GBP\/USD \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc duraklad\u0131 ve ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin yeniden ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131na dair ilk iyimserli\u011fin zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla 1,3570 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD hisseleri y\u00fckselmeye devam etti, ABD Dolar\u0131 ise alt\u0131 haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinden sonra dengelendi.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar, ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkesinin (\u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n durdurulmas\u0131) birka\u00e7 hafta daha uzayabilece\u011fine dair haberlere tepki verdi. Washington Post, Pentagon\u2019un Orta Do\u011fu\u2019ya ek asker sevk etti\u011fini yazd\u0131. Pakistan ordusu da Mare\u015fal Asim Munir\u2019in Tahran\u2019a ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD ithalat ve ihracat fiyat verileri s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 etki yaratt\u0131. Cleveland Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Beth Hammack, faizlerin \u201cuzun bir s\u00fcre\u201d sabit kalmas\u0131n\u0131n muhtemel oldu\u011funu, yani para politikas\u0131nda (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n faizi ve likiditeyi ayarlamas\u0131) yak\u0131n vadede de\u011fi\u015fim gerekmedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) y\u0131l sonuna kadar toplam 38 baz puan s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma yapmas\u0131n\u0131 (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131) bekliyor. Ancak \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin do\u011fal gaz ithalat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 %40\u2019a yak\u0131n art\u0131\u015fa ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda (petrol ve gaz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kritik deniz ge\u00e7idi) trafi\u011fin yeniden normale d\u00f6nmesi, BoE\u2019nin daha fazla faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini azaltabilir.<\/p>\n
BoE \u00fcyesi Megan Greene, fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131ndan endi\u015feli oldu\u011funu ve enerji \u015fokunun etkilerinin (enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki ani s\u0131\u00e7raman\u0131n enflasyona yans\u0131mas\u0131) ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n aylar s\u00fcrebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. S\u0131rada, \u0130ngiltere\u2019de \u015eubat ay\u0131 ayl\u0131k GSYH\u2019nin (ekonominin toplam \u00fcretimi) %0,0\u2019dan %0,1\u2019e y\u00fckselmesi bekleniyor. ABD taraf\u0131nda ise 11 Nisan haftas\u0131na ait i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 (i\u015fini kaybedenlerin yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular, istihdam\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli g\u00f6stergesi) izlenecek.<\/p>\n
GBP\/USD 1,3573\u2019te i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; parite 50, 100 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA (basit hareketli ortalama; belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki fiyat\u0131n ortalamas\u0131, trend takibi i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) k\u00fcmesinin bulundu\u011fu 1,3428\u2019in \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. Destek seviyeleri 1,3490\u20131,3492 ve 1,3428 olarak belirtildi.<\/p>\n
2025\u2019in bu d\u00f6nemine d\u00f6n\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde piyasay\u0131, \u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 enerji \u015fokuyla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalan ve \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131rmaya daha yatk\u0131n) bir BoE y\u00f6nlendiriyordu. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faizi sabit tutmas\u0131 bekleniyor, bu da GBP\/USD\u2019de sterlin lehine net bir senaryo olu\u015fturuyordu. Bu hik\u00e2ye, \u0130ngiltere lehine a\u00e7\u0131lan faiz fark\u0131na dayan\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n
Son bir y\u0131lda tablo belirgin \u015fekilde de\u011fi\u015fti ve bu pozisyon art\u0131k eskisi kadar net de\u011fil. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da tansiyonun d\u00fc\u015fmesi enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 istikrara kavu\u015fturdu ve BoE\u2019nin agresif duru\u015funun ana gerek\u00e7esi zay\u0131flad\u0131. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de enflasyon geriledi; Ulusal \u0130statistik Ofisi (ONS) verilerine g\u00f6re T\u00dcFE %2,8\u2019e indi ve 2025\u2019teki zirvelerin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan ABD ekonomisi beklenenden daha dayan\u0131kl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; bu durum Fed\u2019in \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d (faiz indirimine daha yatk\u0131n) olmas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ABD b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi %1,9 ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc geldi. \u00c7ekirdek enflasyon (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131larak hesaplanan daha kal\u0131c\u0131 fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) ise inat\u00e7\u0131 kald\u0131 ve y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,2 civar\u0131nda seyretti. Bu tablo dolar\u0131 destekledi ve sterlini yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131 beklenen faiz avantaj\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ortadan kald\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
GBP\/USD 1,3570\u2019te frene bast\u0131: ABD-\u0130ran iyimserli\u011fi s\u00f6n\u00fcyor, enerji bask\u0131s\u0131 azal\u0131rken BoE\u2019nin \u015fahinli\u011fi tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131. Fed dayan\u0131kl\u0131 veriyle dolar\u0131 tutuyor; kritik destekler 1,3490 ve 1,3428.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44712","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44712","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44712"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44712\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44712"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44712"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44712"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}