Trump d\u00f6neminde ABD\u2019nin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda deniz ablukas\u0131 ba\u015flad\u0131; ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler ise s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Ablukaya ra\u011fmen riskli varl\u0131klarda (hisse senetleri gibi dalgalanmas\u0131 y\u00fcksek yat\u0131r\u0131m ara\u00e7lar\u0131) toparlanma g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Piyasa havas\u0131 art\u0131k ablukas\u0131n\u0131n ne kadar s\u0131k\u0131 uygulanaca\u011f\u0131na ve m\u00fczakerelerin anla\u015fmayla sonu\u00e7lan\u0131p sonu\u00e7lanmayaca\u011f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131. Uygulama ya da diplomasideki her de\u011fi\u015fim, alg\u0131y\u0131 h\u0131zla tersine \u00e7evirebilir.<\/p>\n
Asya piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7en enerji sevkiyat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k nedeniyle daha fazla etkilendi\u011fi belirtiliyor. Bu hassasiyet, b\u00f6lge para birimleriyle (kur) genel piyasa hareketlerini bo\u011fazdaki geli\u015fmelere daha ba\u011fl\u0131 h\u00e2le getiriyor.<\/p>\n
Haberde, metnin bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131yla haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve bir edit\u00f6r taraf\u0131ndan kontrol edildi\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019nin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, s\u00fcren diplomatik temaslar\u0131n etkisiyle riskli varl\u0131klarda k\u0131r\u0131lgan bir toparlanma g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Ancak bu sakinlik yan\u0131lt\u0131c\u0131 olabilir: Brent ham petrol (Kuzey Denizi referans petrol\u00fc) ge\u00e7en hafta \u00f6nce %20\u2019den fazla y\u00fckselerek varil ba\u015f\u0131na 115 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131, ard\u0131ndan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme haberleriyle 105 dolar civar\u0131na geriledi. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin \u00e7\u00f6kmesi ve ablukadaki uygulaman\u0131n sertle\u015fmesi ihtimaline kar\u015f\u0131, petrol vadeli i\u015flemlerinde \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d al\u0131m opsiyonu (mevcut fiyattan daha yukar\u0131 bir seviyeden alma hakk\u0131 veren, bu y\u00fczden primi daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olabilen opsiyon) almay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli bir strateji olarak de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n
Bu jeopolitik belirsizlik, piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zla art\u0131rd\u0131. CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX: S&P 500 i\u00e7in beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d) 15\u2019ten 28\u2019e kadar y\u00fckseldi; bu seviye ge\u00e7en y\u0131l bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki tedirginlikten beri g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015fti. VIX daha sonra 22 civar\u0131na inse de, bu y\u00fcksek seviye piyasa stresinin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor. VIX vadeli i\u015flem s\u00f6zle\u015fmeleri (gelecekteki VIX seviyesine ba\u011fl\u0131 kontratlar) ya da oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 izleyen borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonlar\u0131 (ETF: borsada hisse gibi al\u0131n\u0131p sat\u0131lan fon) \u00fczerindeki opsiyonlar, daha geni\u015f hisse piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 sarsabilecek ani bir t\u0131rman\u0131\u015fa kar\u015f\u0131 do\u011frudan koruma sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n
Asya piyasalar\u0131 \u00f6zellikle k\u0131r\u0131lgan; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc d\u00fcnya petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k be\u015fte biri H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7iyor ve Japonya, \u00c7in ile G\u00fcney Kore en b\u00fcy\u00fck ithalat\u00e7\u0131lar aras\u0131nda. \u0130lk tepkide Japon yeni ve G\u00fcney Kore wonu, ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %2\u2019den fazla de\u011fer kaybetti, ard\u0131ndan k\u0131smi toparlanma geldi. Bu ekonomileri orant\u0131s\u0131z bi\u00e7imde vurabilecek yeni bir gerilime kar\u015f\u0131, dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda bu para birimlerinde sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131; kur d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 koruma) daha hedefli bir riskten korunma arac\u0131 olabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019de ABD ablukas\u0131 ve \u0130ran\u2019la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler piyasay\u0131 kilitledi: Riskli varl\u0131klarda k\u0131r\u0131lgan toparlanma, petrolde sert dalga, VIX\u2019te s\u0131\u00e7rama. Asya para birimleri hassas; opsiyonlarla korunma stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44608","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44608","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44608"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44608\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44608"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44608"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44608"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}