WTI ham petrol Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc 90,00 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na indi ve \u00f6nceki g\u00fcn\u00fcn aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kald\u0131. Piyasalar Orta Do\u011fu\u2019dan gelecek geli\u015fmeleri izlerken, yaz\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda 89,35 dolardan fiyatlan\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Tahran ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve \u201cverimli\u201d oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klama, ABD-\u0130ran temaslar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yeniden ba\u015flayabilece\u011fi beklentisini art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u0130srail\u2019de kabine g\u00fcvenlik \u00fcyesi Galia Gamliel, \u0130srail Ordu Radyosu\u2019na Ba\u015fbakan Binyamin Netanyahu\u2019nun Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ilerleyen saatlerde L\u00fcbnan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Joseph Aoun ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. \u0130srail-L\u00fcbnan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine dair haberler, b\u00f6lgesel tansiyonun d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fi umudunu g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019nin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki ablukas\u0131 (k\u00fcresel petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik deniz ge\u00e7idi) s\u00fcrd\u00fc; bu durum ham petroldeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. ABD ordusu, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n deniz yoluyla ticaretini tamamen kesti\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililer ise ABD limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik engellemeler s\u00fcrerse K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz\u2019i kapatabilecekleri uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n
ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi (EIA – ABD\u2019nin resmi enerji istatistik kurumu) verilerine g\u00f6re ge\u00e7en hafta ham petrol stoklar\u0131 0,913 milyon varil azald\u0131. Bu, 0,2 milyon varil art\u0131\u015f beklentisinin tersine geldi ve bir \u00f6nceki haftaki 3,081 milyon varillik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n
Nisan 2026 ortas\u0131nda WTI, 88 dolar civar\u0131nda inatla tutunuyor. Bu fiyat\u0131, ge\u00e7en y\u0131la k\u0131yasla daha belirleyici hale gelen temel etkenler destekliyor. OPEC+ (OPEC \u00fclkeleri ve Rusya gibi \u00fcretici ortaklar\u0131), g\u00fcnl\u00fck 2,2 milyon varillik g\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fc \u00fcretim kesintilerini ikinci \u00e7eyrek boyunca uzatt\u0131; bu da k\u00fcresel arz\u0131 (piyasaya \u00e7\u0131kan petrol miktar\u0131) s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Kartelin bu taahh\u00fcd\u00fc, fiyatlar\u0131n sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir destek sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131n son veriler piyasada karars\u0131zl\u0131k yarat\u0131yor. EIA, ge\u00e7en hafta ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131nda beklentilerin aksine 2,7 milyon varillik s\u00fcrpriz art\u0131\u015f bildirdi. Buna ek olarak IEA\u2019n\u0131n (Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131) \u00c7in ekonomisindeki yava\u015flamaya i\u015faret ederek k\u00fcresel talep tahminlerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmesi, fiyatlar\u0131n yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 (kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7mesini) zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz\u2019deki gerilimler deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 aksatmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu da fiyatlara \u201crisk primi\u201d (belirsizlik nedeniyle ek fiyat) ekleyerek piyasay\u0131 hassas tutuyor. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da olas\u0131 bir t\u0131rmanma, 2022\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fclen dalga gibi h\u0131zl\u0131 bir fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n
Bu tabloda \u201cz\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k\u201d (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen sert fiyat hareketi) y\u00fckseldi\u011fi i\u00e7in opsiyon primleri (opsiyonun fiyat\u0131) pahal\u0131. Net bir tetikleyici ortaya \u00e7\u0131karsa, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar \u201cuzun straddle\u201d gibi (ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alarak fiyat\u0131n hangi y\u00f6ne gidece\u011finden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z b\u00fcy\u00fck harekete oynayan) stratejileri de\u011ferlendirebilir. Halihaz\u0131rda uzun pozisyonu olanlar i\u00e7in \u201cput\u201d (sat\u0131m opsiyonu; fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse koruma sa\u011flar) almak, diplomatik ilerleme beklenmedik bi\u00e7imde yeniden ba\u015flarsa ya\u015fanabilecek ani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge) imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunar.<\/p>\n
Opsiyon maliyetini azaltmak i\u00e7in \u201ccollar\u201d (al\u0131m opsiyonu sat\u0131p elde edilen gelirle sat\u0131m opsiyonu alarak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n riskini s\u0131n\u0131rlama) gibi stratejiler etkili olabilir. Alternatif olarak \u201ccalendar spread\u201d (farkl\u0131 vadelerde opsiyon al\u0131p satarak k\u0131sa vadede yatay seyir, daha sonra olas\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lma beklentisiyle pozisyon alma) kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petrolde kritik e\u015fik: WTI 90 dolar alt\u0131na sark\u0131p 89,35\u2019te. ABD-\u0130ran ve \u0130srail-L\u00fcbnan diplomasisi izleniyor; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz ve K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz risk primi y\u00fcksek. Stoklar, OPEC+ kesintileri ve opsiyon stratejileri g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44773","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44773","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44773"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44773\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44773"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44773"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44773"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}