Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde mevsimsellikten ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f (takvim ve d\u00f6nemsel etkiler \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131larak d\u00fczeltilmi\u015f) d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi \u015eubat\u2019ta 7 milyar euro oldu. Bu rakam \u00f6nceki d\u00f6nemde 12,1 milyar euro idi.<\/p>\n
Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde ticaret fazlas\u0131n\u0131n 12,1 milyar eurodan 7,0 milyar euroya gerilemesi, euro i\u00e7in belirgin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sinyali olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu zay\u0131flama, ihracat talebinin yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bunun nedenlerinden biri, euronun son d\u00f6nemde dolara kar\u015f\u0131 1,10 seviyesine yak\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyretmesi olabilir. Bu nedenle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda euronun di\u011fer maj\u00f6r (en \u00e7ok i\u015flem g\u00f6ren) para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 zay\u0131flama ihtimaline g\u00f6re pozisyon almak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n
Bu d\u0131\u015f ticaret verisi, Mart ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin S&P Global Euro B\u00f6lgesi \u0130malat PMI (Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi; 50\u2019nin alt\u0131 daralma, \u00fcst\u00fc geni\u015fleme anlam\u0131na gelir) verisiyle de uyumlu. Endeks 48,5\u2019e gerileyerek sanayi taraf\u0131nda daralmaya i\u015faret etti. Bu tablo, ticaret fazlas\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ithalatta i\u00e7 talep kaynakl\u0131 bir s\u0131\u00e7ramadan \u00e7ok, ihracat\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu durum \u015firket k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olumsuz bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm yaratabilir. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, ihracat a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek endekslerde (\u00f6rne\u011fin Alman DAX) put opsiyonu (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flayan ya da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen opsiyon) al\u0131m\u0131 gibi stratejiler g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/p>\n
Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB), yava\u015flayan b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Mart ay\u0131 \u00f6nc\u00fc (flash; nihai veri gelmeden yay\u0131mlanan ilk tahmin) HICP (uyumla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi; \u00fclkeler aras\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131labilir enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) enflasyon tahmini %2,6 geldi. ECB\u2019nin faiz patikas\u0131na (faizlerin gelecekte izleyece\u011fi olas\u0131 yol) ili\u015fkin belirsizlik, piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131) y\u00fckseltebilir. Bu ortamda, Euro Stoxx 50 \u00fczerinde straddle (ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alarak iki y\u00f6nde de b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketten faydalanmay\u0131 hedefleyen strateji) gibi yap\u0131land\u0131rmalarla, fiyat\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcnden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareket beklentisi de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde ticaret fazlas\u0131 \u015eubat\u2019ta 12,1 milyar \u20ac\u2019dan 7 milyar \u20ac\u2019ya indi: euroda zay\u0131flama sinyali. PMI 48,5\u2019e geriledi; ihracat bask\u0131da. DAX put, Euro Stoxx 50 straddle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44882","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44882","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44882"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44882\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44882"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44882"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44882"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}