Alt\u0131n, hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir ayl\u0131k zirve olan 4.871 dolardan geriledikten sonra cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 4.790 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Fiyat hareketi 4.600-4.850 dolar band\u0131nda yatay seyretti; 4.850 dolar seviyesinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 (diren\u00e7) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar, bu hafta sonu Pakistan\u2019da yeniden ba\u015flamas\u0131 beklenen ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine ili\u015fkin geli\u015fmeleri ve ABD dolar\u0131ndaki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 izledi. Ayr\u0131 bir haberde, \u0130ranl\u0131 kaynaklara dayand\u0131r\u0131lan bilgiye g\u00f6re m\u00fczakereciler art\u0131k \u201cge\u00e7ici mutabakat metni\u201d hedefliyor.<\/p>\n
D\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte ivme (fiyat\u0131n h\u0131zlanma\/yava\u015flama e\u011filimi) g\u00f6stergeleri zay\u0131flad\u0131. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: 0-100 aras\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7ekte al\u0131m-sat\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterir) 50 civar\u0131nda seyrederken, MACD (Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama\/Iraksama: trendin y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc ve g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc izler) negatif b\u00f6lgede ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fcyd\u00fc. 4.850 dolar \u00fczerindeki diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesinin ard\u0131ndan 5.000 dolar \u00fczeri seviyeler ve 10 Mart zirvesi olan 5.238 dolar takip ediliyor.<\/p>\n
Destek (al\u0131mlar\u0131n yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lge) \u00e7ar\u015famba ve per\u015fembe diplerine yak\u0131n 4.775 dolar civar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. 4.600 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 (fiyat\u0131n bu seviyenin alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 ge\u00e7mesi), 26 Mart diplerine yak\u0131n 4.350 dolar\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirebilir.<\/p>\n
Merkez bankalar\u0131 2022\u2019de yakla\u015f\u0131k 70 milyar dolar de\u011ferinde 1.136 ton alt\u0131n ekledi; bu, kay\u0131tlar\u0131n tutulmaya ba\u015fland\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan beri en y\u00fcksek y\u0131ll\u0131k al\u0131m oldu. Alt\u0131n genellikle ABD dolar\u0131 ve ABD Hazine tahvilleri (US Treasuries: ABD devletinin bor\u00e7lanma senetleri) ile ters y\u00f6nde hareket eder. Alt\u0131n dolar baz\u0131nda XAU\/USD olarak fiyatlan\u0131r (XAU: alt\u0131n\u0131n uluslararas\u0131 kodu).<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, jeopolitik beklentilerden ekonomik ger\u00e7eklere kayd\u0131. Kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon, de\u011ferli metallerin ana itici g\u00fcc\u00fc haline geliyor. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l piyasa daha \u00e7ok haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na duyarl\u0131yken, ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi\u2019nin (CPI: t\u00fcketici sepetindeki fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimini \u00f6l\u00e7en enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) son okumas\u0131n\u0131n %3,4 gelmesi alt\u0131n tutmak i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir temel gerek\u00e7e sunuyor. Bu ekonomik bask\u0131, 2025\u2019teki diplomatik belirsizli\u011fe k\u0131yasla daha sa\u011flam bir \u201ctaban\u201d (fiyat\u0131n kolay d\u00fc\u015fmedi\u011fi seviye) olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki yatay piyasa, iron condor gibi stratejilerle \u201cprim satmay\u0131\u201d (opsiyon sat\u0131\u015f\u0131yla gelir elde etmeyi) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yordu. Ancak ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) art\u0131k daha y\u00fcksek. CBOE Gold Volatility Index (GVZ: alt\u0131n opsiyonlar\u0131ndan hesaplanan oynakl\u0131k endeksi) 18 civar\u0131nda seyretti\u011fi i\u00e7in bu t\u00fcr stratejilerin riski art\u0131yor. Bu nedenle yatay seyrin s\u00fcrmesinden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flamaktan, olas\u0131 bir y\u00f6n k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131na (breakout: band\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131na g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f) pozisyon almaya ge\u00e7mek daha uygun olabilir.<\/p>\n
Bu enflasyon ortam\u0131nda, al\u0131m opsiyonu (call option: belirli bir fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) almak veya y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc al\u0131m spread\u2019i (bullish call spread: bir call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren yap\u0131) kurmak \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilir. B\u00f6ylece olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalan\u0131rken risk daha net s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Trendin olu\u015fmas\u0131na zaman tan\u0131mak i\u00e7in haziran veya temmuz vadeleri de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n
Bu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve s\u00fcren al\u0131mlar\u0131yla da destekleniyor. D\u00fcnya Alt\u0131n Konseyi (World Gold Council) verilerine g\u00f6re k\u00fcresel merkez bankalar\u0131 son 12 ayda resmi alt\u0131n rezervlerine 800 tondan fazla ekledi. Bu \u00f6l\u00e7ekte kurumsal talep (b\u00fcy\u00fck oyuncular\u0131n al\u0131m\u0131) fiyat\u0131 destekleyen kal\u0131c\u0131 bir r\u00fczg\u00e2r olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Alt\u0131nda g\u00f6zler k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131mda: 4.790 dolarda yatay seyir s\u00fcrerken 4.850 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7, 4.775 destek. ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri ve dolar zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 izleniyor; enflasyon, merkez bankas\u0131 al\u0131mlar\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44889","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44889","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44889"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44889\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44889"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44889"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44889"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}