{"id":44639,"date":"2026-04-15T06:17:42","date_gmt":"2026-04-15T06:17:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/dolarin-zayif-seyri-surerken-altin-haftalik-zirveye-yakin\/"},"modified":"2026-04-15T06:17:42","modified_gmt":"2026-04-15T06:17:42","slug":"dolarin-zayif-seyri-surerken-altin-haftalik-zirveye-yakin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/analysis\/dolarin-zayif-seyri-surerken-altin-haftalik-zirveye-yakin\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar\u0131n Zay\u0131f Seyri S\u00fcrerken Alt\u0131n Haftal\u0131k Zirveye Yak\u0131n"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/Gold-3-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-43257\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kanlar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Spot alt\u0131n 4.841,76<\/strong> civar\u0131nda tutundu; <strong>Haziran vadeli alt\u0131n<\/strong> (belirli tarihte al\u0131m-sat\u0131m i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan s\u00f6zle\u015fme) <strong>%0,3 art\u0131\u015fla 4.866,50\u2019ye<\/strong> y\u00fckseldi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>ABD dolar\u0131 bir aydan uzun s\u00fcrenin en zay\u0131f seviyelerine<\/strong> yak\u0131n seyretti; bu durum alt\u0131na destek verdi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Piyasada bu y\u0131l <strong>Fed\u2019in 25 baz puanl\u0131k<\/strong> (0,25 y\u00fczde puan) <strong>faiz indirimi yapma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %30-%33<\/strong> g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu oran <strong>ge\u00e7en hafta yakla\u015f\u0131k %13\u2019t\u00fc<\/strong>. Ancak sava\u015f \u00f6ncesinde 2026 i\u00e7in beklenen <strong>iki indirim<\/strong> senaryosunun h\u00e2l\u00e2 olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131, ABD-\u0130ran diplomasisinden net sinyal beklenirken bir haftan\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n seyretti. <strong>Spot alt\u0131n ons ba\u015f\u0131na 4.841,76<\/strong> ile yatay kald\u0131; <strong>Haziran vadeli kontrat %0,3 y\u00fckseli\u015fle 4.866,50<\/strong> oldu. Seans \u00f6ncesinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckselen piyasada, hareketi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek yerine \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d e\u011filimi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Central banks were buying gold at record levels. Here&#39;s why they&#39;re selling now <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/d61M5P3Gyw\">https:\/\/t.co\/d61M5P3Gyw<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBC\/status\/2044195067900924104?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 14, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Fiyatlama iki etki aras\u0131nda denge kuruyor. Pakistan\u2019da yeni g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme ihtimali \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya dair pani\u011fi azaltt\u0131; ancak <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/UMiKwoiATm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131<\/a> (K\u00f6rfez petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00f6nemli ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) ve sava\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan gelen daha geni\u015f <strong>enflasyon \u015foku<\/strong> (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda ani ve sert y\u00fckseli\u015f) belirsizli\u011fi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Zay\u0131f Dolar Y\u00fckseli\u015fi Destekliyor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>En belirgin destek d\u00f6viz taraf\u0131nda. Dolar, bir aydan uzun s\u00fcrenin en zay\u0131f seviyelerine yak\u0131n kald\u0131. Bu da alt\u0131n\u0131, di\u011fer para birimlerini kullanan al\u0131c\u0131lar i\u00e7in daha ucuz hale getirdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu tablo, piyasalarda <strong>risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n<\/strong> (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde bile alt\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu: Hisseler y\u00fckselirken, petrol m\u00fczakere s\u00f6ylemleriyle geri \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Exclusive: US will not renew waiver on Iranian oil as it mounts pressure on Tehran, sources say <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/R0fkPNAi7P\">https:\/\/t.co\/R0fkPNAi7P<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/R0fkPNAi7P\">https:\/\/t.co\/R0fkPNAi7P<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/2044221685516136808?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 15, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc alt\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f yaln\u0131zca \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (belirsizlikte daha \u00e7ok tercih edilen varl\u0131k) talebinden gelmiyor. Zay\u0131f dolar ve petrol\u00fcn k\u0131sa vadeli bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131 da etkili. Bu iki fakt\u00f6r ayn\u0131 anda alt\u0131n\u0131n lehine d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, piyasa tamamen savunmaya ge\u00e7mese bile alt\u0131n diren\u00e7li kalabiliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Faiz \u0130ndirimi Beklentisi Artt\u0131, Ama S\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Fed beklentileri bir miktar yumu\u015fad\u0131; ancak alt\u0131n i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u201cfaiz r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131\u201d olu\u015fmu\u015f de\u011fil. Piyasa bu y\u0131l <strong>tek bir 25 baz puanl\u0131k<\/strong> (0,25 y\u00fczde puan) indirim ihtimalini <strong>%30-%33<\/strong> aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda fiyatl\u0131yor. Bu, <strong>ge\u00e7en haftaki yakla\u015f\u0131k %13<\/strong> seviyesine g\u00f6re belirgin art\u0131\u015f; ancak sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi 2026\u2019da <strong>iki indirim<\/strong> beklentisinin h\u00e2l\u00e2 gerisinde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Former Treasury Secretary and ex-Fed Chair Janet Yellen says she still sees prospects for a US rate cut later this year, though the unfolding oil shock caused by the war in Iran clouds the outlook <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/JX9b4wLVe9\">https:\/\/t.co\/JX9b4wLVe9<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2044273023373529143?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 15, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu durum alt\u0131n\u0131 \u201cara b\u00f6lgede\u201d b\u0131rak\u0131yor. <strong>Tahvil getirilerinin<\/strong> (faiz oran\u0131) d\u00fc\u015fmesi ve dolar\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131 destekleyici; ancak enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon kal\u0131c\u0131 olursa Fed temkinli kalabilir. Mart <strong>\u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131<\/strong> (\u00fcretim a\u015famas\u0131ndaki maliyetleri g\u00f6steren enflasyon verisi) beklentiden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck artsa da y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f <strong>%4,0<\/strong> ile \u015eubat 2023\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Benzin <strong>%15,7<\/strong>, jet yak\u0131t\u0131 <strong>%30,7<\/strong> artt\u0131; toplam enerji fiyatlar\u0131 <strong>%8,5<\/strong> y\u00fckseldi. <strong>Hizmet fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n<\/strong> de\u011fi\u015fmemesi, ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">XAUUSD Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>XAUUSD<\/strong> (alt\u0131n\u0131n ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki fiyat\u0131) <strong>4.849<\/strong> civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Fiyat, son \u201cdip\u201d b\u00f6lgesi olan <strong>4.098<\/strong> civar\u0131ndan toparland\u0131 ve daha geni\u015f yap\u0131n\u0131n orta band\u0131nda dengeleniyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Toparlanma sert de\u011fil, kademeli ilerliyor. Bu, al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n kontrol\u00fc yeniden ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; ancak daha \u00f6nce <strong>5.598<\/strong> zirvesine giden y\u00fckseli\u015fteki kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir h\u0131z yok. Fiyat k\u0131sa vadede <strong>yatay bant<\/strong> (k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma) i\u00e7ine giriyor; bu da bir <strong>taban olu\u015fumu<\/strong> (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn durup dengelenmesi) ihtimalini art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan yap\u0131 yeniden <strong>yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc toparlanma<\/strong> evresine d\u00f6n\u00fcyor. Fiyat <strong>5 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (4.789)<\/strong> ve <strong>10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (4.745)<\/strong> <strong>hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n<\/strong> (fiyat\u0131n belirli g\u00fcn ortalamas\u0131; trendi g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu ortalamalar yukar\u0131 d\u00f6nerek yak\u0131n destek olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (4.643)<\/strong> hareketli ortalama daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban konumunda. Bu da k\u0131sa vadeli alg\u0131n\u0131n iyile\u015fti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Genel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, \u201cdaha y\u00fcksek dipler\u201d (her geri \u00e7ekilmede \u00f6nceki dibe g\u00f6re daha yukar\u0131da durmas\u0131) s\u00fcrd\u00fck\u00e7e yap\u0131c\u0131 kal\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/image-14-1024x458.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-47675\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130zlenecek seviyeler:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Destek:<\/strong> 4.780 \u2192 4.640 \u2192 4.410<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Diren\u00e7:<\/strong> 4.900 \u2192 5.050 \u2192 5.280<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Alt\u0131n \u015fu anda <strong>4.900<\/strong> diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesini test ediyor. Bu seviyenin \u00fczerine net ge\u00e7i\u015f, <strong>5.050<\/strong> hedefini g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131yabilir; yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc h\u0131z artarsa daha fazla y\u00fckseli\u015f alan\u0131 olu\u015fabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise <strong>4.780<\/strong> ilk destek. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na sarkma, <strong>4.640<\/strong> b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru daha derin bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye yol a\u00e7abilir. Ancak fiyat yeniden \u00f6nceki bant i\u00e7ine d\u00f6nmedik\u00e7e bu hareket b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla <strong>d\u00fczeltme<\/strong> (ana y\u00f6n i\u00e7indeki ge\u00e7ici geri \u00e7ekilme) olarak kal\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Genel olarak XAUUSD, daha geni\u015f bir <strong>konsolidasyon<\/strong> (yatay s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma) i\u00e7inde <strong>erken toparlanma<\/strong> sinyalleri veriyor; al\u0131c\u0131lar kademeli bi\u00e7imde geri d\u00f6n\u00fcyor. Sonraki ad\u0131m, fiyat\u0131n <strong>4.900<\/strong> \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p \u00e7\u0131kamayaca\u011f\u0131na ya da yeniden bant i\u00e7ine d\u00f6n\u00fcp d\u00f6nmeyece\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Ne \u0130zlemeli?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Bir sonraki hareket, \u0130ran\u2019la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin kal\u0131c\u0131 bir sonu\u00e7 \u00fcretip \u00fcretmeyece\u011fine ve ABD enflasyon verilerinin daha gev\u015fek para politikas\u0131na (faizlerin d\u00fc\u015fmesi) alan a\u00e7\u0131p a\u00e7mayaca\u011f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dolar zay\u0131f kal\u0131r ve diplomasi petrol taraf\u0131ndaki bask\u0131y\u0131 azalt\u0131rsa alt\u0131n haftal\u0131k zirvelere yak\u0131n tutunabilir. G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler t\u0131kan\u0131r ve enflasyon inat\u00e7\u0131 kal\u0131rsa alt\u0131n, <strong>4.800<\/strong> band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst k\u0131sm\u0131nda yatay kalabilir.<\/p>\n\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131nda kritik bekleyi\u015f: XAUUSD 4.841\u2019de, vadeli %0,3 art\u0131\u015fla 4.866. Zay\u0131f dolar y\u00fckseli\u015fi destekliyor. Fed\u2019in 25 bp indirim olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %30-33\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; diplomasi ve enflasyon belirleyici. Teknikte 4.900 direnci izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":44638,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44639","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44639","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44639"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44639\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/44638"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44639"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44639"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44639"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}