AUD\/USD Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 da olsa y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimiyle i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Parite 0,7132 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131; bu seviye 12 Mart\u2019tan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczey.<\/p>\n
Yeniden ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri yap\u0131labilece\u011fine dair beklentiler ABD Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurarken, Avustralya Dolar\u0131 gibi **risk hassasiyeti y\u00fcksek** (risk i\u015ftah\u0131 art\u0131nca g\u00fc\u00e7lenen) para birimlerini destekledi. Olas\u0131 bir anla\u015fma beklentisi petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Bu durum yak\u0131n vadeli **enflasyon** (fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131) risklerini azaltarak, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (**Fed**) para politikas\u0131n\u0131 daha da s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma (faiz art\u0131rma) bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanan **\u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (PPI)** verisinin beklentiden zay\u0131f gelmesi de ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc destekledi. **ABD Dolar\u0131 Endeksi (DXY)** (dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks) 98,00 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; bu seviye 2 Mart\u2019tan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck d\u00fczey.<\/p>\n
Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019na destek veren bir di\u011fer unsur, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (**RBA**) enflasyonun h\u00e2l\u00e2 y\u00fcksek seyretmesi nedeniyle g\u00f6rece **\u015fahin** (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na daha yak\u0131n\/daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 e\u011filimli) duru\u015fuydu. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte AUD\/USD, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck **Basit Hareketli Ortalama**n\u0131n (**SMA**, fiyat\u0131n belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131 ortalamas\u0131) yeniden \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra daha geni\u015f \u00f6l\u00e7ekte y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc koruyor.<\/p>\n
Mart ay\u0131ndaki dip seviye olan 0,6833, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ile yak\u0131n seyrediyor. 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 0,7033 civar\u0131nda ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 0,6874\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde.<\/p>\n
14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck **RSI** (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; 0-100 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda momentumu g\u00f6sterir, y\u00fcksek de\u011ferler al\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 i\u015faret eder) 63 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. **MACD** (Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama\/Iraksama; trend ve momentum g\u00f6stergesi) s\u0131f\u0131r \u00e7izgisinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve **histogram** (MACD ile sinyal \u00e7izgisi fark\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u00e7ubuklar) pozitif alanda kald\u0131. Destek 0,7033; ard\u0131ndan 0,6920 ve 0,6874. Diren\u00e7 0,7150-0,7170 band\u0131; ard\u0131ndan 0,7200.<\/p>\n
Bu tersine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, **t\u00fcrev** (dayanak varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler; opsiyon gibi) yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalara y\u00f6nelik beklentilerini g\u00fcncellemesi gerekir. 2025\u2019te i\u015fe yarayan y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc stratejiler art\u0131k uygun de\u011fil. Paritenin yatay bantta kalmas\u0131 ya da Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131 senaryosunda f\u0131rsatlar g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. AUD\/USD **put opsiyonu** (belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon) alman\u0131n, 0,6400 seviyesine do\u011fru olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle (\u00f6denen primle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131) pozisyon almak i\u00e7in net bir y\u00f6ntem oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Dikkat: AUD\/USD, zay\u0131flayan dolar ve PPI s\u00fcrpriziyle 0,7132\u2019ye t\u0131rmand\u0131. \u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131p Fed\u2019i rahatlatt\u0131. RBA \u015fahin. Teknikler g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc; ancak t\u00fcrevde put\u2019la 0,6400 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc hedge edilebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44615","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44615","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44615"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44615\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44615"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44615"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44615"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}