Devon Energy Corporation, petrol ve do\u011fal gaz arar ve \u00fcretir; a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak Permiyen Havzas\u0131\u2019nda (ABD\u2019de Teksas-New Mexico b\u00f6lgesinde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir kaya petrol\u00fc\/do\u011fal gaz sahas\u0131) ve ABD\u2019deki di\u011fer kara (onshore) sahalar\u0131nda faaliyet g\u00f6sterir.<\/p>\n
Mart 2023\u2019ten itibaren DVN, d\u00fc\u015fen paralel kanal (fiyat\u0131n iki paralel \u00e7izgi aras\u0131nda kademeli olarak geriledi\u011fi teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm) i\u00e7inde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket etti. \u015eubat 2026\u2019da bu kanal\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak (k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m) birka\u00e7 y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendini sonland\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc fiyat geri \u00e7ekilerek k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 test etti (fiyat\u0131n k\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviyeye geri d\u00f6n\u00fcp o seviyenin destek olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 denemesi). 41,92 dolardaki k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m sonras\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma\/konsolidasyon b\u00f6lgesinin (fiyat\u0131n bir s\u00fcre dar bantta yatay hareket etti\u011fi alan) alt s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na kadar indi, ard\u0131ndan bug\u00fcn yeniden y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
H\u0131z (momentum: fiyat\u0131n belirli y\u00f6nde devam etme g\u00fcc\u00fc) zay\u0131flarsa, k\u0131r\u0131lan kanal\u0131n \u00fcst \u00e7izgisi olan 40,36 dolar izlenmesi gereken kritik seviye. 38,00 dolar civar\u0131nda ise yukar\u0131 e\u011fimli trend \u00e7izgisinin (dipleri birle\u015ftiren destek \u00e7izgisi) i\u015faret etti\u011fi ek bir destek bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
Yukar\u0131da 48,59 dolar diren\u00e7 (fiyat\u0131n zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) konumunda. G\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n 48,59 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde olmas\u0131, Nisan 2024\u2019teki zirve\/d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131 olan 51,99 dolar\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirir; bunun \u00fczerinde ise 58,81 dolar b\u00f6lgesi bir sonraki diren\u00e7.<\/p>\n
Testin ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmas\u0131yla birlikte, bunu \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket i\u00e7in bir pozisyonlanma sinyali olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. 41,92 dolardaki deste\u011fin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli bir fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) taraf\u0131nda al\u0131m d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Yak\u0131n hedef, hissenin 48,59 dolardaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc direnci a\u015fmas\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, enerji piyasas\u0131ndaki genel tabloyla da destekleniyor. WTI ham petrol vadeli kontratlar\u0131 (WTI crude futures: ileri bir tarihte belirli fiyattan petrol al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi), EIA raporunun (ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi verileri) ge\u00e7en hafta 2,7 milyon varillik beklenmedik stok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc (inventory draw: stoklar\u0131n azalmas\u0131) g\u00f6stermesinin ard\u0131ndan yeniden varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu temel destek, ABD\u2019li \u00fcreticiler i\u00e7in olumlu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Fiyat hareketi, piyasan\u0131n 2025 boyunca sekt\u00f6r\u00fc bask\u0131layan arz endi\u015felerinin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Spesifik i\u015flem fikri olarak, kritik direncin biraz \u00fczerinde kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun hak kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131) al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131na bak\u0131yoruz; \u00f6rne\u011fin Haziran veya Temmuz 2026 vadeli 50 dolar kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131. Bu, hissenin Nisan 2024 zirvesi olan 51,99 dolar\u0131 test etmesi i\u00e7in zaman tan\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019i (bull call spread: bir call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 ba\u015fka bir call satmak; maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr, riski\/azami kazanc\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar) da kullan\u0131labilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin 47,50 call al\u0131p 52,50 call satmak, riski netle\u015ftirir ve pe\u015fin maliyeti azalt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Bu i\u015flemde riskin de net tan\u0131mlanmas\u0131 gerekir; teknik yap\u0131y\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlemek \u015fart. 40,36 dolardaki eski kanal \u00fcst \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f, k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z oldu\u011funa i\u015faret eder. Bu durumda, y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar\u0131 kapatmak ya da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 harekete kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almak de\u011ferlendirilebilir; bir sonraki destek 38,00 dolar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
DVN\u2019de y\u0131llar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131: 41,92$ deste\u011fi \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken 48,59$ direnci radar. \u00dcst\u00fcnde 51,99$\u201358,81$ yolu a\u00e7\u0131labilir; 40,36$ alt\u0131 kapan\u0131\u015fta senaryo bozulur.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45063","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45063","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45063"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45063\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45063"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45063"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45063"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}