Kevin Hassett, Beyaz Saray\u2019\u0131n K\u0131demli Dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Fox Business\u2019a enerji fiyatlar\u0131 ve faiz oranlar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
Beyaz Saray\u2019\u0131n, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015fmesini bekledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirimine gidebilmesi i\u00e7in alan\u0131n olduk\u00e7a g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirtti.<\/p>\n
Enerji fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ferse Fed\u2019in faiz indirebilmesi i\u00e7in \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bat\u0131 Teksas tipi (WTI) ham petrol\u00fcn (ABD\u2019de referans petrol t\u00fcr\u00fc) varil fiyat\u0131 yak\u0131n zamanda 95 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karken, enerji kalemi son a\u00e7\u0131klanan y\u00fczde 3,8\u2019lik enflasyon verisinin \u00f6nemli bir itici g\u00fcc\u00fc oldu. Bu durum, piyasalar\u0131n bekledi\u011fi \u201cgev\u015feme d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne\u201d (faiz indirimlerinin ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6neme) Fed\u2019in ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 geciktiriyor.<\/p>\n
Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 gibi kritik deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fczerg\u00e2hlar\u0131nda gerilimin azalmas\u0131na (risklerin d\u00fc\u015fmesine) i\u015faret eden her sinyali izliyoruz. Aniden sa\u011flanacak bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm, 2025 sonlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen modele benzer bi\u00e7imde enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda h\u0131zl\u0131 bir gerileme yaratabilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, b\u00f6yle sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon almak i\u00e7in ham petrol vadeli i\u015flemlerinde \u201csat\u0131m opsiyonu\u201dnu (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilen hak) de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n
Petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, enflasyon beklentilerini do\u011frudan etkileyerek Fed\u2019in daha erken faiz indirmesine kap\u0131 aralayabilir. Bu da, faiz vadeli i\u015flemleri \u00fczerine \u201cal\u0131m opsiyonu\u201dnu (call: fiyat y\u00fckseli\u015finden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilen hak) \u2014\u00f6rne\u011fin SOFR\u2019a ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerde\u2014 daha cazip bir strateji h\u00e2line getiriyor. (SOFR: ABD\u2019de gecelik teminatl\u0131 bor\u00e7 verme faizini baz alan referans oran.) Bu t\u00fcr pozisyonlar, piyasan\u0131n mevcut y\u00fczde 5,50 seviyesinden y\u0131l ortas\u0131nda faiz indirimi ihtimalini yeniden fiyatlamas\u0131yla (beklentileri yeni fiyatlara yans\u0131tmas\u0131yla) de\u011fer kazanabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Piyasalar\u0131n g\u00f6z\u00fc H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019de: Hassett, bo\u011faz a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131rsa petrol\u00fcn h\u0131zla d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini, bunun enflasyonu gev\u015fetip Fed\u2019e faiz indirimi alan\u0131 yarataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi; put-call stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44597","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44597","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44597"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44597\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44597"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44597"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44597"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}