AUD\/USD, 0,7220\u2019ye kadar y\u00fckseldikten sonra sert \u015fekilde geriledi ve g\u00fcn\u00fc neredeyse de\u011fi\u015fmeden 0,7167\u2019de (+%0,08) kapatt\u0131. Ard\u0131ndan bir sonraki piyasa a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131nda yeniden d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Son d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131\u201d oldu\u011fu (piyasan\u0131n tepkiyi abartt\u0131\u011f\u0131) belirtiliyor, ancak geri \u00e7ekilme s\u00fcrebilir. Ek zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 0,7100\u20130,7180 band\u0131 (fiyat\u0131n gidip geldi\u011fi aral\u0131k) i\u00e7inde kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
0,7100 seviyesinin net \u015fekilde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 (fiyat\u0131n bu seviyenin alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 ge\u00e7mesi) beklenmiyor. 0,7085\u2019teki destek seviyesi (al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n gelme e\u011filiminde oldu\u011fu b\u00f6lge) hen\u00fcz a\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivme (y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc) b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde zay\u0131flad\u0131. Daha geni\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, 0,7060 ile 0,7210 aras\u0131nda yatay seyir (belirgin trend olmadan bant i\u00e7inde hareket) olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Makale, bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131 deste\u011fiyle haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bir edit\u00f6r taraf\u0131ndan incelendi\u011fini belirtiyor.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn benzer bir tablo, 0,6550 seviyesi \u00e7evresindeki farkl\u0131 fiyatlarda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA) bu ay faizleri %4,35\u2019te sabit tutarken, ABD enflasyon verisi (fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131) %3,5 ile beklentinin biraz \u00fczerinde geldi. Bu durum, merkez bankalar\u0131 aras\u0131nda \u201c\u00e7eki\u015fme\u201d (faiz politikalar\u0131n\u0131n birbirini dengelemesi) yarat\u0131yor ve net bir y\u00f6n olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 engelliyor.<\/p>\n
Bu karars\u0131zl\u0131k emtia piyasalar\u0131nda da g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor: Demir cevheri fiyat\u0131, y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndaki sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan ton ba\u015f\u0131na 110 dolar civar\u0131nda dengelendi. \u00c7in verileri kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k ama k\u00f6t\u00fc de\u011fil; bu nedenle Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yacak b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tetikleyici (piyasay\u0131 harekete ge\u00e7iren ana neden) yok. Bu da AUD\/USD opsiyonlar\u0131nda z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) iki ay\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcrenin en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine inmesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu ortamda paritenin yak\u0131n vadede 0,6480\u20130,6620 band\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Band\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcne do\u011fru y\u00fckseli\u015fler muhtemelen h\u0131z kesecek, alt banda do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmelerde ise al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n gelmesi olas\u0131. T\u00fcrev i\u015flem (vadesi olan, fiyat\u0131 dayanak varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnler) yapanlar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda iki y\u00f6nde de b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131r\u0131lma beklememesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
Bu ko\u015fullar, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oynakl\u0131k ve yatay harekete dayal\u0131 stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Opsiyon primi sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 (opsiyon satarak prim geliri elde etmek) baz\u0131 yap\u0131larda etkili olabilir: \u00d6rne\u011fin iron condor (belirli bir bantta kalaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131yla kurulan, hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n birlikte kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli yap\u0131) veya short strangle (farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131nda al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu satarak bant i\u00e7i kalmaya oynayan, riskleri daha y\u00fcksek olabilen yap\u0131). Bu pozisyonlar, zaman de\u011ferinin erimesinden (vade yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a opsiyonun zaman kaynakl\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131) ve paritenin beklenen s\u0131n\u0131rlar i\u00e7inde kalmas\u0131ndan yararlan\u0131r.<\/p>\n
VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>\u00a0. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" AUD\/USD 0,7220\u2019yi g\u00f6rd\u00fc, sert geri \u00e7ekilerek 0,7167\u2019de kapatt\u0131; piyasa \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131\u201d tepki vermi\u015f olabilir. 0,7100\u20130,7180 band\u0131 izleniyor. RBA\u2013ABD enflasyonu \u00e7eki\u015fmesi y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor; oynakl\u0131k dipte.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45007","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45007","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45007"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45007\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45007"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45007"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45007"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}