G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, Pazartesi Asya i\u015flemlerinde ons ba\u015f\u0131na 80,50 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131 ancak h\u00e2l\u00e2 ekside kald\u0131. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresindeki gerilim petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltti; bu da enflasyon (genel fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) endi\u015felerini art\u0131rarak merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faizi daha da y\u00fckseltme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.<\/p>\n
Bloomberg\u2019e g\u00f6re \u0130ran ordusu, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a ait ticari bir gemiye ate\u015f a\u00e7arak ate\u015fkesi ihlal etti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ran, \u201cdeniz sald\u0131rganl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d olarak niteledi\u011fi eyleme \u201cyak\u0131n zamanda\u201d kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Umman K\u00f6rfezi\u2019nde \u0130ran bayrakl\u0131 bir y\u00fck gemisine ABD Donanmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ate\u015f a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve gemiye el koydu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Trump, geminin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019den ayr\u0131l\u0131rken dur ihtar\u0131na uymad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran devlet medyas\u0131 IRNA, \u201cger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olmayan beklentiler\u201d gerek\u00e7esiyle Tahran\u2019\u0131n ABD\u2019li yetkililerle g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere yeniden ba\u015flamay\u0131 reddetti\u011fini bildirdi. Trump ise ABD\u2019li yetkililerin Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ran\u2019la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler i\u00e7in \u0130slamabad\u2019a gidece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc bo\u011faz\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine duyurdu; ancak Cumartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ablukay\u0131 kald\u0131rmay\u0131 reddetmesinin ard\u0131ndan bu a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 geri \u00e7ekti. Trump ayr\u0131ca \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bo\u011faz\u0131 yeniden kapatma karar\u0131n\u0131 ele\u015ftirdi ve elektrik santralleri ile k\u00f6pr\u00fcler dahil \u0130ran altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 hedef alma tehditlerini yineledi.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn 80,50 dolar seviyesindeki g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc karma\u015f\u0131k. Jeopolitik belirsizlik normalde \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d varl\u0131klara talebi art\u0131rsa da, petrol kaynakl\u0131 enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) daha sert faiz art\u0131rabilece\u011fi endi\u015fesi \u015fu a\u015famada a\u011f\u0131r bas\u0131yor. Daha y\u00fcksek faiz beklentisi dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirirken, faiz getirisi olmayan g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. 2022\u2019de de benzer \u015fekilde Fed\u2019in ilk agresif art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131, y\u00fcksek enflasyona ra\u011fmen de\u011ferli metallerdeki y\u00fckseli\u015fi ge\u00e7ici olarak s\u0131n\u0131rlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu nedenle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte \u201cput opsiyonu\u201d (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta gibi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan, belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131), ya da \u201cstraddle\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alarak sert fiyat hareketine oynama) gibi stratejileri de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n
En do\u011frudan i\u015flem fikri petrolde \u201cuzun (long)\u201d pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131makt\u0131r; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki bir aksama k\u00fcresel arz\u0131 do\u011frudan s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r. Bu jeopolitik \u015fok, ABD tipi ham petrol (WTI) fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 son bir ayda %25\u2019in \u00fczerinde y\u00fckselterek varil ba\u015f\u0131na 110 dolar \u201cdiren\u00e7\u201d seviyesinin (fiyat\u0131n zor a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 teknik seviye) \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; bu seviye 2024 sonundan beri g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015fti. Petrol vadeli i\u015flemleri veya ilgili borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonlar\u0131 (ETF: borsada hisse gibi al\u0131n\u0131p sat\u0131lan fon) \u00fczerinde \u201ccall opsiyonu\u201d (fiyat y\u00fckseli\u015finden faydalanmak i\u00e7in belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak, olas\u0131 t\u0131rman\u0131\u015fa do\u011frudan maruz kalmay\u0131 sa\u011flarken diplomatik \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 halinde zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n
Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, geni\u015f hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131nda geri \u00e7ekilme riskine kar\u015f\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmak gerekir. Y\u00fckselen enerji maliyetleri ile daha y\u00fcksek faiz ihtimali, \u015firket k\u00e2rlar\u0131 ve hisse de\u011ferlemeleri i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir olumsuz etki yarat\u0131r. S&P 500 vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda k\u0131sa (short) pozisyon almak veya b\u00fcy\u00fck endekslerde put opsiyonu almak, ekonominin \u201cstagflasyon\u201d (durgunlukla birlikte y\u00fcksek enflasyon) riskine kar\u015f\u0131 mant\u0131kl\u0131 bir korunma arac\u0131 olabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019de t\u0131rman\u0131\u015f g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte g\u00fcvenli liman alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rak\u0131yor: 80,50 dolarda toparlansa da ekside. Petrol \u015foku enflasyon korkusunu b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcrken Fed\u2019in daha sert faiz ihtimali dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44966","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44966","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44966"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44966\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44966"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44966"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44966"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}