NZD\/USD, haftaya a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir fiyat bo\u015flu\u011fu (gap: piyasa kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f aras\u0131nda fiyat\u0131n atlamas\u0131) ile ba\u015flad\u0131ktan sonra y\u00fckseldi ve Pazartesi Asya i\u015flemlerinde 0,5830 civar\u0131nda seyretti. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte parite, y\u00fckselen bir kanal (ascending channel: fiyat\u0131n iki paralel \u00e7izgi aras\u0131nda kademeli y\u00fckseldi\u011fi bant) i\u00e7inde kalmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n
14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: 0-100 aras\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcmle fiyat\u0131n al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) 51\u2019in biraz \u00fczerinde. Bu, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir yukar\u0131 e\u011filime i\u015faret ediyor ancak net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma yok. Fiyat, uzun vadeli EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama: son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Parite, 9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA ile 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA aras\u0131nda kalarak i\u015flemleri b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yatay bantta tutuyor. Diren\u00e7 0,5843\u2019te; ard\u0131ndan kanal\u0131n \u00fcst band\u0131na yak\u0131n 0,5900 b\u00f6lgesi izleniyor.<\/p>\n
Fiyat kanal\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karsa 0,6094\u2019e do\u011fru hareket g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Bu seviye Temmuz 2025\u2019ten beri g\u00f6r\u00fclen ve 29 Ocak\u2019ta test edilen b\u00f6lgeydi. Destek, 9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019ya yak\u0131n 0,5797\u2019de; ard\u0131ndan kanal taban\u0131na yak\u0131n 0,5740 seviyesi bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
Kanal\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkma, 6 Nisan\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fclen ve yakla\u015f\u0131k be\u015f ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u011f\u00fc olan 0,5681\u2019e do\u011fru alan a\u00e7abilir. Teknik analiz, bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131 deste\u011fiyle haz\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n
NZD\/USD dar bir bantta s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, sab\u0131rl\u0131 kalmak veya bant i\u00e7i i\u015flem stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Parite 0,5797\u2019deki 9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA deste\u011fi ile 0,5843\u2019teki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA direnci aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu karars\u0131zl\u0131k, piyasaya da yans\u0131yor: 1 ayl\u0131k opsiyonlarda ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen, piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) %8,2\u2019ye gerileyerek bu \u00e7eyre\u011fin en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine indi.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fckseli\u015f bekleyenler i\u00e7in, emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki toparlanma temel (makro\/ekonomik) tarafta destekleyici olabilir. Ge\u00e7en haftaki Global Dairy Trade ihalesinde tam ya\u011fl\u0131 s\u00fct tozu fiyatlar\u0131 %2,1 artt\u0131; bu durum Yeni Zelanda dolar\u0131na (Kiwi) zemin sa\u011flayabilir. 0,5843 \u00fczerinde net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, 0,5900 civar\u0131ndaki \u00fcst bant\u0131n yeniden testini hedefleyen al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc call opsiyonlar\u0131 (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon) i\u00e7in tetikleyici olabilir.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, \u00f6zellikle ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) \u015fahin duru\u015funu (hawkish: faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma\/hatta art\u0131rma e\u011filimi) korumas\u0131 nedeniyle a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lma riski de g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmemeli. Parite 0,5797 deste\u011fini kaybederse, s\u0131radaki kritik s\u0131nav 0,5740 civar\u0131ndaki kanal alt band\u0131 olur. Bu seviyenin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, 0,5681\u2019deki 6 Nisan dibine do\u011fru d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle put opsiyonlar\u0131na (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon) talep getirebilir.<\/p>\n
RSI\u2019\u0131n 51 civar\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir momentum olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; bu nedenle yatay seyre (konsolidasyon: fiyat\u0131n dar aral\u0131kta s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmas\u0131) oynayan stratejiler i\u015fe yarayabilir. Opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, 0,5740\u20130,5900 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131na kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131 yerle\u015ftirerek strangle satmay\u0131 (strangle: \u00fcst ve alt iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call ve put birlikte; sat\u0131\u015fta yatay piyasadan prim toplama) ya da iron condor kurmay\u0131 (iron condor: iki spread\u2019i birle\u015ftirip fiyat\u0131n bantta kalmas\u0131ndan yararlanma) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, fiyat\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda bu bantta kalmas\u0131ndan fayda sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte 2025\u2019in d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde benzer bir s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma sonras\u0131 29 Ocak\u2019taki 0,6094 zirvesine sert y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oynakl\u0131k d\u00f6nemlerinin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n \u00f6ncesi olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu nedenle kilit destek ve diren\u00e7 seviyelerine alarm kurmak, bir sonraki b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketi yakalamak i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" NZD\/USD dar bantta nefesini tutuyor! Parite 0,5797 destek\u20130,5843 diren\u00e7 aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131; RSI 51, oynakl\u0131k %8,2 ile dipte. 0,5900\/0,5740 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,6094 veya 0,5681 g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44449","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44449","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44449"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44449\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44449"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44449"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44449"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}