AUD\/USD, 0,7197\u2019ye kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan geri \u00e7ekildi. G\u00fcn i\u00e7i i\u015flemlerde 0,7130-0,7180 band\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 1-3 haftada y\u00fckseli\u015f riski s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Ancak piyasa a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinde (fiyat\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f sonras\u0131 yorulma riski) ve y\u00fckseli\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 yava\u015flad\u0131. 0,7220\u2019ye do\u011fru hareket i\u00e7in g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n 0,7190\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
Ek geri \u00e7ekilmeler g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir, ancak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ivmesinde (sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131nda) belirgin bir art\u0131\u015f yok. Olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin mevcut yatay bant i\u00e7inde kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosu i\u00e7in 0,7085 deste\u011fi korunuyor. 0,7085\u2019in k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc beklenti zay\u0131flar.<\/p>\n
Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131n 0,6800 seviyesinden son geri \u00e7ekilmesini, daha geni\u015f bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi i\u00e7inde konsolidasyon (y\u00fckseli\u015f sonras\u0131 dinlenme\/yatay hareket) olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) \u015fahin duru\u015fuyla (faizleri y\u00fcksek tutmaya e\u011filimli) destekleniyor; son toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131 enflasyonun h\u00e2l\u00e2 %3,1 seviyesinde olmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feleri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. K\u0131sa vadede paritenin 0,6710\/0,6770 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rmesini bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n
Temel y\u00fckseli\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc emtia fiyatlar\u0131yla destekleniyor; demir cevheri (iron ore) fiyat\u0131 yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde ton ba\u015f\u0131na 125 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu ortam, \u201czararda\u201d al\u0131m opsiyonu (out-of-the-money call: kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyat\u0131n \u00fczerinde olan al\u0131m opsiyonu) almay\u0131 veya bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019i (bull call spread: ayn\u0131 vadede bir al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 ba\u015fka bir al\u0131m opsiyonu satarak maliyeti azaltan strateji) uygulamay\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karabilir. Bu yap\u0131lar, Avustralya dolar\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrse kazan\u00e7 potansiyeli sunarken a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski s\u0131n\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n
Bu tablo, 2025 ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m ko\u015fullar\u0131na benziyor; o d\u00f6nemde k\u0131sa bir geri \u00e7ekilmenin ard\u0131ndan y\u00fckseli\u015f devam etmi\u015fti. Mevcut y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosunun korunmas\u0131 i\u00e7in paritenin 0,6650 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc deste\u011finin \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Kritik diren\u00e7 olan 0,6820 \u00fczerinde net bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f, trendin yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fini teyit eder ve 0,6900 seviyesine do\u011fru alan a\u00e7ar.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc ABD taraf\u0131 da destekliyor. Son T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi\/enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) verisi beklentilerin alt\u0131nda %2,9 geldi. Bu, piyasalar\u0131n daha temkinli bir Fed (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) beklentisini fiyatlamas\u0131yla ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131. Bu durum, Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rece daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor ve g\u00fcc\u00fcn s\u00fcrmesi ihtimalini destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
AUD\/USD\u2019de \u201cnefes\u201d molas\u0131: 0,7197\u2019den geri d\u00f6nen parite 0,7130-0,7180\u2019de dengelenebilir. 1-3 haftada y\u00fckseli\u015f riski s\u00fcrse de a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m bask\u0131n; 0,7190 \u00fczeri kapan\u0131\u015fla 0,7220 hedef, 0,7085 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm zay\u0131flar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44868","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44868","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44868"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44868\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44868"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44868"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44868"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}