\u00c7in\u2019in y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda (y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re) sanayi \u00fcretimi martta %5,7 artt\u0131. Bu oran, beklenen %5,5\u2019in \u00fczerinde geldi.<\/p>\n
Veri, mart ay\u0131ndaki \u00fcretimi ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Sonu\u00e7, tahminlerin 0,2 y\u00fczde puan \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n
Beklentiyi a\u015fan bu veriyi, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda emtia talebinin artabilece\u011fine dair do\u011frudan bir i\u015faret olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Bu s\u00fcrpriz art\u0131\u015f, \u00c7in\u2019in imalat (\u00fcretim) sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn tahmin edilenden daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor; bu da ba\u015fta sanayide kullan\u0131lan metaller olmak \u00fczere temel emtialar\u0131 destekleyebilir. Bak\u0131r ve demir cevheri vadeli i\u015flemlerinde (gelecekteki bir tarihte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m yapmay\u0131 sa\u011flayan s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) uzun pozisyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131na oynayan i\u015flem) de\u011ferlendirmek g\u00fcndeme gelebilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin fiyatlar\u0131 \u00c7in\u2019deki sanayi faaliyetlerine olduk\u00e7a duyarl\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu veri, emtiaya ba\u011fl\u0131 para birimleri i\u00e7in de y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentimizi g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor; \u00f6zellikle Avustralya dolar\u0131. \u00c7in, Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ticaret orta\u011f\u0131. \u00c7in ekonomisinin diren\u00e7li kalmas\u0131, ba\u015fta demir cevheri olmak \u00fczere Avustralya ihracat\u0131na talebi do\u011frudan art\u0131r\u0131r. AUD\/USD paritesi (Avustralya dolar\u0131\/ABD dolar\u0131 kuru) 0,6650 civar\u0131nda dar bir bantta seyrederken, bu geli\u015fme yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 (fiyat\u0131n bant d\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendine girmesi) tetikleyebilir.<\/p>\n
Enerji piyasalar\u0131nda da etki beklenmeli; daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sanayi faaliyeti, daha y\u00fcksek enerji t\u00fcketimi anlam\u0131na gelir. \u00c7in\u2019in ham petrol ithalat\u0131 son d\u00f6nemde yeniden g\u00fcnl\u00fck 11 milyon varilin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131; bu haberle y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131 hatta artmas\u0131 olas\u0131. Bu durum, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 1-2 ay i\u00e7inde vadesi dolacak ham petrol al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131nda (belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) uzun pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 destekler.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131n, veri olumlu olsa da \u00c7in\u2019in gayrimenkul (konut) sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki s\u00fcregelen riskler g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmemeli. Bu nedenle, riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayan y\u00f6ntemler daha uygun olabilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin emtia ETF\u2019lerinde (borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon) veya madencilik hisselerinde bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019i (ayn\u0131 vadede bir al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan ba\u015fka bir al\u0131m opsiyonu satarak maliyeti ve riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayan strateji) kullanmak, olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fe kat\u0131lmay\u0131 sa\u011flarken sanayi \u00fcretimindeki g\u00fc\u00e7lenmenin ge\u00e7ici \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 halinde azami zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u00c7in\u2019de sanayi \u00fcretimi martta %5,7 ile beklentiyi a\u015ft\u0131; emtia talebi ve metallerde y\u00fckseli\u015f sinyali g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. Bak\u0131r-demir uzunlar\u0131 g\u00fcndemde. AUD\/USD yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131labilir; petrolde ithalat, opsiyonlarda longlar\u0131 destekler. Gayrimenkul riski nedeniyle spread\u2019li stratejiler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44741","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44741","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44741"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44741\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44741"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44741"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44741"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}