{"id":44783,"date":"2026-04-16T15:51:46","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T15:51:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/avrupa-seansinda-gbp-usd-13545-civarina-geriledi-13600-direncinin-uzerindeki-kazanclarini-koruyamadi\/"},"modified":"2026-04-16T15:51:46","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T15:51:46","slug":"avrupa-seansinda-gbp-usd-13545-civarina-geriledi-13600-direncinin-uzerindeki-kazanclarini-koruyamadi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/avrupa-seansinda-gbp-usd-13545-civarina-geriledi-13600-direncinin-uzerindeki-kazanclarini-koruyamadi\/","title":{"rendered":"Avrupa seans\u0131nda GBP\/USD 1,3545 civar\u0131na geriledi, 1,3600 direncinin \u00fczerindeki kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 koruyamad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

GBP\/USD paritesi Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 1,3545 civar\u0131nda %0,1 geriledi. Parite, 1,3600 seviyesinin \u00fczerindeki kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131la\u015ft\u0131ramad\u0131; buras\u0131 ayn\u0131 zamanda %61,8 **Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesi** (fiyat\u0131n \u00f6nceki hareketinin belirli oranlar\u0131n\u0131 geri almas\u0131na dayanan teknik seviye) yak\u0131n\u0131nda bulunuyor. ABD Dolar\u0131, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i \u00f6nceki kay\u0131plar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan g\u00fc\u00e7lenince parite hafif bask\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Risk i\u015ftah\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) ise pozitif kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

S&P 500 vadeli i\u015flemleri (vadeli kontratlar) haber yaz\u0131m\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda 7.070 civar\u0131nda %0,2 art\u0131dayd\u0131. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) %0,15 y\u00fckselerek 98,20 civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u0130ngiltere GSYH Deste\u011fi Dolar G\u00fcc\u00fcyle Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131<\/h3>\n

Parite, \u015eubat ay\u0131 \u0130ngiltere GSYH\u2019sinin (m\/m: ayl\u0131k bazda) %0,5 artmas\u0131yla 1,3593 ile yedi haftan\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Beklenti %0,1\u2019di; Ocak ay\u0131 ise de\u011fi\u015fim g\u00f6stermemi\u015fti. Ancak y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 ve Tahran\u2019la \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n yak\u0131nda bitebilece\u011fine dair a\u00e7\u0131klamalar da vard\u0131.<\/p>\n

GBP\/USD son iki haftada yakla\u015f\u0131k %3,3 y\u00fckseldi; 1,3550 civar\u0131 destek (fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma e\u011filiminde oldu\u011fu seviye) olarak izleniyor. Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlan\u0131lan seviye) 1,3665\u20131,3700 band\u0131nda g\u00f6steriliyor. Daha uzun vadeli referans seviye olarak Ocak ay\u0131ndaki 4,5 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesi 1,3868 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Parite, yedi g\u00fcn kesintisiz y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan geri \u00e7ekildi. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,3589 ile iki ay\u0131n zirvesi g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; ayr\u0131ca g\u00fcnl\u00fck **Ichimoku bulutu** (trend ve destek\/diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgelerini g\u00f6steren teknik g\u00f6sterge) tepesinin 1,3561 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Geri \u00e7ekilmede izlenen seviyeler aras\u0131nda 1,3500 ve 1,3869\u20131,3159 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn %50 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesi ile bulut taban\u0131 olan 1,3450 civar\u0131 yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Opsiyon Kurgusu ve \u0130zlenecek Kritik Seviyeler<\/h3>\n

Mart ay\u0131 \u0130ngiltere enflasyonunun %2,8 ile beklentinin az \u00fczerinde gelmesi, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015funu (faiz indirimi konusunda temkinli kalma) korumas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bask\u0131 yaratabilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD\u2019de istihdam verileri bir miktar so\u011fumaya i\u015faret etti: Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (Non-Farm Payrolls: tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde yarat\u0131lan ayl\u0131k istihdam) 195 bin artarak 220 bin beklentisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, \u201cCable\u201d (piyasa jargonunda GBP\/USD) i\u00e7in yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyeli destekleyebilir. Bu nedenle 1,3000 psikolojik seviyesine (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yuvarlak rakamlara \u00f6zellikle dikkat etmesi) olas\u0131 hareketi hedefleyen GBP\/USD **call opsiyonu** (belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon) al\u0131m\u0131 gibi stratejiler ilgi \u00e7ekebilir.<\/p>\n

Piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck: VIX endeksi (S&P 500 i\u00e7in \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d, beklenen dalgalanmay\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) 14 civar\u0131nda. Bu da opsiyon primlerini (opsiyonun pe\u015fin \u00f6denen fiyat\u0131) ge\u00e7mi\u015f ortalamalara g\u00f6re daha ucuz k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Teknik olarak parite, \u015eubat zirvelerinden gelen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn %50 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k gelen 1,2980 b\u00f6lgesinde ilk g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dirence tak\u0131labilir. Bu seviyenin a\u015f\u0131lamamas\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015fin ivme kaybetti\u011fine i\u015faret edebilir. 1,2750 deste\u011finin alt\u0131nda al\u0131nacak koruyucu **put opsiyonlar\u0131** (belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon) ani bir ters harekete kar\u015f\u0131 \u201chedge\u201d (korunma) sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n

ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin (DXY) 104,50 civar\u0131nda seyretmesi de izleniyor; bu seviye, 2025\u2019teki deneme s\u0131ras\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen 98,20\u2019nin belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan (Fed) beklenmedik \u201chawkish\u201d (\u015fahin: s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131 savunan) mesajlar gelirse dolar h\u0131zla g\u00fc\u00e7lenebilir ve GBP\/USD i\u00e7in y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosu zay\u0131flayabilir. Bu nedenle, \u0130ngiltere verileri olumlu olsa bile dolar\u0131n seyri kritik olmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Cable nefesleniyor: GBP\/USD 1,3545\u2019te, 1,3600\/%61,8 Fibonacci a\u015f\u0131lamad\u0131. G\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar bask\u0131 kurarken risk i\u015ftah\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc. GSYH s\u00fcrprizi y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131; destek 1,3550, diren\u00e7 1,3665\u20131,3700. Opsiyonlar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck VIX\u2019te cazip.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44783","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44783","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44783"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44783\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44783"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44783"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44783"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}