ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) \u2014 ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 alt\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda izleyen endeks \u2014 yedi g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc sonland\u0131rd\u0131 ve \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde 98,20 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Dolarda bask\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da diplomasi umudu g\u00fcvenli liman varl\u0131klar\u0131na (risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n s\u0131\u011f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 dolar gibi varl\u0131klar) talebi azaltt\u0131. Haberlere g\u00f6re ABD ve \u0130ran, iki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkes bitmeden \u00f6nce ikinci tur bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki gerilim ise enerji arz\u0131 ve fiyatlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik riskleri g\u00fcndemde tutuyor.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin bu hafta yeniden ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer zenginle\u015ftirmesine (uranyumun enerji\/askeri ama\u00e7l\u0131 kullan\u0131ma daha elveri\u015fli h\u00e2le getirilmesi) 20 y\u0131ll\u0131k ara verilmesi fikrine kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 JD Vance, Pakistan\u2019daki ilk tur g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde ilerleme sa\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve yeni g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin g\u00fcnler i\u00e7inde yap\u0131labilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Dolar, ABD \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (PPI) verilerinin enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etmesiyle de geriledi. PPI, \u00fcreticilerin sat\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimi \u00f6l\u00e7en bir enflasyon g\u00f6stergesidir. Man\u015fet PPI ayl\u0131k bazda %0,5 artarken beklenti %1,2 idi; \u00e7ekirdek PPI (oynak g\u0131da ve enerji kalemleri hari\u00e7) %0,1 artt\u0131, beklenti %0,6 seviyesindeydi.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda PPI martta %4 artt\u0131; beklenti %4,6 idi ve \u015fubattaki %3,4\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u00c7ekirdek PPI y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,8 ile \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fmedi.<\/p>\n
2025\u2019te ABD-\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin dolar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman cazibesini azaltmas\u0131na benzer \u015fekilde, ABD-\u00c7in ticarette normalle\u015fme g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerindeki ilerleme de bug\u00fcn risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) destekliyor. K\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131 artt\u0131k\u00e7a, sermaye genelde dolar gibi g\u00fcvenli limanlardan \u00e7\u0131kma e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterir. Bu zemin, dolar i\u00e7in a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn daha olas\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, dolar\u0131 izleyen ETF\u2019lerde (borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon) sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put; belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin Invesco DB USD Bullish Fund (UUP) \u00fczerinde put opsiyonu, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmeden faydalanmay\u0131 hedefler. Alternatif olarak EUR\/USD paritesinde al\u0131m opsiyonu (call; belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak, dolar\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131na do\u011frudan pozisyon almakt\u0131r. Tarihsel olarak EUR\/USD, DXY ile ters y\u00f6nde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ili\u015fki g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir; 2025\u2019te benzer bir d\u00f6nemde sonraki \u00fc\u00e7 ayda %4\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n
Kur piyasalar\u0131nda z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) bir miktar gerilemi\u015fken, DXY \u00fczerinde \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (mevcut fiyattan uzakta, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 daha yukar\u0131da) call spread satmak da se\u00e7enek olabilir. Call spread, iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131nda call opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n birlikte kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir stratejidir; burada \u201csatmak\u201d, prim (opsiyon bedeli) geliri hedeflemek anlam\u0131na gelir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, dolar d\u00fc\u015ferse, yatay kal\u0131rsa ya da s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckselirse kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilir; \u00f6zellikle zaman de\u011ferinin erimesinden (opsiyonun vade yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a de\u011fer kaybetmesi) yararlan\u0131r. Bu y\u00f6ntem, sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften \u00e7ok kademeli bir gerileme bekleniyorsa daha uygundur.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
DXY, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da diplomasi umudu ve beklentinin alt\u0131nda kalan PPI verisiyle g\u00fcvenli liman talebi zay\u0131flay\u0131nca 7 g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc kesti; 98,20\u2019de. Opsiyonlarda put\/UUP ve EURUSD call \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44651","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44651","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44651"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44651\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44651"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44651"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44651"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}