Hindistan rupisi Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc hafif art\u0131da a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131; USD\/INR yakla\u015f\u0131k 93,28\u2019e geriledi. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY \u2014 dolar\u0131n di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 genel g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks) dolar sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zlanmas\u0131yla alt\u0131 haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u011f\u00fc olan 97,85 civar\u0131na indi.<\/p>\n
Kal\u0131c\u0131 bir ABD\u2013\u0130ran ate\u015fkesine (silahl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n durmas\u0131) y\u00f6nelik umutlar\u0131n artmas\u0131, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (riskli d\u00f6nemlerde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n s\u0131\u011f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 varl\u0131k) ama\u00e7l\u0131 dolar al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131 ve dolara talep zay\u0131flad\u0131. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Tahran\u2019la sava\u015f\u0131n bitmeye \u201c\u00e7ok yak\u0131n\u201d oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi ve iki g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde a\u00e7\u0131klama gelebilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131n USD\/INR\u2019deki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, Hintli ithalat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n devam eden dolar talebiyle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. Reuters\u2019\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re bankac\u0131lar, ithalat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n kur riskinden korunma (hedging \u2014 kur dalgalanmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nceden fiyat sabitleme) i\u015flemleri ve daha uzun vadeli dolar y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerini (liability \u2014 gelecekte \u00f6denecek d\u00f6viz borcu) bug\u00fcnden sabitleme iste\u011fi nedeniyle rupide yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn (rupi g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesinin) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Yabanc\u0131 Kurumsal Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar (FII \u2014 yabanc\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck fonlar) \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Hint hisselerinde net al\u0131c\u0131 oldu; 666,15 crore rupi (yakla\u015f\u0131k 6,6615 milyar rupi) tutar\u0131nda al\u0131m yapt\u0131. Nisan\u2019da ise yaln\u0131zca iki i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde net al\u0131c\u0131 olurken 1.338,24 crore rupi al\u0131m yapt\u0131; di\u011fer g\u00fcnlerde 41.627,90 crore rupi sat\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar g\u00fcn\u00fcn ilerleyen saatlerinde \u0130srail\u2013L\u00fcbnan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerini izliyor. Ayr\u0131ca iki haftal\u0131k ABD\u2013\u0130ran ate\u015fkesinin 21 Nisan\u2019da sona erecek olmas\u0131 da takip ediliyor. Tahran daha \u00f6nce Washington\u2019u, L\u00fcbnan\u2019da \u0130ran destekli Hizbullah\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n s\u00fcrmesi nedeniyle ate\u015fkesi ihlal etmekle su\u00e7lam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
USD\/INR, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019nin (\u00dcssel Hareketli Ortalama \u2014 son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren trend g\u00f6stergesi) 93,1181 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131; RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi \u2014 fiyat\u0131n ivmesini \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 52 civar\u0131nda. Destek 93,12\u2019de, ard\u0131ndan 92,29\u2019da; diren\u00e7 ise 94,00 ve 95,15 seviyelerinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
Nisan 2025\u2019e d\u00f6n\u00fcp bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131 beklentileriyle ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n belirgin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin 97,85\u2019e geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Buna ra\u011fmen USD\/INR, Hintli ithalat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar talebi nedeniyle 93,28 civar\u0131nda y\u00fcksek kald\u0131. K\u00fcresel dolar zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile rupinin performans\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, o d\u00f6nemde piyasan\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir \u00f6zelli\u011fiydi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flemler yapanlar (derivatif \u2014 de\u011feri kur, faiz gibi bir dayanak varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) i\u00e7in bu ortam, oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (volatility \u2014 fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc) yanl\u0131\u015f fiyatlanm\u0131\u015f olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. RBI\u2019nin kuru tutmas\u0131 ancak k\u00fcresel bask\u0131lar\u0131n artmas\u0131 nedeniyle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, \u201cuzun straddle\u201d gibi stratejileri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir; bu strateji, ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m (call) hem sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu alarak fiyat\u0131n hangi y\u00f6ne giderse gitsin sert hareketten kazan\u00e7 hedefler. S\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k seyir kal\u0131c\u0131 olmayabilir; k\u0131r\u0131lma (breakout \u2014 bant aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f) geldi\u011finde hareket sert olabilir.<\/p>\n
Yatay bant nedeniyle, \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (zararda\/uzakta \u2014 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyat\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalan) al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 satarak prim toplamak (premium \u2014 opsiyon sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n pe\u015fin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bedel) m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnebilir; ancak bunun i\u00e7in s\u0131k\u0131 risk y\u00f6netimi gerekir. \u0130thalat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n 2025\u2019teki gibi USD kur riskini korumaya devam etmesi uygun; rupide zay\u0131fl\u0131k riski s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Dolar endeksi 97,85\u2019e inerken USD\/INR 93,28\u2019de: \u201cAte\u015fkes\u201d umudu dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131, ancak Hint ithalat\u00e7\u0131 talebi rupinin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesini s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Teknikte 93,12 destek, 94-95 diren\u00e7.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44748","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44748","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44748"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44748\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44748"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44748"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44748"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}