EUR\/USD, g\u00fcn\u00fcn erken saatlerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan toparlanarak 1,1730\u2019un alt\u0131na indikten sonra yeniden 1,1760 civar\u0131na d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Y\u00fckseli\u015fler 1,1770 alt\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131; bu b\u00f6lge ge\u00e7en haftan\u0131n sonundaki diplerle \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
ABD makamlar\u0131n\u0131n bir \u0130ran gemisine el koymas\u0131 ve ate\u015fkesin kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair \u015f\u00fcphelerin artmas\u0131 sonras\u0131 piyasa havas\u0131 temkinli kald\u0131. \u0130ran d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, Tahran\u2019\u0131n gelecek sal\u0131 ba\u015flamas\u0131 planlanan ikinci tur bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine kat\u0131lmayabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Avrupa\u2019da Almanya \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (\u00dcFE; fabrikadan \u00e7\u0131kan \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimini g\u00f6steren ve enflasyona \u00f6nc\u00fc sinyal say\u0131lan veri) martta ayl\u0131k %2,5 artt\u0131. Bu, A\u011fustos 2022\u2019den bu yana en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc art\u0131\u015f. Veri, ge\u00e7en hafta baz\u0131 AB \u00fclkelerinde daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc toptan fiyatlar ve daha y\u00fcksek t\u00fcketici enflasyonunun ard\u0131ndan geldi; bu da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) faiz art\u0131rabilece\u011fi beklentilerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.<\/p>\n
EUR\/USD 1,1750\u2019nin hemen \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; daha \u00f6nce \u201cdestek\u201d olan 1,1770 b\u00f6lgesi (fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015ferken tutunabildi\u011fi seviye) art\u0131k \u201cdiren\u00e7\u201d gibi \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor (y\u00fckseli\u015fin zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye). 4 saatlik grafikte RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131\/ivmesini g\u00f6steren ve genelde 50 \u00e7evresi n\u00f6tr kabul edilen g\u00f6sterge) 50 civar\u0131na geriledi, MACD histogram\u0131 (hareketli ortalamalara dayal\u0131 trend\/ivme g\u00f6stergesi; negatif olmas\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret eder) negatif kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Destek 1,1720\u20131,1740 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda korunurken, sonraki seviyeler 1,1680 (13 Nisan dibi) ve 1,1660 (mart sonu trend \u00e7izgisi). Diren\u00e7 1,1770\u2019te; ard\u0131ndan 1,1825 (16 Nisan zirvesi) ve 1,1850.<\/p>\n
Bu ortamda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in 1,0750\u2019deki kritik deste\u011fin alt\u0131ndaki bir \u201ckullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na\u201d (strike; opsiyonun devreye girdi\u011fi sabit fiyat) sahip EUR\/USD \u201cput\u201d opsiyonu (paritenin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden k\u00e2r etmeyi hedefleyen opsiyon t\u00fcr\u00fc) almak de\u011ferlendirilebilecek bir strateji. Deutsche Bank D\u00f6viz Oynakl\u0131k Endeksi (kurda beklenen dalgalanmay\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm) bu ay %12 y\u00fckseldi; bu, opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n daha b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketleri fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelir. Euro daha da zay\u0131flarsa bu i\u015flem k\u00e2rl\u0131 olabilir. 1,1680 seviyesini izledi\u011fimiz ge\u00e7en nisan benzeri \u015fekilde, bu deste\u011fin net bi\u00e7imde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131p k\u0131r\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 takip ediliyor.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zla tersine \u00e7evirebilece\u011fi i\u00e7in temkinli olmak gerekir. Opsiyon \u201cspread\u201dleri (ayn\u0131 varl\u0131kta farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131\/vadeli opsiyonlar\u0131 birlikte al\u0131p satarak riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayan yap\u0131) bu oynak ortamda riski tan\u0131mlamaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir. 2024 sonundaki piyasa d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, olumlu haber geldi\u011finde g\u00fcvenli liman varl\u0131klar\u0131ndan (krizde talep g\u00f6ren varl\u0131klar) sermayenin ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kabildi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
EUR\/USD, 1,1770 alt\u0131nda soluklan\u0131rken jeopolitik riskler ve Almanya \u00dcFE\u2019si ECB faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisini k\u00f6r\u00fckl\u00fcyor. Teknikte 1,1720\u20131,1740 destek, 1,1680 kritik; artan oynakl\u0131k put\/spread stratejilerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45019","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45019","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45019"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45019\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45019"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45019"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45019"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}