GBP\/USD, 1,3600 seviyesine yakla\u015ft\u0131ktan sonra geri \u00e7ekildi. G\u00fcn i\u00e7i i\u015flemlerde band\u0131n 1,3495-1,3555 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Hareket, 1,3545-1,3600 band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na yak\u0131n 1,3595\u2019e y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan geldi. Parite daha sonra 1,3518\u2019e geriledi.<\/p>\n
1-3 haftal\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum (fiyat\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren ivme) zay\u0131fl\u0131yor ve Sterlin\u2019de ek kazan\u00e7 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 azal\u0131yor. 1,3480\u2019in alt\u0131na ini\u015f, son y\u00fckseli\u015fin sona erdi\u011fini teyit eder.<\/p>\n
Sterlin, \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayan seviye) b\u00f6lgelerine yakla\u015f\u0131rken ivmesini kaybediyor. Parite, ge\u00e7en ay 1,2600 alt\u0131ndan gelen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan 1,2800 seviyesini net bi\u00e7imde a\u015fmakta zorland\u0131. Bu, mevcut y\u00fckseli\u015fin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc kaybetti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
2025 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki benzer d\u00f6nemde Sterlin, 1,3600\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131ktan sonra sert \u015fekilde d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Y\u00fckseli\u015f durmu\u015f, ard\u0131ndan konsolidasyon (fiyat\u0131n belirli bir bantta yatay seyretmesi) g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu \u00f6rnek, paritenin mevcut seviyelerden \u00e7ok daha yukar\u0131 gitme kapasitesine dair temkinli olmam\u0131za neden oluyor.<\/p>\n
Mart 2026\u2019ya ait \u0130ngiltere enflasyon verisi %2,5 ile yap\u0131\u015fkan (beklenenden yava\u015f gerileyen ve kal\u0131c\u0131 seyreden) geldi ve Sterlin\u2019i destekleyen ana unsur oldu. Ancak bu geli\u015fmenin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde fiyatlara yans\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 (piyasan\u0131n beklentiyi \u00f6nceden sat\u0131n almas\u0131) g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Yeni, \u0130ngiltere lehine kataliz\u00f6rler (fiyat\u0131 hareketlendiren yeni geli\u015fmeler) gelmedik\u00e7e yukar\u0131 alan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131.<\/p>\n
Paritenin di\u011fer taraf\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri, Sterlin i\u00e7in r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131 tersine \u00e7eviriyor. Son Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (Non-Farm Payrolls: ABD\u2019de tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerdeki ayl\u0131k istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131) raporu 280 binlik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Bu, Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) faiz indiriminde acele etmeyece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Bu temel dolar g\u00fcc\u00fc, GBP\/USD\u2019de yak\u0131n vadede belirgin y\u00fckseli\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n
Vadeli t\u00fcrev i\u015flemler yapanlar i\u00e7in bu ortam, prim sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 stratejisini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Prim sat\u0131\u015f\u0131, opsiyon (belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) satarak gelir elde etmeyi hedefler. 1,2850 ve \u00fczeri kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun hak fiyat\u0131) al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n (call: fiyat y\u00fckselirse kazand\u0131ran opsiyon) sat\u0131\u015f\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015fin duraca\u011f\u0131 ve paritenin bantta kalaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne dayan\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca son COT (Commitment of Traders: vadeli piyasalarda b\u00fcy\u00fck oyuncular\u0131n pozisyon da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren rapor) verileri, Sterlin\u2019de spek\u00fclatif uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n (long: y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisiyle al\u0131nan pozisyon) bir y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcrenin zirvesinde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu t\u00fcr kalabal\u0131k pozisyonlanma, k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir geri \u00e7ekilmenin bile sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 tetiklemesiyle d\u00fczeltme (sert olmayan ama belirgin geri \u00e7ekilme) riskini art\u0131r\u0131r. Bu nedenle yorgunluk sinyalleri izlenmeli.<\/p>\n
\u0130zlenmesi gereken \u00f6nemli seviye 1,2680; buras\u0131 son d\u00f6nemde destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc durdurma e\u011filimindeki seviye) olarak \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na net bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m, son y\u00fckseli\u015fin bitti\u011fini teyit eder. Bu da momentumda y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015fimine ve daha derin bir geri \u00e7ekilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eder.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Sterlin 1,3600 e\u015fi\u011finden d\u00f6nd\u00fc: GBP\/USD 1,3595 sonras\u0131 1,3518\u2019e \u00e7ekildi; g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 1,3495-1,3555 bant g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc. Momentum zay\u0131f, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri dolar lehine; 1,3480 alt\u0131 uyar\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44900","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44900","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44900"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44900\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44900"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44900"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44900"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}