve 1,2850 (200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama ve %23,6 Fibonacci seviyesi) olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Genel piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131 zaten de\u011fi\u015fmi\u015f durumda. VIX (piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 endeksi; \u201ckorku g\u00f6stergesi\u201d olarak bilinir) son i\u015flemlerde 25\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu \u201criskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d ortam\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p daha g\u00fcvenli ara\u00e7lara y\u00f6nelmesi) genelde ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekler; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar likidite (h\u0131zl\u0131 nakde \u00e7evrilebilme) ve g\u00fcvenlik arar. Singapur a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu d\u0131\u015f \u015fok, Singapur Para Otoritesi\u2019nin enflasyon ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme dengesini y\u00f6netmesini zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131ma yak\u0131n seviyelerden gelen tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi, USD\/SGD\u2019de \u00f6nceki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filiminin yorulmu\u015f olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu durum, gerilimin artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler i\u00e7in al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) daha cazip k\u0131labilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (opsiyon fiyatlamas\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) y\u00fckselmesi opsiyon primlerini (opsiyonun maliyeti) art\u0131r\u0131r. \u0130zlenecek kilit diren\u00e7ler 1,2760 ve daha kritik olan 1,2800 b\u00f6lgesi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 48 saatte net bir \u201ciki se\u00e7enekli\u201d (sonu\u00e7lardan biri ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor) g\u00fcndemle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Diplomatik bir ilerleme, pariteyi tekrar 1,2670 deste\u011fine do\u011fru itebilir ve sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu (belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) ta\u015f\u0131yanlar\u0131 destekleyebilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, asker\u00ee harek\u00e2ta dair bir sinyal pariteyi k\u0131sa vadeli direncin \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yarak 1,2850 hedefini g\u00fcndeme getirebilir.<\/p>\n
Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" H\u00fcrm\u00fcz haberiyle USD\/SGD 1,2667\u2019ye indi, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n kapatmas\u0131yla sert toparlad\u0131. 48 saatte anla\u015fma ya da gerilim fiyatlanacak. RSI d\u00f6n\u00fcyor; 1,2670 destek, 1,2800-1,2850 diren\u00e7. VIX 25+; opsiyonlar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45064","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45064","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45064"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45064\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45064"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45064"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45064"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}