USD\/JPY Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc 158,90 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve ABD Dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flay\u0131nca kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Reuters\u2019\u0131n, ABD ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bu hafta sonuna do\u011fru ya da gelecek haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda \u0130slamabad\u2019da yeniden g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fini yazmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan risk i\u015ftah\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme e\u011filimi) artt\u0131. Ancak Beyaz Saray herhangi bir tarih belirlenmedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
ABD verileri de dolar\u0131 bask\u0131lad\u0131. Mart \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (\u00dcFE; \u00fcreticilerin sat\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimi \u00f6l\u00e7en enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %3,8 ile beklentinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Bu veri, fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc endi\u015fesini tamamen bitirmedi ve Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) ilave faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini ortadan kald\u0131rmad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Japon Yeni, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) enflasyon tahminlerini y\u00fckseltmeyi de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fine dair haberlerle g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. BoJ ve Fed\u2019in yakla\u015f\u0131k iki hafta i\u00e7inde para politikas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131 yapmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
D\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte USD\/JPY 158,87 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131 ve 20 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n (basit hareketli ortalama; fiyat\u0131n son 20 d\u00f6nemdeki ortalamas\u0131) 159,24 ve 100 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n 159,27 seviyelerinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; 0-100 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 42 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. 158,94 seviyesi diren\u00e7 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Destek seviyeleri 158,78, 158,72 ve 158,61 olarak izlendi. 158,94 \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltabilir; sonraki diren\u00e7ler 159,24 ve 159,27 seviyelerinde.<\/p>\n
USD\/JPY paritesinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filim g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. ABD \u00dcFE verisi %3,8 ile h\u00e2l\u00e2 y\u00fcksek olsa da beklentiden daha yava\u015f art\u0131\u015f dolara bir miktar g\u00fc\u00e7 kaybettirdi. Bu durum, merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn devam\u0131na y\u00f6nelik pozisyon almak i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat yaratabilir.<\/p>\n
BoJ taraf\u0131ndaki olas\u0131 y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi en kritik ba\u015fl\u0131k. Para politikas\u0131n\u0131n \u201cnormalle\u015fmesi\u201d (gev\u015fek politikadan daha s\u0131k\u0131 politikaya ge\u00e7i\u015f) piyasada \u00f6nemli bir de\u011fi\u015fim anlam\u0131na gelir. Parite 2024\u2019te 160 seviyesine yakla\u015f\u0131rken m\u00fcdahale s\u00f6ylentilerine (resmi kur m\u00fcdahalesi ihtimali) ne kadar hassas oldu\u011funun g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc hat\u0131rlan\u0131yor. BoJ\u2019un o y\u0131l negatif faiz politikas\u0131n\u0131 (faizin s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n alt\u0131na indirilmesi) sonland\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, \u015fimdi enflasyon tahminlerini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekmeyi de\u011ferlendirmesi piyasada daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na daha e\u011filimli) bir duru\u015f beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019de ise g\u00fcndem, Fed\u2019in ka\u00e7 faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 daha yapaca\u011f\u0131ndan \u00e7ok, s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn (faiz art\u0131\u015f s\u00fcreci) ne zaman bitece\u011fine kay\u0131yor. Fed\u2019in hemen faiz indirimine d\u00f6nece\u011fine dair mesaj vermesi beklenmese de, 2023 ve 2024 boyunca pariteyi yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yan politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 (iki \u00fclkenin faiz politikas\u0131ndaki fark) belirgin \u015fekilde daral\u0131yor. Yakla\u015fan Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli; ancak dolar\u0131n yukar\u0131 momentumunun zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Teknik seviyeler yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli. 159,25 b\u00f6lgesi art\u0131k g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 konumunda; 20 ve 100 periyotluk hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n bu b\u00f6lgede kesi\u015fmesi direnci art\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu b\u00f6lgenin a\u015f\u0131lamamas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendirir; ilk hedef 158,70 \u00e7evresindeki destek band\u0131 olabilir. K\u0131sa pozisyonlar i\u00e7in zarar-kes (stop-loss; fiyat tersine d\u00f6nerse zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in otomatik \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f seviyesi) emirlerinin bu direncin hemen \u00fczerine konulmas\u0131, ABD-\u0130ran haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131yla ani y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015fiminde riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Piyasalar dikkat: USD\/JPY 158,90\u2019a geriledi. Zay\u0131f dolar ve BoJ\u2019un daha \u015fahin sinyali risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131; ABD \u00dcFE %3,8 ile s\u00fcrpriz yapt\u0131. Diren\u00e7 159,25, destek 158,70.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44609","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44609","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44609"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44609\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44609"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44609"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44609"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}