USD\/CHF haftay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatt\u0131; haftal\u0131k bazda %0,87, g\u00fcnl\u00fck bazda %0,27 geriledi. Parite 0,7775 ile be\u015f haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Parite, 20, 50, 100 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n<\/i> (SMA: fiyat\u0131n belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki ortalamas\u0131; trendi g\u00f6stermeye yarar) tamam\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na indi. 0,7825\u2019teki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda kapan\u0131\u015f yapmas\u0131, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn s\u00fcrebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\nTeknik Momentum Negatif<\/h3>\n
RSI (G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: 0-100 aras\u0131 bir g\u00f6stergedir; 50\u2019nin alt\u0131 zay\u0131flama, sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 olarak okunur) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f b\u00f6lgesinde. Bu tablo, 9 Nisan\u2019dan beri sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. De\u011fi\u015fim, RSI\u2019\u0131n 50 seviyesinin alt\u0131na inmesiyle ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n
0,7800 alt\u0131na sarkma, 0,7775\/80 civar\u0131ndaki destek b\u00f6lgesine (destek: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerde al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n gelme e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi seviye) alan a\u00e7ar; ard\u0131ndan 10 Mart dip seviyesi olan 0,7748 izlenir. Ek al\u0131m ilgisi 0,7700 yak\u0131n\u0131nda.<\/p>\n
USD\/CHF y\u00fckselirse, ilk diren\u00e7 (diren\u00e7: y\u00fckseli\u015flerde sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n gelme e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi seviye) 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019da. Bunun \u00fczerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla 0,7871\u2019de 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA, 0,7909\u2019da 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ve 0,7937\u2019de 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA takip edilebilir.<\/p>\n
\u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (SNB) son d\u00f6nemde daha \u015fahin<\/i> tonu (\u015fahin: enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131 savunan yakla\u015f\u0131m) dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Banka, Mart 2026 itibar\u0131yla y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,2 seviyesinde kalan enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeyi hedefliyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, Nisan ba\u015f\u0131ndaki ABD istihdam verisi \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir yava\u015flamaya i\u015faret etti; bu da Fed\u2019in daha sert ad\u0131mlar atma ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131yor. Merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131ndaki bu farkl\u0131la\u015fma, frank lehine bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar 0,7800 seviyesini yak\u0131ndan izlemeli; bu seviye 2025\u2019teki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte \u00f6nemli bir psikolojik destekti. Bu b\u00f6lgenin net \u015fekilde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, 0,7775 ve ard\u0131ndan 0,7748 gibi ge\u00e7en y\u0131l test edilen seviyelere y\u00f6nelimi g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir. Piyasa, bu kritik deste\u011fin yeniden testine haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor olabilir.<\/p>\n
Bu senaryoda, 0,7800\u2019e yak\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131<\/i> (strike: opsiyonun i\u015flem g\u00f6rece\u011fi sabit fiyat) sat\u0131m opsiyonu<\/i> (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flamay\u0131 hedefleyen opsiyon) almak, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe pozisyonlanma y\u00f6ntemi olabilir. USD\/CHF vadeli i\u015flem<\/i> (futures: belirli bir tarihte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m taahh\u00fcd\u00fc i\u00e7eren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) kontrat\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f yapmak da daha do\u011frudan bir se\u00e7enek. Riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n hemen \u00fczerinde zarar-kes<\/i> (stop-loss: zarar b\u00fcy\u00fcmeden pozisyonu otomatik kapatan emir) kullan\u0131labilir. Bu i\u015flemler, 2025\u2019teki fiyat davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 tekrar ederse avantaj sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan, paritenin yeniden ana hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 halinde d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f riski var. 0,7870 civar\u0131ndaki direncin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosunu zay\u0131flatabilir. B\u00f6yle bir durumda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket \u201cyan\u0131lt\u0131c\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u201d (false break) olabilir ve k\u0131sa (sat\u0131\u015f) pozisyonlar zarara girebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/CHF\u2019te alarm: Parite haftay\u0131 %0,87 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapat\u0131p 0,7775\u2019e indi. T\u00fcm SMA\u2019lar\u0131n alt\u0131nda, RSI negatif. 0,7800 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,7748\/0,7700 g\u00fcndemde; SNB \u015fahinli\u011fi franka destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44944","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44944","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44944"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44944\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44944"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44944"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44944"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}