Alt\u0131n, ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin yeniden ba\u015flayabilece\u011fi beklentisinin ABD Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratmas\u0131yla sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %2 y\u00fckseldi. XAU\/USD (ons alt\u0131n\/dolar paritesi) 4.742 dolardan toparlanarak 4.835 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
ABD ordusu, \u0130ran ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 gemilere el koyarken H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki ablukaya ili\u015fkin geli\u015fmeler s\u00fcrd\u00fc. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, bu hafta Washington\u2013Tahran aras\u0131nda olas\u0131 bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeye i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY – dolar\u0131n di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) 97,96 ile alt\u0131 haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi ve g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,26 eksideydi. WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi ham petrol) varil ba\u015f\u0131na %6,40\u2019a yak\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 91,72 dolara indi.<\/p>\n
Chicago Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Austan Goolsbee, enerji fiyatlar\u0131 enflasyonu (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131) y\u00fcksek tutarsa faizlerin bu y\u0131l sabit kalabilece\u011fini, indirimlerin ise 2027\u2019de gelebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Fed Y\u00f6netim Kurulu \u00dcyesi Stephen Miran, enflasyonun bir y\u0131l i\u00e7inde hedefe daha yak\u0131n olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131 i\u00e7in bir neden g\u00f6rmedi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Mart \u00dcFE (PPI – \u00fcretici fiyat endeksi, \u00fcretim a\u015famas\u0131ndaki fiyatlar\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %4 artt\u0131; beklenti %4,6 idi. \u00c7ekirdek \u00dcFE (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7) y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,8 ile \u015fubatla ayn\u0131 kald\u0131. ADP d\u00f6rt haftal\u0131k ortalama istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 26 binden 39,25 bine y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Fed konu\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131, Beige Book\u2019u (Fed\u2019in b\u00f6lgesel ekonomik de\u011ferlendirme raporu) ve per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131 izliyor. Alt\u0131nda diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 4.857 dolar ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA (basit hareketli ortalama; fiyat\u0131n 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamas\u0131) olan 4.896 dolar olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, destek 4.800 dolar civar\u0131nda ve 4.677 ile 4.650 dolardaki SMA seviyelerinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik riskin alt\u0131n\u0131 desteklemesi ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar\u0131n alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurmas\u0131 ayn\u0131 anda ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Bu durum belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131yor ve \u00f6zellikle opsiyon (belirli bir fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) i\u015flemleri yapanlar i\u00e7in uygun bir zemin yarat\u0131yor. Alt\u0131n opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility – opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) son 10 g\u00fcnde %12\u2019nin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; bu da piyasadaki tedirginli\u011fi g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Bu ortamda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, opsiyonlarla riski s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rmay\u0131 tercih edebilir. \u201cParan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d (out-of-the-money – mevcut fiyattan daha yukar\u0131da kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131) haziran vadeli yakla\u015f\u0131k 4.950 dolar kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonu (call option – belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak, olas\u0131 yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmaya maruz kalmay\u0131 sa\u011flarken dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131 halinde kayb\u0131 \u00f6denen primle (opsiyon \u00fccreti) s\u0131n\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca Fed\u2019in duru\u015fu daha hassas. Y\u0131l i\u00e7indeki iki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck faiz indiriminin ard\u0131ndan, mart T\u00dcFE (CPI – t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) %3,2 ile beklentiden s\u0131cak geldi; bu da ilave gev\u015femeye ara verilmesi ihtimalini art\u0131rd\u0131. Son i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 verileri de i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n diren\u00e7li oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle Fed\u2019in bir sonraki ad\u0131m\u0131 belirsiz.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Jeopolitik tansiyon ve zay\u0131flayan dolar\u0131n kesi\u015fiminde alt\u0131n sert y\u00fckseldi: XAU\/USD %2\u2019ye yak\u0131n art\u0131\u015fla 4.835 dolara geldi. DXY gerilerken Fed mesajlar\u0131, petrol d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ve volatilite y\u00f6n aray\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44621","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44621","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44621"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44621\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44621"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44621"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44621"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}