{"id":44825,"date":"2026-04-17T02:19:14","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T02:19:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/zayiflayan-dolar-iran-ateskesini-telafi-ederken-altin-yatay-seyrediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-17T02:19:14","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T02:19:14","slug":"zayiflayan-dolar-iran-ateskesini-telafi-ederken-altin-yatay-seyrediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/analysis\/zayiflayan-dolar-iran-ateskesini-telafi-ederken-altin-yatay-seyrediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Zay\u0131flayan Dolar \u0130ran Ate\u015fkesini Telafi Ederken Alt\u0131n Yatay Seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/Gold-2-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-42544\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kanlar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>XAUUSD 4.798,02 seviyesinde<\/strong>, <strong>7,94 (+%0,17)<\/strong> y\u00fckseldi. <strong>Spot alt\u0131n<\/strong> (anl\u0131k fiyat) <strong>4.841,76 dolar<\/strong> civar\u0131nda, <strong>Haziran vadeli kontrat<\/strong> (ileri tarihli al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) <strong>4.866,50 dolar<\/strong> seviyesinde.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>ABD dolar\u0131 bir aydan uzun s\u00fcrenin en zay\u0131f seviyelerine yak\u0131n<\/strong>. Bu da alt\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Piyasalar bu y\u0131l <strong>Fed\u2019in 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz indirimi<\/strong> (0,25 puan) yapma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 <strong>%30-%33<\/strong> g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu oran bir hafta \u00f6nce yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>%13<\/strong> idi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Alt\u0131n yatay seyrediyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc son diplomasi giri\u015fimlerinin \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmada kal\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lma sa\u011flay\u0131p sa\u011flamayaca\u011f\u0131 netle\u015fmedi. Spot fiyatlar bir haftan\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n, vadeli kontratlar ise son d\u00f6nemdeki band\u0131n \u00fcst taraf\u0131nda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The &#39;debasement trade&#39; has driven gold to new heights. Wells Fargo&#39;s bull case calls for $8,000 an ounce <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Jl1h60xX4G\">https:\/\/t.co\/Jl1h60xX4G<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBC\/status\/2044872593581150564?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 16, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Risk i\u015ftah\u0131 artsa da alt\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Piyasa panikten \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ama tam g\u00fcvene de ge\u00e7medi. M\u00fczakere haberleri petroldeki <strong>sava\u015f primini<\/strong> (jeopolitik risk nedeniyle fiyata eklenen pay) azaltt\u0131; ancak H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 ve b\u00f6lgesel tabloya dair belirsizlik, <strong>de\u011ferli metallerde<\/strong> temkinli duru\u015fu koruyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Shipowners and charterers are struggling to agree on who should take on the risk of crossing the Strait of Hormuz, meaning relatively few vessel bookings are occurring <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/69UIR2UDP9\">https:\/\/t.co\/69UIR2UDP9<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2044820727199588821?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 16, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler netle\u015fmezken ve dolar zay\u0131f kal\u0131rken, k\u0131sa vadede temkinli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm alt\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dolar\u0131n Zay\u0131flamas\u0131 Deste\u011fin Ana Kayna\u011f\u0131<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>K\u0131sa vadede alt\u0131n\u0131 en \u00e7ok dolar destekliyor. <strong>Greenback<\/strong> (ABD dolar\u0131) bir aydan uzun s\u00fcrenin en zay\u0131f seviyelerine yak\u0131nken, dolar d\u0131\u015f\u0131 para birimleriyle i\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in alt\u0131n daha ucuz hale geliyor. Bu da petrol d\u00fc\u015ferken ve hisseler toparlan\u0131rken bile alt\u0131n\u0131n diren\u00e7li kalmas\u0131na yard\u0131m ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Don&#39;t call time on dollar dominance just yet, say analysts as &#39;petroyuan&#39; call sparks debate <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/taUFxhkAuZ\">https:\/\/t.co\/taUFxhkAuZ<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBC\/status\/2044687921618301105?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 16, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu tablo \u00f6nemli. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc alt\u0131n \u015fu an sadece \u201ckorku al\u0131m\u0131\u201d ile y\u00fckselmiyor. <strong>Para birimi zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong> ve y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6neminde <strong>daha gev\u015fek para politikas\u0131<\/strong> (faizlerin d\u00fc\u015fmesi ya da indirime yakla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131) ihtimali fiyat\u0131 destekliyor. Bu iki unsur s\u00fcrd\u00fck\u00e7e, alt\u0131n \u201criskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klardan \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131) tam g\u00fc\u00e7te olmasa da g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fed G\u00fcndemden D\u00fc\u015fmedi<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Faiz beklentileri alt\u0131n lehine d\u00f6nd\u00fc, ancak s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar bu y\u0131l <strong>tek bir Fed indirimi<\/strong> olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 <strong>%30-%33<\/strong> band\u0131na y\u00fckseltti. Ge\u00e7en hafta bu oran yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>%13<\/strong> idi. Yine de piyasa, sava\u015f \u015fokundan \u00f6nceki kadar <strong>g\u00fcvercin<\/strong> (faiz indirimi e\u011filimli) de\u011fil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">New York Fed President John Williams reiterated monetary policy remains well positioned to deal with the threat of a protracted supply shock caused by war in the Middle East <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/cEaeTSRdT9\">https:\/\/t.co\/cEaeTSRdT9<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2044758372067541147?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 16, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu da alt\u0131n\u0131 dengede tutuyor. <strong>Daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tahvil getirileri<\/strong> (faiz) ve zay\u0131f dolar alt\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor; ancak <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/iKbuTQeJem\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">yetkililer enerji maliyetlerinin genel enflasyona yay\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/a> uyar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. New York Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 John Williams, sava\u015f\u0131n enerji ve di\u011fer kanallarla enflasyonu yukar\u0131 itti\u011fini, k\u0131sa vadede enflasyonun <strong>%3\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde<\/strong> kalmas\u0131n\u0131n olas\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">XAUUSD Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>XAUUSD <strong>4.798<\/strong> civar\u0131nda. Fiyat, <strong>4.098<\/strong> dip seviyesinden toparlanman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yatay seyre ge\u00e7ti ve k\u0131sa vadeli bir <strong>diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesinin<\/strong> (y\u00fckseli\u015fi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye) hemen alt\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Toparlanma dengelendi, ancak <strong>momentum<\/strong> (fiyat hareketinin h\u0131z\u0131) zay\u0131flad\u0131. Bu da piyasan\u0131n bir s\u00fcre <strong>konsolidasyon<\/strong> (yatay s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma) ya\u015fayarak \u00f6nce <strong>zemin<\/strong> (taban) olu\u015fturmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Teknik olarak k\u0131sa vadeli yap\u0131 <strong>n\u00f6tr, hafif pozitif<\/strong>. Fiyat <strong>5 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (4.792)<\/strong> ve <strong>10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (4.755) hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n<\/strong> (belirli g\u00fcnlerin ortalama fiyat\u0131) \u00e7evresinde. Bu ortalamalar yatayla\u015f\u0131yor ve yak\u0131n destek veriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (4.646)<\/strong> ortalama daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ve daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban i\u015flevi g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Toparlanma s\u00fcrse de, y\u00fckseli\u015fin kal\u0131c\u0131 bir trende d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesi i\u00e7in ivme hen\u00fcz yeterince g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc de\u011fil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/image-18-1024x458.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-47905\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130zlenecek seviyeler:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Destek:<\/strong> 4790 \u2192 4755 \u2192 4645<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Diren\u00e7:<\/strong> 4850 \u2192 4900 \u2192 5050<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Alt\u0131n \u015fu an <strong>4.850<\/strong> direncinin hemen alt\u0131nda yatay. Bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lma, <strong>4.900<\/strong> hedefini, ivme artarsa <strong>5.050<\/strong> seviyesini g\u00fcndeme getirebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da <strong>4.790<\/strong> ilk destek. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131 <strong>4.755<\/strong>e, sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 artarsa <strong>4.645<\/strong>e do\u011fru bir geri \u00e7ekilmeyi tetikleyebilir. B\u00f6yle bir hareket, genel yap\u0131 i\u00e7inde daha \u00e7ok <strong>d\u00fczeltme<\/strong> (ge\u00e7ici geri \u00e7ekilme) niteli\u011finde kalabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Bundan Sonra Neye Bakmal\u0131?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Bir sonraki hareket, \u0130ran\u2019la diplomasinin kal\u0131c\u0131 bir sonu\u00e7 \u00fcretip \u00fcretmeyece\u011fine ve Fed\u2019in enflasyon beklentileri y\u00fckselmeden beklemede kal\u0131p kalamayaca\u011f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131. Dolar\u0131n geri \u00e7ekilmesinin s\u00fcrmesi ve g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde istikrarl\u0131 ilerleme, alt\u0131n\u0131 mevcut y\u00fcksek seviyelere yak\u0131n destekler. Enflasyonun yeniden y\u00fckseli\u015f endi\u015fesi veya m\u00fczakerelerin bozulmas\u0131 ise tabloyu h\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015ftirir: ya <strong>g\u00fcvenli liman<\/strong> (krizde tercih edilen varl\u0131k) talebini art\u0131r\u0131r ya da faizlerin uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek kalaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirir.<\/p>\n\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131nda kritik e\u015fik! XAUUSD 4.798\u2019de yatay; zay\u0131f dolar ve artan Fed indirimi ihtimali fiyat\u0131 tutuyor. Jeopolitik belirsizlik s\u00fcrerken 4.850 direnci, 4.790 deste\u011fi izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":44824,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44825","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44825","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44825"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44825\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/44824"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44825"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44825"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44825"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}