WTI, ABD ham petrol\u00fc i\u00e7in temel g\u00f6sterge, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa saatlerinde 88,20 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Fiyat, ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda ate\u015fkes beklentilerine ba\u011fl\u0131 iyimserlikle geriledi.<\/p>\n
ABD ve \u0130ran, 22 Nisan\u2019da s\u00fcresi dolacak iki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkesi uzatmak i\u00e7in dolayl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler yapt\u0131. Donald Trump, ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u201cbitmeye yak\u0131n\u201d oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Beyaz Saray da Pakistan\u2019da yeniden y\u00fcz y\u00fcze g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n muhtemel oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n
Yeni g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme beklentileri, enerji arz\u0131nda kesinti olaca\u011f\u0131 endi\u015fesini azaltt\u0131 ve bu durum WTI \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131. IEA (Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131), Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan (Basra K\u00f6rfezi\u2019nden d\u00fcnya pazarlar\u0131na petrol ta\u015f\u0131nan kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n yeniden normale d\u00f6nmesinin, arz \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131, fiyatlar\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi rahatlatacak en \u00f6nemli unsur oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131n\u0131 hedefleyen ablukan\u0131n (deniz yoluyla giri\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 fiilen k\u0131s\u0131tlama) k\u00fcresel arz \u00fczerindeki etkisini de\u011ferlendirdi. Washington, ilk 24 saatte baz\u0131 gemilerin geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, \u0130ran d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki limanlardan ge\u00e7i\u015fin ise s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Piyasay\u0131 \u015fu anda 2025 Nisan\u2019\u0131ndan farkl\u0131 ko\u015fullar belirliyor. O d\u00f6nem ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkesi umudu fiyatlar\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine 88 dolar seviyesinden a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmi\u015fti. Bug\u00fcn ise WTI 82 dolara daha yak\u0131n seyrederken odak, o \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmadan uzakla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
Mevcut fiyatlamada belirleyici unsurlar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda OPEC+\u2019\u0131n (OPEC ve Rusya gibi ortaklar\u0131; \u00fcretim politikalar\u0131yla arz\u0131 y\u00f6neten grup) arz y\u00f6netimi ve Asya\u2019dan gelen kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k talep sinyalleri geliyor. EIA\u2019n\u0131n (ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi) a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7en haftaki s\u00fcrpriz 2,5 milyon varillik ABD ham petrol stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Bu, temkinli bir duru\u015fa i\u015faret ediyor; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar 80 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na olas\u0131 bir gerilemeye kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) almay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir.<\/p>\n
2025\u2019te H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na y\u00f6nelik tehditler, ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) s\u0131\u00e7ratm\u0131\u015f ve opsiyonlar\u0131 pahal\u0131 hale getirmi\u015fti. K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz\u2019deki mevcut gerilim oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek tutsa da o zirvelere ula\u015fmad\u0131. Bu ortam, fiyat\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc netle\u015fene kadar gelir elde etmek i\u00e7in uzun pozisyonlara kar\u015f\u0131 kapal\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonu sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 (covered call: eldeki varl\u0131\u011fa kar\u015f\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonu satarak prim geliri elde etme) gibi stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karabilir.<\/p>\n
\u0130leriye d\u00f6n\u00fck olarak, 1 May\u0131s\u2019taki OPEC+ teknik toplant\u0131s\u0131 fiyat y\u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik olacak. May\u0131s vadeli WTI kontratlar\u0131n\u0131n (belirli vadede teslimi olan s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) gelecek hafta vadesi dolarken, fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131 artabilir. \u00c7in veya ABD\u2019den gelecek beklenmedik ekonomik veriler, arz endi\u015feleri ile talep kayg\u0131lar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki hassas dengeyi h\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015ftirebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
WTI 88,20 dolarda bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda: ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkes uzatma beklentisi arz riskini azalt\u0131yor. OPEC+ politikas\u0131, kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k Asya talebi ve stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131 odakta; opsiyonlarda covered call \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. OPEC+ toplant\u0131s\u0131 kritik.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44747","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44747","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44747"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44747\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44747"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44747"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44747"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}