USD\/CAD be\u015finci g\u00fcnde de sakin seyrini korudu ve Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya saatlerinde 1,3700 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Parite, Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle hafif geriledi. Kanada, ABD\u2019nin en b\u00fcy\u00fck ham petrol ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f CAD\u2019e destek verdi.<\/p>\n
WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi referans ham petrol) yaz\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda varil ba\u015f\u0131na 90,00 dolar civar\u0131nda tutundu. Fiyatlar, ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkes g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine y\u00f6nelik temkinli duru\u015fun yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 arz endi\u015feleriyle destek buldu.<\/p>\n
CNN\u2019in Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc haberine g\u00f6re, L\u00fcbnan ordusu ate\u015fkes ba\u015flad\u0131ktan sonra \u0130srail\u2019in \u00e7ok say\u0131da ihlalini kaydetti. L\u00fcbnan, g\u00fcneydeki k\u00f6ylerde aral\u0131kl\u0131 top at\u0131\u015flar\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Ordu, vatanda\u015flardan g\u00fcneydeki kasaba ve k\u00f6ylere d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc geciktirmelerini istedi.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc L\u00fcbnan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Joseph Aoun ve \u0130srail Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Binyamin Netanyahu ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yledi. \u0130srail ve L\u00fcbnan\u2019\u0131n, TS\u0130\u2019ye g\u00f6re 10 g\u00fcn s\u00fcrecek bir ate\u015fkes \u00fczerinde anla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bunun ABD Do\u011fu saatiyle 17.00\u2019de ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n
USD\/CAD\u2019deki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferini g\u00f6steren endeks), \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman talebi\u201d (belirsizlikte yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla destek buldu. Piyasalar, hafta sonu yap\u0131lmas\u0131 beklenen ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi \u00f6ncesinde temkinliydi.<\/p>\n
Washington ve Tahran\u2019\u0131n hafta sonu yeniden masaya oturmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Trump, gelecek hafta s\u00fcresi dolmadan kal\u0131c\u0131 bir ate\u015fkese ula\u015f\u0131labilece\u011fi konusunda iyimser oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
USD\/CAD \u015fu anda 1,3650 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, tablo tan\u0131d\u0131k. Kanada Dolar\u0131, Nisan 2026 boyunca varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalan WTI ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndan destek al\u0131yor. OPEC+\u2019\u0131n arz\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 tutmas\u0131 (\u00fcretimi k\u0131sarak fiyatlar\u0131 desteklemesi) ve k\u00fcresel talebin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131, petrol\u00fc yukar\u0131da tutuyor. Bu durum, paritenin y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, 2025\u2019te ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri ve \u0130srail-L\u00fcbnan ate\u015fkesi etraf\u0131ndaki jeopolitik gerginliklerin petrol\u00fc 90 dolara ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemi hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Ancak o d\u00f6nemde, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman olarak dolara y\u00f6nelmesi petrol kaynakl\u0131 etkiyi dengelemi\u015fti. Sonu\u00e7: Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 risk, bu paritede iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 yaratabiliyor ve net trend yerine sert dalgalanmalar g\u00f6r\u00fclebiliyor.<\/p>\n
Bu nedenle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda tek y\u00f6ne g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc pozisyon almak (fiyat\u0131n sadece y\u00fckseli\u015fine ya da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne oynamak) daha riskli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bunun yerine, \u201copsiyon\u201d (belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren t\u00fcrev s\u00f6zle\u015fme) ile fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131ndan yararlanan stratejiler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin \u201cstraddle\/strangle\u201d (fiyat\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcnden \u00e7ok sert hareket etmesine oynayan opsiyon kombinasyonlar\u0131) uygun olabilir. USD\/CAD opsiyonlar\u0131nda \u201cima edilen oynakl\u0131k\u201d (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) bu ay %5 artt\u0131; piyasa daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hareket ihtimalini fiyatl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) ile Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoC) aras\u0131ndaki \u201cfaiz fark\u0131\u201d da izlenmeli. Fed\u2019in politika faizini y\u00fcksek tutmas\u0131, Kanada faizlerine g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k 50 baz puanl\u0131k (0,50 y\u00fczde puan) bir \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Bu fark, sermayeyi dolara \u00e7ekerek ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor. Bu temel destek, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc petrole ra\u011fmen USD\/CAD\u2019de sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7iyor.<\/p>\n
Bu nedenle paritenin bant i\u00e7inde kalmas\u0131, ancak haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 ani s\u0131\u00e7ramalar g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi olas\u0131. Mevcut pozisyonlar\u0131 \u201chedge etmek\u201d (riskten korunmak) i\u00e7in opsiyon kullan\u0131m\u0131 daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin CAD lehine pozisyonu olanlar, risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n aniden d\u00fc\u015fmesi durumunda olu\u015fabilecek dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine kar\u015f\u0131 \u201cput\u201d (sat\u0131m opsiyonu; fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazand\u0131ran hak) alarak korunabilir. Bu sayede petrol kaynakl\u0131 CAD g\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131m s\u00fcrerken olas\u0131 kay\u0131p s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Petrol 90 dolarda tutunurken CAD g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor, USD\/CAD 1,37 civar\u0131nda yatay. Orta Do\u011fu ate\u015fkesi ve ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk yarat\u0131yor; DXY destekli. Opsiyonla hedge, straddle\/strangle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44850","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44850","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44850"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44850\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44850"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44850"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44850"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}