{"id":44917,"date":"2026-04-17T22:24:35","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T22:24:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/lubnandaki-ateskesin-ardindan-hurmuz-bogazinin-yeniden-acilmasiyla-abd-dolari-zayiflarken-gbp-usd-13600e-dogru-yukseliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-17T22:24:35","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T22:24:35","slug":"lubnandaki-ateskesin-ardindan-hurmuz-bogazinin-yeniden-acilmasiyla-abd-dolari-zayiflarken-gbp-usd-13600e-dogru-yukseliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/lubnandaki-ateskesin-ardindan-hurmuz-bogazinin-yeniden-acilmasiyla-abd-dolari-zayiflarken-gbp-usd-13600e-dogru-yukseliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u00fcbnan\u2019daki ate\u015fkesin ard\u0131ndan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131yla ABD Dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flarken GBP\/USD 1,3600\u2019e do\u011fru y\u00fckseliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

GBP\/USD, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Kuzey Amerika seans\u0131nda \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n L\u00fcbnan ate\u015fkes anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberleriyle y\u00fckseldi. Parite 1,3600\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131 ve 1,3567 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; %0,36 art\u0131da.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131, ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkesi s\u00fcresince bo\u011faz\u0131n ticari gemilere a\u00e7\u0131k oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Askeri gemilere veya Tahran\u2019\u0131n \u201cd\u00fc\u015fmanca\u201d g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fclkelerin gemilerine izin verilmedi.<\/p>\n

Ate\u015fkes Geli\u015fmeleri ve Piyasa Tepkisi<\/h3>\n

ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131, Washington-Tahran aras\u0131nda bir anla\u015fma sa\u011flanana kadar ABD\u2019nin askeri ablukas\u0131n\u0131n (denizde ge\u00e7i\u015fi k\u0131s\u0131tlayan askeri \u00f6nlem) s\u00fcrece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin bu hafta sonu ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini belirtti ve anla\u015fma tamamlan\u0131nca Pakistan\u2019a gidece\u011fini ifade etti.<\/p>\n

ABD dolar\u0131, piyasalar\u0131n 2026\u2019da ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirimi yapabilece\u011fini fiyatlamas\u0131yla yedi haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi. LSEG Workspace verileri, y\u0131l sonuna do\u011fru toplamda yakla\u015f\u0131k 16 baz puanl\u0131k gev\u015feme (faiz indirimine i\u015faret eden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f) beklendi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. (Baz puan: Faizde %0,01\u2019lik de\u011fi\u015fim.)<\/p>\n

San Francisco Fed\u2019den bir yetkili, para politikas\u0131n\u0131n \u201cbiraz s\u0131k\u0131\u201d oldu\u011funu ve \u201cn\u00f6tr\u201d (ekonomiyi ne h\u0131zland\u0131ran ne yava\u015flatan) faiz oran\u0131 olan %3\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde bulundu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. 2026\u2019da bir veya iki faiz indiriminin m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funu, ancak enflasyon artarsa faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n gerekebilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n

Sterlin de y\u00fckseldi; piyasalar \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) 24 baz puan ek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisi) yapmas\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlad\u0131. \u0130ngiltere siyasetinde ise, eski ABD b\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7isinin g\u00fcvenlik\/soru\u015fturma kontrollerini ge\u00e7emedi\u011fi ve Jeffrey Epstein ile ili\u015fkilendirildi\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki haberlerin ard\u0131ndan Ba\u015fbakan \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair iddialar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Teknik Seviyeler ve Para Politikas\u0131 Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131<\/h3>\n

Grafikte GBP\/USD, 1,3530 civar\u0131ndaki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019lar\u0131n (basit hareketli ortalama: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki fiyatlar\u0131n ortalamas\u0131; trendi g\u00f6rmeye yarar) \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye) 1,3869\u2019dan gelen a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011fimli \u00e7izgiyle, destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilen seviye) ise 1,3035\u2019ten gelen yukar\u0131 e\u011fimli \u00e7izgiyle ili\u015fkilendirildi.<\/p>\n

H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131, tansiyonun belirgin \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015fmesi anlam\u0131na geliyor ve piyasadaki \u00f6nemli bir \u201crisk primi\u201dni (belirsizlik y\u00fcz\u00fcnden fiyatlara eklenen ekstra pay) azalt\u0131yor. Bu de\u011fi\u015fimin, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n Fed\u2019in daha \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d (faiz indirimine daha yak\u0131n) duru\u015fu ile BoE\u2019nin daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na daha yak\u0131n) duru\u015fu aras\u0131ndaki para politikas\u0131 ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na odaklanmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayabilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor. Bu temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda GBP\/USD\u2019de yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc destekleyebilir.<\/p>\n

Paritenin dolar taraf\u0131nda piyasa art\u0131k Fed\u2019in faiz indirimlerini daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde fiyatl\u0131yor. CME\u2019nin FedWatch arac\u0131, Eyl\u00fcl 2026 toplant\u0131s\u0131na kadar en az bir faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %65\u2019in \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yor; bu, ge\u00e7en aya g\u00f6re h\u0131zl\u0131 bir y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015fimi. Bu beklenti dolar \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor ve jeopolitik gerilim d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kald\u0131k\u00e7a bu bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesi beklenebilir.<\/p>\n

Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k BoE, sterlini destekleyen farkl\u0131 bir tabloyla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyon \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm\u00fc) enflasyonu %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde kalmaya devam ediyor; Mart 2026\u2019da son \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm %3,1 oldu. Bu nedenle piyasan\u0131n ek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma beklemesi anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131r. Bu durum, 2025 ba\u015f\u0131nda enflasyonun k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesiyle keskin bi\u00e7imde ayr\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131, risk primi geriledi: GBP\/USD Kuzey Amerika seans\u0131nda 1,3600\u2019e yakla\u015farak %0,36 y\u00fckseldi. Fed indirimi beklentisi dolar\u0131 bask\u0131larken, BoE\u2019nin \u015fahin fiyatlamas\u0131 sterlini destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44917","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44917","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44917"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44917\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44917"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44917"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44917"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}