USD\/CAD pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bo\u015flu\u011fu (fiyat\u0131n kapan\u0131\u015fa g\u00f6re daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131) ile a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131, ard\u0131ndan Asya seans\u0131nda yeniden 1,3700\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu hareket, paritenin cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,3600\u2019lerin ortas\u0131n\u0131n hemen alt\u0131na gerilemesinin ard\u0131ndan gelen be\u015f g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f serisini sonland\u0131rd\u0131. Bu seviye 13 Mart\u2019tan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck d\u00fczeydi.<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresinde ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin artmas\u0131, riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha \u201cg\u00fcvenli\u201d varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi ve ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc toparlanman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan destekledi. \u00d6te yandan ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekleyerek paritedeki yukar\u0131 hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ticari gemilere yeniden kapatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bo\u011faza yakla\u015fan gemilerin hedef al\u0131naca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klama, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131 (limanlara giri\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 askeri g\u00fc\u00e7le engelleme) geni\u015fletmesinin ard\u0131ndan geldi. \u0130ran bunu ate\u015fkesin ihlali olarak niteledi ve ikinci tur bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerini iptal etmesine gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n
Geli\u015fmeler arzla ilgili kayg\u0131lar\u0131 art\u0131rarak petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 itti. Ard\u0131ndan ABD Dolar\u0131, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz art\u0131rma ihtimalinin azalmas\u0131yla bir haftan\u0131n zirvesinden geri \u00e7ekildi; bu durum da USD\/CAD\u2019i bask\u0131lad\u0131.<\/p>\n
20 Nisan 02:30 GMT\u2019de bir d\u00fczeltme yay\u0131mlanarak ba\u015fl\u0131k \u201cKanada Dolar\u0131, USD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda bir ay\u0131n zirvesinden geri \u00e7ekildi\u201d \u015feklinde de\u011fi\u015ftirildi; \u201cbir ay\u0131n dibi\u201d ifadesi d\u00fczeltildi.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l bu d\u00f6nemde H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki gerilim USD\/CAD i\u00e7in kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir tablo yaratm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Piyasa, g\u00fcvenli liman (kriz d\u00f6nemlerinde daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131k) olarak ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na y\u00f6nelim ile petrol y\u00fckseli\u015finin Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (loonie, Kanada Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in yayg\u0131n takma ad) g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesi aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu durum 1,3700 \u00e7evresinde dalgal\u0131 seyri art\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn jeopolitik cephe daha sakin olsa da enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n etkisi yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in kritik olmaya devam ediyor. Bat\u0131 Teksas t\u00fcr\u00fc ham petrol (WTI, ABD\u2019de referans kabul edilen ham petrol t\u00fcr\u00fc) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 95 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrederken, 2025 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki ortalamaya g\u00f6re belirgin \u015fekilde daha y\u00fcksek olan bu fiyatlar Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019na temel bir destek sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Petroldeki bu kal\u0131c\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7, USD\/CAD\u2019de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f bekleyenler i\u00e7in s\u00fcrekli bir bask\u0131 unsuru.<\/p>\n
Ancak ana tema art\u0131k merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131ndaki ayr\u0131\u015fma. Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoC), yava\u015flayan ekonomiyi desteklemek i\u00e7in faiz indirimini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00fcndeme al\u0131rken; ge\u00e7en ay y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %3,1 gelen T\u00dcFE (CPI, t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi; enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) gibi ABD verileri Fed\u2019in \u201c\u015fahin\u201d duru\u015funu (faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma e\u011filimi) s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesine neden oldu. Bu politika fark\u0131, paritenin bug\u00fcn 1,3800 \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rmesinin ba\u015fl\u0131ca nedeni olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in, USD\/CAD\u2019de y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131ktan (fiyat\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert dalgalanmas\u0131) yararlanmak amac\u0131yla nakit teminatl\u0131 sat\u0131m opsiyonu sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 (cash-secured put: opsiyon kullan\u0131l\u0131rsa al\u0131m i\u00e7in gerekli nakdin elde tutuldu\u011fu strateji) uygulanabilir. Bu y\u00f6ntem, prim geliri (opsiyon sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 al\u0131nan \u00fccret) elde ederken petrol kaynakl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerde pariteyi belirlenen seviyeden almay\u0131 hedeflemeye imk\u00e2n verir. Alternatif olarak al\u0131m opsiyonu spread\u2019i (call spread: bir al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 ba\u015fka bir al\u0131m opsiyonu satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren yap\u0131) daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetle yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n i\u00e7in pozisyon almay\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir; olas\u0131 zarar\u0131 da s\u0131n\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimiyle USD\/CAD 1,3700 \u00fczerine toparland\u0131: g\u00fcvenli liman dolar\u0131 desteklerken, 95$ \u00fcst\u00fc petrol CAD\u2019i g\u00fc\u00e7lendirip y\u00fckseli\u015fi t\u00f6rp\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u00d6n planda BoC indirim sinyali\u2013Fed \u015fahin ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, 1,3800 \u00e7evresinde oynakl\u0131k.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44964","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44964","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44964"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44964\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44964"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44964"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44964"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}