GBP\/USD, yedi g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fin (ralli: arka arkaya g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc de\u011fer kazanc\u0131) ard\u0131ndan Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc hafif geriledi; son iki g\u00fcnde y\u00fckseli\u015f \u00f6zellikle g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fcyd\u00fc. Parite (d\u00f6viz \u00e7ifti), Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,3589 ile iki ay\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve g\u00fcnl\u00fck Ichimoku bulutunun (trend ve destek\/diren\u00e7 alanlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren teknik g\u00f6sterge) \u00fcst band\u0131 olan 1,3561\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcnl\u00fck g\u00f6stergelerde \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\u201d (fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede fazla y\u00fckselmi\u015f olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret) g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, k\u0131smi k\u00e2r sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 (pozisyonun bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc kapat\u0131p k\u00e2r\u0131 realize etme) destekledi. Geri \u00e7ekilmelerin (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f d\u00fczeltmesi) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131, 1,3500 civar\u0131nda destek bulunmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
1,3500 b\u00f6lgesi; 1,3869\u2019dan 1,3159\u2019a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn %50 geri alma seviyesini (retracement: \u00f6nceki hareketin geri al\u0131nan k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en teknik seviye) ve Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc dip seviyeyi i\u00e7eriyor. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrerse, bir sonraki alan 1,3450\u2019deki g\u00fcnl\u00fck Ichimoku bulutunun alt band\u0131n\u0131n (cloud base) hemen \u00fczeri.<\/p>\n
Temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm (makro veriler ve merkez bankas\u0131 beklentileri) de bunu destekliyor. Mart 2026 Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k enflasyonu %2,8 ile beklentilerin biraz \u00fczerinde geldi; bu, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 canl\u0131 tutuyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, ABD perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 beklenmedik \u015fekilde yava\u015flad\u0131; bu da ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz art\u0131r\u0131m d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne (tightening cycle: para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma s\u00fcreci) ara verme alan\u0131 olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, \u201cCable\u201d (GBP\/USD\u2019nin piyasa jargonundaki ad\u0131) i\u00e7in destekleyici kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, May\u0131s vadeli (expiration: vade sonu) \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d put (mevcut fiyata g\u00f6re kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da olan, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 koruma\/prim geliri sa\u011flayan sat\u0131\u015f opsiyonu) sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 anlaml\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor; \u00f6zellikle 1,3600 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun i\u015flem g\u00f6rme seviyesi) civar\u0131. Bu strateji, prim geliri (premium: opsiyon sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n pe\u015fin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fccret) toplarken, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda sterlinin bu \u00f6nemli psikolojik ve teknik seviyenin alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde inmeyece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc yans\u0131t\u0131r. Bir ayl\u0131k opsiyonlarda %8,5 seviyesindeki \u201cima edilen oynakl\u0131k\u201d (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma), bu yolla y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon almay\u0131 daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi hedefleyenler i\u00e7in \u201cbull call spread\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonu satma; maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren, risk\/\u00f6d\u00fcl s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 net strateji) daha kontroll\u00fc bir se\u00e7enek sunar. \u00d6rne\u011fin May\u0131s 1,3800 call al\u0131p 1,3950 call satmak, 2025 sonlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7 (fiyat\u0131n zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) b\u00f6lgesini hedefler. Bu yap\u0131, tek ba\u015f\u0131na call almaktan daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetlidir ve sert bir kopu\u015f (breakout) yerine kademeli y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisine daha uygundur.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Sterlin\/dolar 7 g\u00fcnl\u00fck rallinin ard\u0131ndan solukland\u0131: a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m k\u00e2r sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 tetikledi. 1,3500\u2019de Fibonacci+dip deste\u011fi, 1,3450 Ichimoku taban\u0131 izleniyor. BoE \u015fahinli\u011fi\/Fed zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Cable\u2019\u0131 destekliyor; May\u0131s 1,3600 OTM put sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 veya 1,3800-1,3950 bull call spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44683","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44683","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44683"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44683\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44683"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44683"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44683"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}