AUD\/USD, pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya seans\u0131n\u0131n erken saatlerinde g\u00f6r\u00fclen 0,7132 dip seviyesinden toparlanarak 0,7150 civar\u0131na y\u00fckseldi. Hareketin arkas\u0131nda, \u0130ran ile ABD aras\u0131nda H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda artan gerilim vard\u0131.<\/p>\n
Parite, ge\u00e7en haftan\u0131n sonlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen 0,7200 b\u00f6lgesinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. ABD ve \u0130ran, sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Pakistan\u2019da yap\u0131lmas\u0131 planlanan ikinci tur bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri \u00f6ncesinde kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarla tansiyonu y\u00fckseltti.<\/p>\n
Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc gerilim t\u0131rmand\u0131. ABD ordusu, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 kapatmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ileri s\u00fcr\u00fclen bir \u0130ran kargo gemisine el koydu. \u0130ran misilleme yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi ve ABD\u2019nin ate\u015fkes ihlallerini gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6stererek Pakistan\u2019a heyet g\u00f6ndermeyebilece\u011fi mesaj\u0131n\u0131 verdi.<\/p>\n
Ate\u015fkesin \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc sona ermesi bekleniyor. ABD Dolar\u0131, ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda bir miktar toparland\u0131; ancak y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
UOB Bank, AUD\/USD i\u00e7in yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir e\u011filime (yani k\u0131sa vadede y\u00fckseli\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131na) i\u015faret ederek 0,7085 seviyesini destek (fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015ferken tutunmaya e\u011filim g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi seviye) olarak belirtti. Banka, 0,7085 korunursa paritenin 0,7190 \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015f yapabilece\u011fini ifade etti.<\/p>\n
Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc veri takvimi sakin; bu nedenle Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 ana belirleyici olacak. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar verisi ile Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n Senato\u2019daki konu\u015fmas\u0131 izlenecek. Avustralya\u2019da ise \u00f6nc\u00fc (erken sinyal veren) nitelikteki nisan PMI verisi per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc erken saatlerde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak.<\/p>\n
20 Nisan 2026 itibar\u0131yla benzer bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor: \u00c7in-ABD aras\u0131ndaki son ticaret s\u00fcrt\u00fc\u015fmeleri nedeniyle Avustralya Dolar\u0131 0,6550\u2019ye kadar geriledi. 2025\u2019ten \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lacak temel sonu\u00e7, as\u0131l ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn bozulup bozulmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kontrol etmek. Son Avustralya istihdam verisi 65 bin ki\u015filik art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stererek tahminleri belirgin \u015fekilde a\u015ft\u0131; bu da i\u00e7 ekonominin h\u00e2l\u00e2 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, olas\u0131 bir toparlanmadan yararlan\u0131rken riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayan y\u00f6ntemleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin, 0,6600 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (opsiyonun devreye girdi\u011fi seviye) k\u0131sa vadeli AUD\/USD al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: parite y\u00fckselirse kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon) almak, gerilim azal\u0131rsa yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketten faydalanman\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli bir yolu olabilir. Bu y\u00f6ntemde azami zarar, opsiyona \u00f6denen primle (opsiyonun bedeli) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca bu hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanacak \u00f6nc\u00fc ABD GSYH verisi (GDP: ekonominin toplam \u00fcretimini g\u00f6steren b\u00fcy\u00fcme verisi) ve Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izleniyor. ABD ekonomisinde yava\u015flama sinyali g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken RBA \u201c\u015fahin\u201d kal\u0131rsa (faizleri y\u00fcksek tutmaya\/ art\u0131rmaya daha yatk\u0131n duru\u015f), bu durum Avustralya Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in destekleyici olabilir. Daha temkinli bir y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisini ifade etmenin bir di\u011fer yolu da \u201czarar durdurma\u201d amac\u0131yla a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6ndeki riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayan, fiyat\u0131n uzakta kalan seviyelerinde kurgulanan put spread stratejileridir (put: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon; spread: birden fazla opsiyonla getiriyi ve riski belirli bantta \u015fekillendiren yap\u0131).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimi AUD\/USD\u2019yi dipten kald\u0131rd\u0131: 0,7132\u2019den 0,7150\u2019ye toparland\u0131, 0,7200 alt\u0131nda. UOB 0,7085 deste\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. G\u00fcndem Orta Do\u011fu, ABD verileri, RBA tutanaklar\u0131. Opsiyonla risk s\u0131n\u0131rlanabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45006","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45006","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45006"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45006\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45006"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45006"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45006"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}