Yeni Zelanda\u2019da elektronik kartla perakende sat\u0131\u015flar mart ay\u0131nda ayl\u0131k bazda %0,7 artt\u0131. Bu oran, \u00f6nceki d\u00f6nemdeki %1,4\u2019l\u00fck art\u0131\u015f\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Son veri, \u00f6nceki aya k\u0131yasla elektronik kartla perakende harcamalarda daha yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret ediyor. Metinde daha ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m veya neden payla\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu yeni veriler Yeni Zelanda\u2019da t\u00fcketicinin yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair net bir tablo \u00e7iziyor. Ayl\u0131k bazda elektronik kartla sat\u0131\u015flardaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n %1,4\u2019ten %0,7\u2019ye gerilemesi, y\u00fcksek faizlerin hane halk\u0131 harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 azaltmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu belirgin yava\u015flama, ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fe girerken i\u00e7 talebin (\u00fclke i\u00e7indeki t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m talebi) zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Bu yumu\u015fama e\u011filimi, Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (RBNZ) daha \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yerine faiz indirimi veya gev\u015fek para politikas\u0131na daha yak\u0131n) bir \u00e7izgiye itebilir. Politika faizi olan Resmi Nakit Oran\u0131 (Official Cash Rate: Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bankalara uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 temel faiz) 2025 ortas\u0131ndan beri %5,50 seviyesinde. Bu veri, ek faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini daha da zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. T\u00fcrev piyasalarda (fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) 2026 sonuna kadar olas\u0131 bir faiz indiriminin fiyatlanmas\u0131 artabilir. Bu da faiz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne oynayan faiz swaplar\u0131 (iki taraf\u0131n faiz \u00f6demelerini de\u011fi\u015ftirdi\u011fi s\u00f6zle\u015fme) ve vadeli i\u015flemleri (futures: belirli bir tarihte \u00f6nceden belirlenen fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) daha cazip hale getirebilir.<\/p>\n
D\u00f6viz yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu geli\u015fme Yeni Zelanda dolar\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. Son haftalarda 0,6150 \u00fczerinde tutunmakta zorlanan NZD\/USD (Yeni Zelanda dolar\u0131\/ABD dolar\u0131 paritesi) 0,6000 civar\u0131ndaki deste\u011fi test edebilir. ABD dolar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 beklenen zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa pozisyon almak i\u00e7in NZD sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (put option: belirli bir tarihe kadar \u00f6nceden belirlenen fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n
Bu harcama verisi tek ba\u015f\u0131na de\u011fil; ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan ANZ i\u015f g\u00fcveni anketinde (i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerini \u00f6l\u00e7en anket) \u015firketlerin kendi faaliyet beklentilerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fe bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 2024 sonlar\u0131nda benzer bir tablo olu\u015fmu\u015f; t\u00fcketicideki ilk zay\u0131flama sinyalleri daha geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 ekonomik yava\u015flaman\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7mi\u015fti. Bu benzerlik, mevcut e\u011filimin s\u00fcrebilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Yeni Zelanda\u2019da elektronik kartla perakende sat\u0131\u015flar martta %0,7 artt\u0131; \u00f6nceki ay %1,4\u2019t\u00fc. T\u00fcketicide yava\u015flama, i\u00e7 talepte zay\u0131flama ve RBNZ i\u00e7in g\u00fcvercinle\u015fme beklentisi NZD\u2019de bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44844","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44844","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44844"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44844\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44844"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44844"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44844"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}