\u0130ran devlet medyas\u0131 IRIB, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Hatemu\u2019l-Enbiya Merkez Kararg\u00e2h\u0131 s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa i\u015flemleri s\u0131ras\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, Tahran\u2019\u0131n ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na giren ve \u00e7\u0131kan gemileri ablukaya alma planlar\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131nad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Truth Social\u2019da ABD\u2019nin 13 Nisan\u2019da TS\u0130 17.00\u2019de (14.00 GMT) \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na giri\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f yapan gemileri ablukaya alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yazd\u0131.<\/p>\n
S\u00f6zc\u00fc, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n g\u00fcvenli\u011fi tehdit edilirse Basra K\u00f6rfezi\u2019ndeki limanlarda g\u00fcvenli\u011fin kalmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. ABD\u2019nin gemi hareketlerini k\u0131s\u0131tlamas\u0131n\u0131 yasa d\u0131\u015f\u0131 olarak niteleyen s\u00f6zc\u00fc, bunu \u201cdeniz haydutlu\u011fu\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
S\u00f6zc\u00fc ayr\u0131ca, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u201cd\u00fc\u015fmanlar\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131\u201d gemilerin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7i\u015fine izin verilmeyece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na abluka uygulamaya haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 ve Tahran\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 hedef alaca\u011f\u0131 mesaj\u0131, enerji piyasalar\u0131nda sert dalgalanma riskini art\u0131r\u0131yor. \u201cDar ge\u00e7it\u201d (chokepoint: ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n zorunlu olarak ge\u00e7ti\u011fi stratejik bo\u011faz) olan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019den d\u00fcnya g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol t\u00fcketiminin yakla\u015f\u0131k be\u015fte biri ge\u00e7iyor; olas\u0131 bir aksama, piyasada \u201carz \u015foku\u201d (k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede ciddi tedarik daralmas\u0131) yaratabilir. Bu nedenle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, WTI ve Brent ham petrol \u201cvadeli kontratlar\u0131nda\u201d (futures: belirli vadede \u00f6nceden belirlenen fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) k\u0131sa vadeli pozisyonlar\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izliyor.<\/p>\n
Benzer bir tablo 2019\u2019da Suudi Arabistan\u2019daki petrol tesislerine y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar sonras\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Brent vadeli kontratlar\u0131 tek seansta yakla\u015f\u0131k %20 y\u00fckselerek, piyasan\u0131n arz riskini ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermi\u015fti. Bu t\u00fcr d\u00f6nemlerde \u201cal\u0131m opsiyonu\u201d (call option: fiyat y\u00fckselirse kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan hak) gibi ara\u00e7lar, olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalanmak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labiliyor.<\/p>\n
ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131, piyasalarda risk alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 bozabilir. \u201cKorku endeksi\u201d olarak bilinen CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX: S&P 500 i\u00e7in beklenen k\u0131sa vadeli fiyat oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimine girebilir. Bu ortamda VIX \u201cvadeli kontratlar\u0131\u201d veya VIX \u201cal\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131\u201d, genel piyasa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 \u201ckorunma\u201d (hedge: zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in ters pozisyon alma) amac\u0131yla de\u011ferlendirilebiliyor.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik stres d\u00f6nemlerinde para genellikle \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tercih edilen varl\u0131klar) olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen ara\u00e7lara y\u00f6nelir. 2022 ba\u015f\u0131nda Ukrayna\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n haftalar i\u00e7inde %10\u2019dan fazla y\u00fckselmesi buna \u00f6rnek g\u00f6sterilebilir. Bu nedenle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, alt\u0131n vadeli kontratlar\u0131 veya alt\u0131na dayal\u0131 \u201cborsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonlar\u0131\u201d (ETF: borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon) \u00fczerindeki al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131yla pozisyon almay\u0131 tercih edebiliyor.<\/p>\n
Enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme riski, k\u00fcresel hisse piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7in olumsuz bir zemin olu\u015fturuyor. Petrol kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 ve \u201criskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d (risk-off: yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p daha g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) e\u011filimi, S&P 500 gibi endeksler \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurabilir. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede SPY veya SPX \u00fczerinde \u201csat\u0131m opsiyonu\u201d (put option: fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan hak) almak, olas\u0131 bir d\u00fczeltmeye kar\u015f\u0131 korunma arac\u0131 olarak kullan\u0131labiliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Piyasalar diken \u00fcst\u00fcnde: Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na abluka mesaj\u0131na Tahran sert tepki verdi, \u201cdeniz haydutlu\u011fu\u201d dedi; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fc i\u015faret etti. Petrol-arz \u015foku, VIX, alt\u0131n ve endekslerde hedge g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44463","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44463","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44463"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44463\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44463"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44463"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44463"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}