Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD) pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir fiyat bo\u015flu\u011fu (*gap*: a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fta fiyat\u0131n \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015fa g\u00f6re arada i\u015flem g\u00f6rmeden daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131dan ba\u015flamas\u0131) ile a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra yatay seyre ge\u00e7ti. Asya i\u015flemlerinde g\u00fcn i\u00e7i en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye yakla\u015f\u0131k 4.737 dolar olurken, fiyat 4.800 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli yeniden a\u00e7man\u0131n ard\u0131ndan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 fiilen tekrar kapatmas\u0131yla b\u00f6lgedeki gerilim y\u00fcksek kald\u0131. \u0130ran, ABD\u2019nin limanlar\u0131na uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131 (gemilerin giri\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 engelleme) mevcut ate\u015fkes \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131n ihlali olarak g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n
ABD Donanmas\u0131 Umman K\u00f6rfezi\u2019nde bir \u0130ran kargo gemisini durdurup gemiye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve arama yapt\u0131; \u0130ran misilleme tehdidinde bulundu. \u0130ki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkesin \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc sona ermesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, ate\u015fkesi uzatmas\u0131n\u0131n \u201cson derece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ihtimal\u201d oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi ve \u201cAnla\u015fma imzalanana kadar H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 a\u00e7mayaca\u011f\u0131z\u201d dedi. Ayr\u0131ca anla\u015fma olmazsa ABD\u2019nin \u201c\u0130ran\u2019daki her bir elektrik santralini ve her bir k\u00f6pr\u00fcy\u00fc devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d yazd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Reuters\u2019\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re \u00fcst d\u00fczey bir \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkili, Pakistan\u2019\u0131n ablukay\u0131 bitirmeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmak ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 desteklemek i\u00e7in \u201columlu \u00e7abalar\u201d g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenme, enflasyon riskini (genel fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) g\u00fcndemde tutuyor ve daha uzun s\u00fcre s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131 (faizlerin y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131) destekleyebilir.<\/p>\n
ABD taraf\u0131nda perakende sat\u0131\u015flar (hanehalk\u0131 harcamas\u0131na i\u015faret eden veri) ve \u00f6nc\u00fc S&P Global PMI anketleri (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fcme\/daralma e\u011filimini g\u00f6sterir) izlenecek. Ayr\u0131ca sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n Fed Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 onay\u0131 i\u00e7in Senato oturumu yap\u0131lacak. 4 saatlik grafikte 200 periyot SMA (basit hareketli ortalama; belli d\u00f6nem fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131) 4.794 dolar, 100 periyot SMA 4.706 dolar; RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 50,24 ve ADX (trend g\u00fcc\u00fc g\u00f6stergesi) 14,47 seviyesinde. Diren\u00e7 4.890 ve 5.000 dolar civar\u0131nda. Merkez bankalar\u0131 2022\u2019de yakla\u015f\u0131k 70 milyar dolar de\u011ferinde 1.136 ton alt\u0131n ekledi.<\/p>\n
Diplomasi sonu\u00e7 vermez ve gerilim artarsa, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden kapanmas\u0131 g\u00fcvenli limana ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131 (riskli varl\u0131klardan g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelim) tetikleyen ana unsur olur. D\u00fcnya g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol t\u00fcketiminin yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019si bu bo\u011fazdan ge\u00e7iyor. Brent petrol varil fiyat\u0131 115 dolar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015fken, uzun s\u00fcreli kapanma enflasyon endi\u015felerini b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcr ve alt\u0131na talebi art\u0131r\u0131r. Bu senaryoda 5.000 dolar gibi psikolojik seviyeye do\u011fru sert harekete y\u00f6nelik al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (*call*: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k s\u00fcrpriz bir diplomatik ilerleme ya da ate\u015fkesin uzat\u0131lmas\u0131, alt\u0131n\u0131n jeopolitik risk primini (belirsizlik nedeniyle fiyata eklenen pay) azaltarak fiyat\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n, bu haftaki Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n Fed Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 oturumu ile g\u00fc\u00e7lenebilir; Warsh\u2019\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015fte daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede faiz art\u0131rmaya yatk\u0131n) duru\u015fu, \u201cuzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek faiz\u201d politikas\u0131n\u0131 destekleyerek faiz getirisi olmayan (kupon\/faiz \u00f6demeyen) alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilir. Bu senaryoda sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (*put*: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) 4.700 dolar destek b\u00f6lgesine geri \u00e7ekilme ihtimaline kar\u015f\u0131 kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
\u0130\u015flem taraf\u0131nda, 4.794 dolar civar\u0131ndaki 200 periyot hareketli ortalama kritik e\u015fik. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma (g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7i\u015f) sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir; seviyenin korunmas\u0131 ise 4.890 dolardaki ge\u00e7en haftan\u0131n zirvesini yeniden test etme zemini olu\u015fturur. Bu teknik seviyeler, haftan\u0131n jeopolitik ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131na g\u00f6re pozisyon a\u00e7ma ve y\u00f6netmede tetik noktas\u0131 olarak izleniyor.<\/p>\n
VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015fleme ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Alt\u0131nda gap\u2019li a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f sonras\u0131 yatay seyir: H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimi ve \u00e7ar\u015famba bitecek ate\u015fkes piyasay\u0131 kilitledi. Trump uzatmaya so\u011fuk, petrol-enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 4.794 kritik; 5.000\/4.700 senaryolar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45047","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45047","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45047"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45047\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45047"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45047"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45047"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}