ABD Dolar\u0131, \u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fcn i\u00e7indeki \u00f6nceki kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 geri verdi. USD\/CHF, pazartesi 0,7900 yak\u0131n\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 70 piplik (d\u00f6viz paritelerinde en k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck fiyat ad\u0131m\u0131; burada yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,0070) dar bir bantta kald\u0131. Y\u00fckseli\u015f denemeleri 0,7925-0,7930 alt\u0131nda t\u0131kand\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri ge\u00e7en hafta sonu anla\u015fma olmadan bitti. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, pazartesi Do\u011fu Saati 10:00\u2019dan (14:00 GMT) itibaren \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na girmeye veya limanlardan \u00e7\u0131kmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan her geminin ABD ordusu taraf\u0131ndan engellenmesi talimat\u0131n\u0131 verdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran, k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n yasa d\u0131\u015f\u0131 oldu\u011funu ve bunu korsanl\u0131k olarak niteledi. Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019deki yabanc\u0131 askeri gemilerin ate\u015fkes ihlali say\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve sert \u015fekilde kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verilece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u0130ki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkes y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fckte. Bu da yeni g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme ihtimalini a\u00e7\u0131k tutuyor. Bu durum, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n daha fazla y\u00fckselmesini s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Pazartesi ekonomik takvim neredeyse bo\u015f. Bu nedenle i\u015flemlerde (piyasa al\u0131m-sat\u0131m\u0131nda) \u0130ran\u2019a ili\u015fkin haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n belirleyici olmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc, ge\u00e7en cuma a\u00e7\u0131klanan ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi\u2019nden (T\u00dcFE; t\u00fcketicinin \u00f6dedi\u011fi fiyatlardaki art\u0131\u015f) sonra Mart ay\u0131 ABD \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (\u00dcFE; \u00fcretici sat\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f) gelecek. Bu veri, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) \u201cgev\u015feme d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc\u201d (faiz indirimleri) geri \u00e7evirmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki beklentileri art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n
Ana etken art\u0131k Fed ile \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131 (SNB) aras\u0131ndaki politika fark\u0131. Nisan 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk haftas\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanan veriler, ABD \u201c\u00e7ekirdek enflasyonunun\u201d (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra hesaplanan enflasyon) %3,7\u2019ye h\u0131zland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Bu, Fed \u00fczerinde faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan \u0130svi\u00e7re enflasyonu %1,4\u2019e geriledi. Bu da SNB\u2019ye, ge\u00e7en ayki ilk ad\u0131m\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yeni faiz indirimlerini de\u011ferlendirme alan\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bu b\u00fcy\u00fcyen \u201cfaiz fark\u0131\u201d (iki \u00fclkedeki faiz oranlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki fark), dolar\u0131n frang kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesini destekliyor. Bu nedenle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda \u201coynakl\u0131k\u201d (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) \u00fczerine kurulu stratejiler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, USD\/CHF\u2019de \u201copsiyon\u201d (belirli vadede belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131) piyasas\u0131nda \u201cba\u015faba\u015f straddle\u201d (ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131nda hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alma; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareketten yararlanma) alarak mevcut s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmadan olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n
Y\u00f6nl\u00fc beklentisi olanlar i\u00e7in temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm dolar lehine. \u0130ki ay vadeli USD\/CHF \u201cal\u0131m opsiyonu\u201d (call; fiyat y\u00fckselirse kazand\u0131ran opsiyon) almak, 0,9300 \u201cdiren\u00e7\u201d seviyesine (fiyat\u0131n y\u00fckselirken zorlanabilece\u011fi e\u015fik) do\u011fru hareketten s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle faydalanma imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunar.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/CHF g\u00fcn i\u00e7i kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 silerken H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimi piyasay\u0131 kilitliyor. Parite 0,7900 \u00e7evresinde s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Fed-SNB faiz ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 dolar lehine; volatilite\/opsiyon stratejileri ve 0,9300 hedefi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44471","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44471","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44471"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44471\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44471"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44471"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44471"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}