{"id":44809,"date":"2026-04-16T22:21:26","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T22:21:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/orta-dogudaki-gerilimler-ve-merkez-bankasi-ayrismasi-abd-dolarini-desteklerken-usd-jpy-15920ye-dogru-yukseliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-16T22:21:26","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T22:21:26","slug":"orta-dogudaki-gerilimler-ve-merkez-bankasi-ayrismasi-abd-dolarini-desteklerken-usd-jpy-15920ye-dogru-yukseliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/orta-dogudaki-gerilimler-ve-merkez-bankasi-ayrismasi-abd-dolarini-desteklerken-usd-jpy-15920ye-dogru-yukseliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimler ve merkez bankas\u0131 ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 desteklerken USD\/JPY 159,20\u2019ye do\u011fru y\u00fckseliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY 159,20 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. G\u00fcn i\u00e7i en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinden yakla\u015f\u0131k 100 pip (paritenin en k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck fiyat ad\u0131m\u0131) y\u00fckselerek s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 g\u00fcnl\u00fck art\u0131 yazd\u0131. Fiyat hareketi Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler ve merkez bankas\u0131 politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentilerdeki de\u011fi\u015fimlerle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>ABD Dolar\u0131, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 da i\u00e7eren gerilimler ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na dair belirsizlik nedeniyle \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (risk art\u0131nca yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6neldi\u011fi varl\u0131k) talebiyle destekli kald\u0131. Katar merkezli Al-Araby TV\u2019nin haberine g\u00f6re ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, L\u00fcbnan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Avn\u2019a saatler i\u00e7inde ate\u015fkes ilan edilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<h3>Merkez Bankas\u0131 Politikas\u0131 ve Yen Dinamikleri<\/h3>\n<p>Japon Yeni, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) para politikas\u0131n\u0131 normalle\u015ftirmede (\u00e7ok gev\u015fek politikadan daha s\u0131k\u0131 politikaya ge\u00e7i\u015f) kademeli yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 korumas\u0131 nedeniyle g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanmakta zorland\u0131. Yetkililer, temkinli ve veriye ba\u011fl\u0131 (kararlar\u0131n gelen ekonomik verilere g\u00f6re \u015fekillenmesi) duru\u015fu ve kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7ici de\u011fil s\u00fcreklilik g\u00f6stermesi) hedefini yineledi.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte USD\/JPY 159,15\u2019te, k\u0131sa vadede n\u00f6tr g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmle i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. 100 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n (basit hareketli ortalama; belirli say\u0131da mumun ortalama fiyat\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren trend g\u00f6stergesi) 159,29 seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131nda yatay seyretti; 20 periyotluk SMA 159,06\u2019dayd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; 0-100 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 53 seviyesinde, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m (fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede fazla y\u00fckselmi\u015f olabilece\u011fi durum) sinyali vermeden s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 yukar\u0131 momentum g\u00f6sterdi. Diren\u00e7 159,29 ve 159,30 civar\u0131nda; destekler 159,15, 158,94 ve 158,85 seviyelerinde.<\/p>\n<p>Ana belirleyici, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) ile BoJ aras\u0131ndaki politika fark\u0131. Mart 2026 ABD enflasyon verisi %3,1 ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelerek Fed\u2019in yak\u0131n zamanda faiz indirimine gitmeyebilece\u011fi beklentisini destekledi. Bu durum, BoJ\u2019un kademeli \u00e7izgisiyle belirgin \u015fekilde ters d\u00fc\u015ferek USD\/JPY i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir destek olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n<h3>M\u00fcdahale Riski ve Oynakl\u0131k G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\n<p>Jeopolitik riskler dolar\u0131 g\u00fcvenli liman olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Bu durum enerji piyasalar\u0131nda da g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki sevkiyata ili\u015fkin kal\u0131c\u0131 endi\u015feler petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 varil ba\u015f\u0131na 95 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Bu temel gerilim, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131y\u0131 dolar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli\u011fine y\u00f6neltmeye devam ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 160 seviyesi, Japon yetkililerin olas\u0131 m\u00fcdahalesi (kur hareketini s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in piyasaya do\u011frudan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m yoluyla girilmesi) a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte, 2024\u2019te kur benzer seviyelere yakla\u015f\u0131rken maliye yetkililerinin yeni g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek i\u00e7in birka\u00e7 kez piyasaya girdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Bu nedenle, yetkililerin ad\u0131m\u0131yla gelebilecek ani ve sert bir geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f riski y\u00fcksek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY 159,20\u2019de: Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi dolar\u0131 g\u00fcvenli limanla desteklerken BoJ\u2019un temkinli duru\u015fu yeni bask\u0131l\u0131yor. Fed\u2019in sert enflasyonu pariteyi ta\u015f\u0131rken 160\u2019ta m\u00fcdahale riski art\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44809","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44809","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44809"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44809\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44809"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44809"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44809"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}