{"id":44523,"date":"2026-04-14T04:21:36","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T04:21:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/hafta-sonu-acilis-bosluguyla-asagi-yonlu-baslayan-gumus-toparlansa-da-100-gunluk-sma-direncine-takildi-033-gerileyerek-7558-dolar-civarinda-islem-goruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-14T04:21:36","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T04:21:36","slug":"hafta-sonu-acilis-bosluguyla-asagi-yonlu-baslayan-gumus-toparlansa-da-100-gunluk-sma-direncine-takildi-033-gerileyerek-7558-dolar-civarinda-islem-goruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/hafta-sonu-acilis-bosluguyla-asagi-yonlu-baslayan-gumus-toparlansa-da-100-gunluk-sma-direncine-takildi-033-gerileyerek-7558-dolar-civarinda-islem-goruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Hafta sonu a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f bo\u015flu\u011fuyla a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ba\u015flayan g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f toparlansa da 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA direncine tak\u0131ld\u0131; %0,33 gerileyerek 75,58 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f (XAG\/USD) Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc bir miktar toparlansa da, ABD-\u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin olumsuz haberlerin hafta sonu a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc fiyat bo\u015flu\u011fu (piyasan\u0131n arada i\u015flem g\u00f6rmeden bir \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015ftan belirgin farkl\u0131 seviyeden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131) yaratmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,33 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu. Yaz\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda 72,61 dolarl\u0131k g\u00fcn i\u00e7i dipten tepki alarak 75,58 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama (SMA: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131; trend y\u00f6n\u00fc i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) olan 76,09 seviyesinde diren\u00e7le kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131 ve 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 73,28 seviyesinde destek buldu. 72,61 dolardaki d\u00f6rt g\u00fcn\u00fcn en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi, fiyat 75,50 \u00fczerinde kalsa bile daha fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f riskini art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Momentum Ve Kritik Tetikleyici<\/h3>\n

G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge; 50 civar\u0131 n\u00f6tr kabul edilir) n\u00f6tr seviyeye yak\u0131n yatay seyretti ve hareketin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret etti. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (PPI: \u00fcretici taraf\u0131ndaki fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren enflasyon verisi) verisini olas\u0131 bir tetikleyici olarak bekliyordu.<\/p>\n

Fiyat 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karsa izlenecek seviyeler 77,98 (3 Mart\u2019taki dipten sonra diren\u00e7 haline gelen seviye) ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 79,21. Fiyat 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na inerse hedefler 2 Nisan dibi 69,58 ve ard\u0131ndan 23 Mart d\u00f6ng\u00fc dibi (d\u00f6nemsel hareket i\u00e7indeki en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye) 60,95 olur.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrev (vadeli i\u015flem ve opsiyon gibi, de\u011feri dayanak varl\u0131ktan t\u00fcreyen \u00fcr\u00fcnler) i\u015flemi yapanlar i\u00e7in 73,28\u2019deki eski destek seviyesinin alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sinyali olur. 2025\u2019in sonunda benzer bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc: ABD istihdam verisi beklenenden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelince dolar de\u011fer kazand\u0131 ve g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f sonraki ay yakla\u015f\u0131k %10 geriledi. Olas\u0131 69,58 hedefine hareketten yararlanmak i\u00e7in sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almak veya ay\u0131 put spreadi (ayn\u0131 vade, farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131yla put al\u0131p satma; maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr) kurmak uygun bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olur.<\/p>\n

Opsiyon Pozisyonlanmas\u0131 Ve K\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m Seviyeleri<\/h3>\n

Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 76,09 diren\u00e7inin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir hareket, al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f tetikleyicisi olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Sanayi talebi de bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc destekliyor: Son raporlara g\u00f6re g\u00fcne\u015f paneli ve 5G teknoloji sekt\u00f6rlerinde g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f t\u00fcketimi 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re %8 artt\u0131. Bu temel (fundamental: \u015firket\/ekonomi verilerine dayal\u0131) g\u00fc\u00e7, fiyatlar\u0131 77,98 hedefin\u0259 ta\u015f\u0131yabilir.<\/p>\n

Piyasa, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz n\u00f6tr RSI d\u00f6nemine benzer \u015fekilde karars\u0131zl\u0131k sinyali veriyor. CBOE G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f Volatilite Endeksi (VXSLV: g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte beklenen fiyat oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren endeks) 34 civar\u0131nda seyrediyor; bu da yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yak\u0131nda belirgin bir fiyat hareketi bekledi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu haftaki ABD PPI verisi, s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 (dar bantta hareket) bozabilecek ana tetikleyici olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 2025\u2019teki kritik fiyat seviyeleri yol g\u00f6sterici olabilir. Y\u00f6n konusunda karars\u0131z olup b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hareket bekleyenler, uzun strangle (ayn\u0131 vade, farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131ndan call ve put birlikte almak; b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketten yararlanmay\u0131 hedefler) stratejisini de\u011ferlendirebilir. Strateji, 73,28\u201376,09 band\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f teyidi g\u00f6r\u00fclmeden y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon kurmamakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte jeopolitik bask\u0131 sonras\u0131 toparlanma s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131: 76,09 diren\u00e7, 73,28 destek izleniyor. RSI n\u00f6tr, VXSLV 34. Sal\u0131 ABD PPI k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m tetikleyebilir; alt\u0131 69,58, \u00fcst\u00fc 77,98 hedef.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44523","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44523","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44523"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44523\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44523"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44523"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44523"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}