Alt\u0131n Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc geriledi ancak birka\u00e7 haftad\u0131r s\u00fcren bant i\u00e7inde kald\u0131. XAU\/USD, 4.838 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 4.790 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 fiyat\u0131 bask\u0131lad\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD-\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 bitirmeye y\u00f6nelik g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler g\u00fcndemde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Donald Trump, \u0130slamabad\u2019daki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerden sonu\u00e7 \u00e7\u0131kmamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen m\u00fczakerelerin bu hafta yeniden ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. K\u00f6rfez ve Avrupa yetkilileri Bloomberg\u2019e, anla\u015fman\u0131n alt\u0131 aya kadar uzayabilece\u011fini belirtti; ate\u015fkesin uzat\u0131lmas\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerindeki kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc resmile\u015ftirme y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ad\u0131m att\u0131. Devlet medyas\u0131, ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccretlerinin \u0130ran bankalar\u0131 \u00fczerinden \u00f6denece\u011fini bildirdi. Pakistan\u2019\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck etti\u011fi diplomasi devam ederken, \u0130ranl\u0131 bir yetkili baz\u0131 alanlarda farklar\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ancak n\u00fckleer ba\u015fl\u0131klardaki anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n, sava\u015f sonras\u0131 zirvesinin yakla\u015f\u0131k %10 alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Petrol kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) riski, faiz beklentilerini y\u00fcksek tutuyor. St. Louis Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Alberto Musalem, arz \u015foklar\u0131n\u0131n (\u00fcretim\/tedarik kesintileri gibi ani etkiler) enflasyonu ve istihdam hedeflerini tehdit etti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi; \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) y\u0131l sonuna kadar %3\u2019e yak\u0131n kalabilece\u011fini ifade etti.<\/p>\n
Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde alt\u0131n, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n (Basit Hareketli Ortalama: Son 50 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131) 4.897 dolar civar\u0131ndaki seviyesinin alt\u0131nda. Destek 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019da 4.708 dolar civar\u0131nda. RSI (G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: 0-100 aras\u0131 momentum g\u00f6stergesi) yakla\u015f\u0131k 51, ADX (Ortalama Y\u00f6n Endeksi: trendin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7er) 24 civar\u0131nda.<\/p>\n
Brent petrol varil fiyat\u0131 ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 150 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerindeki zirveden gerilese de 95 dolar civar\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 seyrediyor; bu da enflasyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 canl\u0131 tutuyor. Mart 2026 T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi) verisi bunu teyit etti: \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon %2,8 ile y\u00fcksek kald\u0131. Bu tablo, Fed\u2019in politika faizini \u015fimdilik de\u011fi\u015ftirmeme karar\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Bu ortamda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flemleri (gelecekte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) \u00fczerinde \u201cuzun straddle\u201d veya \u201cstrangle\u201d opsiyon stratejisi mant\u0131kl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu stratejide hem al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) al\u0131n\u0131r; fiyat\u0131n hangi y\u00f6ne olursa olsun g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lma yapmas\u0131ndan kazan\u00e7 hedeflenir. Bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin ba\u015far\u0131ya ula\u015fmas\u0131 ya da aniden bozulmas\u0131 halinde oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (volatilite: fiyat\u0131n sert dalgalanmas\u0131) artmas\u0131 bu stratejiye avantaj sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n
Yatay seyrin s\u00fcrece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler i\u00e7in \u201ciron condor\u201d (fiyat\u0131n belirli bir aral\u0131kta kalmas\u0131na oynayan, ayn\u0131 vadede farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131ndan d\u00f6rt opsiyonla kurulan ve risk\/\u00f6d\u00fcl aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 tan\u0131ml\u0131 strateji) ile volatilite sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 uygulanabilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, alt\u0131n kritik destek-direncin aras\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece zaman de\u011ferinin erimesinden (vade yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a opsiyonun zaman priminin d\u00fc\u015fmesi) faydalan\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en y\u0131ldan kalan kritik teknik seviyeler \u00f6nemini koruyor: 4.700 dolar civar\u0131 destek, 4.900 dolar\u0131n hemen alt\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7. Bu kanal\u0131n net k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, muhtemelen Cenevre g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinden gelecek haberler veya s\u00fcrpriz bir enflasyon verisiyle tetiklenirse, harekete ge\u00e7mek i\u00e7in sinyal olabilir. O zamana kadar alt\u0131n opsiyonlar\u0131nda z\u0131mni volatilite (piyasan\u0131n gelecekte bekledi\u011fi oynakl\u0131k; opsiyon fiyat\u0131na g\u00f6m\u00fcl\u00fc beklenti) g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kal\u0131yor; bu da stratejilerin maliyetini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131nda kritik bant s\u00fcr\u00fcyor: G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar XAU\/USD\u2019yi 4.790\u2019a iterken g\u00f6zler ABD-\u0130ran m\u00fczakereleri ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019de. Enflasyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131 Fed\u2019i s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 straddle\/strangle veya iron condor tart\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44820","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44820","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44820"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44820\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44820"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44820"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44820"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}