WTI (ABD ham petrol\u00fc) vadeli i\u015flemleri NYMEX\u2019te (New York Emtia Borsas\u0131) erken kay\u0131plar\u0131 telafi etti ve \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131nda 90 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Fiyatlar, The Washington Post\u2019un ABD y\u00f6netiminin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde Orta Do\u011fu\u2019ya binlerce ek asker g\u00f6ndermeyi planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yazmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
Petrol fiyatlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, ABD ile \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 ate\u015fkes i\u00e7in yeni bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme turu amac\u0131yla yeniden Pakistan\u2019a d\u00f6nmeye haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberleriyle belirsiz kald\u0131. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, ABC News\u2019e iki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkesi uzatmaya gerek g\u00f6rmedi\u011fini ve \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki iki g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde olas\u0131 bir a\u00e7\u0131klama bekledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Yaz\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda WTI 90 dolar yak\u0131n\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu ancak 92,36 dolardaki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcssel Hareketli Ortalaman\u0131n (EMA: son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren hareketli ortalama) alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI 14: fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m durumunu \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 49 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131.<\/p>\n
92,36 dolardaki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA ilk diren\u00e7 seviyesidir. Fiyat bunun \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kamazsa, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar 84,00 dolar civar\u0131ndaki \u00f6nceki dip seviyelere (\u00f6nceki geri \u00e7ekilme dipleri) bakabilir.<\/p>\n
Rapordaki teknik analiz, bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131yla haz\u0131rland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn tablo de\u011fi\u015fti; fiyatlar o zirvelerden belirgin \u015fekilde geriledi. OPEC+ 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fi boyunca \u00fcretim disiplinini (arz\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tutma) korudu. Ancak Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi\u2019nin (EIA: ABD\u2019nin resmi enerji verisi kurumu) son verileri, ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131n son d\u00f6rt haftada toplam 12 milyon varilden fazla artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu artan stok tamponu, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l endi\u015fe edilen t\u00fcrden ani arz kesintilerine kar\u015f\u0131 fiyatlar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlay\u0131c\u0131 bir unsur.<\/p>\n
Bu temel de\u011fi\u015fim, t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcnlerde (fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) farkl\u0131 bir yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 i\u015faret ediyor. WTI opsiyonlar\u0131nda (belirli bir fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) 18 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine yak\u0131nken, korunma (hedge: riski azaltma) ya da k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00f6n pozisyonlar\u0131 almak g\u00f6rece ucuz. 2026\u2019n\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in zay\u0131f k\u00fcresel talep beklentileri fiyatlar\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekerse, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar daha uzun vadeli sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flayan\/ondan kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen opsiyon) almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l \u00f6nemli olan 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 92 dolar direnci art\u0131k geride kald\u0131; g\u00fcncel diren\u00e7 81 dolar civar\u0131nda olu\u015fuyor. Stok verileri fiyatlar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olumsuzken (ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi), 83 dolar \u00fczerindeki kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131yla al\u0131m opsiyonu spread\u2019i satmak (call spread: risk s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in ayn\u0131 vadede farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 birlikte kullanma) daha temkinli bir strateji olabilir. Bu sayede prim (opsiyon geliri) toplan\u0131r ve jeopolitik gerilimlerin yeniden y\u00fckselmesi durumunda risk daha net s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Petrolde tansiyon: WTI 90 dolara toparland\u0131; Orta Do\u011fu\u2019ya ek ABD askeri haberi destek verdi. Ancak \u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri ve 12 milyon varil stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor; volatilite d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44676","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44676","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44676"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44676\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44676"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44676"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44676"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}