EUR\/USD, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131n\u0131n son b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde yeniden 1,1700\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131 ancak g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,2 ekside s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Toparlanma, 1,1750\u2019deki %50,0 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesinde (\u00f6nceki hareketin yar\u0131s\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k gelen teknik seviye) duraksad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Risk i\u015ftah\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi), ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin ilk turunun sonu\u00e7suz kalmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan zay\u0131flad\u0131. Trump, ABD\u2019nin 13 Nisan 10:00 ET\u2019de (14:00 GMT) \u0130ran limanlar\u0131n\u0131 ablukaya alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
ABD hisse vadeli i\u015flemleri (borsa a\u00e7\u0131lmadan fiyatlanan S&P 500 gibi kontratlar), S&P 500 i\u00e7in d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret etti. ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na talep artt\u0131; ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY, dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks) %0,2 y\u00fckselerek 99,00 civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Teknik tarafta EUR\/USD, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) 1,1611 seviyesinin ve %38,2 d\u00fczeltme seviyesi olan 1,1671\u2019in \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. 14 periyot RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 57,6 seviyesindeydi; 50\u2019nin \u00fczerinde, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinin (genelde 70 \u00fcst\u00fc) alt\u0131nda.<\/p>\n
Diren\u00e7 1,1750\u2019de, ard\u0131ndan %61,8 d\u00fczeltmeye denk gelen 1,1830\u2019da bulunuyor. Destek 1,1671\u2019de, ard\u0131ndan 1,1611\u2019de; daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 1,1572 ve 1,1413 seviyeleri izleniyor.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn G\u00fcney \u00c7in Denizi\u2019nde yeni gerilim haberleriyle dolar lehine benzer bir g\u00fcvenli liman aray\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX, piyasadaki korku\/oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi) bu hafta 23,5\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; ilk \u00e7eyrek ortalamas\u0131 17\u2019nin belirgin \u00fczerinde. Bu hareketi, ge\u00e7en haftaki ABD enflasyon verisi de destekledi: \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE (core CPI; g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) %3,2\u2019de kald\u0131. Bu da Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) daha yumu\u015fak bir tutuma ge\u00e7mesi i\u00e7in alan b\u0131rakm\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in bu tablo, EUR\/USD\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften ve artan oynakl\u0131ktan (fiyatlar\u0131n daha sert dalgalanmas\u0131) faydalanan stratejilere i\u015faret ediyor. EUR\/USD \u00fczerinde put opsiyonu (fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) almak veya bear put spread (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131nda put al\u0131p\/satarak maliyeti s\u0131n\u0131rlayan strateji) kullanmak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc artan oynakl\u0131k opsiyon primlerini (opsiyonun fiyat\u0131n\u0131) y\u00fckseltir.<\/p>\n
EUR\/USD opsiyonlar\u0131nda z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (piyasan\u0131n opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan ima etti\u011fi beklenen oynakl\u0131k) artt\u0131; bu da nisan sonu ve may\u0131s vadeli k\u0131sa vadeli kontratlar\u0131 fiyat hareketlerine daha duyarl\u0131 hale getiriyor. Parite 1,0680\u2019in \u00fczerinde kalmakta zorlan\u0131yor; buras\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n \u00f6nceki d\u00f6neminden \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan kritik bir teknik destek b\u00f6lgesi. Bunun alt\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lma (seviyenin net \u015fekilde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7ilmesi), 1,0550\u2019ye do\u011fru alan a\u00e7abilir; bu seviye ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finden beri g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Jeopolitik riskler t\u0131rman\u0131rken EUR\/USD 1,1700\u2019e yakla\u015fsa da sat\u0131c\u0131l\u0131: 1,1750\u2019de tak\u0131ld\u0131. Dolar talebi art\u0131yor, VIX y\u00fckseliyor; opsiyonda put\/bear spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor, 1,0680 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,0550 g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44475","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44475","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44475"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44475\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44475"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44475"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44475"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}