WTI (Bat\u0131 Teksas tipi ham petrol), ABD ham petrol\u00fc i\u00e7in g\u00f6sterge fiyat, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde 89,00 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Fiyat, L\u00fcbnan ordusunun \u0130srail\u2019i ate\u015fkesi ihlal etmekle su\u00e7lamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130srail ile L\u00fcbnan\u2019\u0131n 10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir ate\u015fkes \u00fczerinde anla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. L\u00fcbnan ordusu, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yerel saatle gece yar\u0131s\u0131 ba\u015flayan ate\u015fkes sonras\u0131 \u0130srail\u2019in birden fazla ihlal yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti\u011fini bildirdi.<\/p>\n
Trump ayr\u0131ca ABD ile \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n hafta sonu ikinci tur g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler i\u00e7in bir araya gelmesinin muhtemel oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler i\u00e7in resm\u00ee bir tarih a\u00e7\u0131klanmad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Trump, mevcut d\u00fczenleme gelecek hafta sona ermeden kal\u0131c\u0131 bir ate\u015fkese var\u0131labilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ate\u015fkesin iki hafta daha uzat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi WTI \u00fczerinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 yaratabilir.<\/p>\n
Bloomberg\u2019\u00fcn haberine g\u00f6re baz\u0131 Avrupal\u0131 liderler ve K\u00f6rfez Arap \u00fclkelerinden yetkililer, ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fczakere edilmesinin alt\u0131 ay s\u00fcrebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
\u0130srail ile L\u00fcbnan aras\u0131ndaki gerilim petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fmekten al\u0131koyuyor. Piyasa, kal\u0131c\u0131 jeopolitik risk primi (olas\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma riskinin fiyata eklenmesi) fiyatl\u0131yor. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n yeniden alevlendi\u011fine dair bir i\u015faret, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda fiyatlar\u0131 yeniden 100 dolar seviyesine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir.<\/p>\n
2025\u2019te \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerindeki t\u0131kanma belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131rd\u0131. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7en petrol tankerleri i\u00e7in sava\u015f riski sigorta primleri (\u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ihtimaline kar\u015f\u0131 ek sigorta maliyeti) son \u00e7eyrekte %12 y\u00fckseldi. CFTC (ABD Emtia Vadeli \u0130\u015flemler Komisyonu) verileri de b\u00fcy\u00fck spek\u00fclat\u00f6rlerin WTI\u2019da net uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Net uzun pozisyon, y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisiyle al\u0131nan pozisyonlar\u0131n sat\u0131\u015flardan fazla olmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal ara\u00e7) yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 talep sinyallerini yak\u0131ndan izlemeli. EIA\u2019n\u0131n (ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi) son raporu ham petrol stoklar\u0131nda 2,1 milyon varillik beklenmedik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe i\u015faret etti. Ancak benzin stoklar\u0131 beklenmedik \u015fekilde artt\u0131; bu da y\u00fcksek fiyatlar\u0131n t\u00fcketici talebini bask\u0131lamaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu ortamda olumsuz ekonomik veriler gelirse fiyatlar h\u0131zl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilebilir ve oynakl\u0131k artar.<\/p>\n
Bu ko\u015fullarda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da gerilimin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131yla olu\u015fabilecek ani fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 yak\u0131n vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. Call opsiyonu, belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 verir. Riski daha net s\u0131n\u0131rlamak isteyenler i\u00e7in bo\u011fa call spread (bir call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 bir call satmak; maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr, kazanc\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar) stratejisi yukar\u0131 hareketten faydalan\u0131rken ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyetini azaltabilir. Bu, talep endi\u015feleri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karsa s\u0131n\u0131rs\u0131z risk almadan fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131na pozisyon almay\u0131 sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n
B\u00f6lgede ge\u00e7mi\u015fte ya\u015fanan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalarda, \u00f6rne\u011fin K\u00f6rfez Sava\u015flar\u0131 d\u00f6nemindeki ilk fiyat \u015foklar\u0131nda, piyasan\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu zaman haberlere a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 tepki verip sonra dengelendi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Bu, h\u0131zl\u0131 kazan\u00e7 f\u0131rsat\u0131 olsa da y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olunmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini g\u00f6sterir. Bu nedenle opsiyonlarla riskin s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 mevcut ortamda daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131md\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Petrol cephesinde tansiyon: WTI 89 dolarda. \u0130srail-L\u00fcbnan ate\u015fkesi ihlal iddialar\u0131 risk primini canl\u0131 tutuyor. ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri belirsiz. Stoklar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, benzin artt\u0131; talep endi\u015fesiyle opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44848","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44848","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44848"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44848\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44848"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44848"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44848"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}