EUR\/CAD, pazartesi Asya i\u015flemlerinde \u00f6nceki kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 telafi ettikten sonra 1,6200 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc, ancak genel olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte kald\u0131. ABD\u2013\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin anla\u015fma olmadan bitmesiyle piyasalarda riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f (risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) artt\u0131 ve Euro zay\u0131flad\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 JD Vance, \u0130slamabad\u2019daki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin 21 saat sonra uzla\u015f\u0131 olmadan bitti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump, \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na giri\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f yapan gemilere y\u00f6nelik deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131n 13 Nisan 10:00 ET\u2019de (14:00 GMT) ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon martta %2,5\u2019e y\u00fckseldi; bu seviye Ocak 2025\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczey ve ECB\u2019nin (Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131) %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde. ECB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Christine Lagarde, enflasyon kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde hedefe d\u00f6nene kadar para politikas\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. (S\u0131k\u0131 politika: faizlerin y\u00fcksek tutulmas\u0131 ve finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131n gev\u015fetilmemesi.)<\/p>\n
Nordea, hazirandan ba\u015flayarak d\u00f6rder kez 25 baz puanl\u0131k (baz puan: y\u00fczde puan\u0131n y\u00fczde biri; 25 baz puan = 0,25 puan) faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. Notta, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma bitse bile fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n geni\u015fleyerek s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Kanada Dolar\u0131 (CAD), petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015ften destek bulabilir; Kanada, ABD\u2019ye en b\u00fcy\u00fck ham petrol ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131. WTI (Bat\u0131 Teksas tipi ham petrol referans fiyat\u0131) %7\u2019nin \u00fczerinde artarak varil ba\u015f\u0131na 96,90 dolar civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Petrol, ABD\u2013\u0130ran geriliminin yeniden t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda olas\u0131 bir ablukaya ili\u015fkin endi\u015felerle y\u00fckseldi. CAD ayr\u0131ca Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 faizleri, enflasyon, d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi (ihracat-ithalat fark\u0131), piyasa havas\u0131 ve ABD ekonomisindeki geli\u015fmelerle de yak\u0131ndan ili\u015fkilidir.<\/p>\n
ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin \u00e7\u00f6kmesi piyasalarda klasik bir riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f havas\u0131 yarat\u0131yor ve bu durum Euro \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kuruyor. ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ablukas\u0131n\u0131n bug\u00fcn ba\u015flamas\u0131yla belirsizli\u011fin s\u00fcrmesi ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n EUR gibi daha riskli g\u00f6r\u00fclen para birimlerinden uzakla\u015fmas\u0131 beklenebilir.<\/p>\n
Euro, i\u00e7eride de bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda; mart enflasyonu %2,5 ile ECB hedefinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. Benzer bir tablo 2022\u2019nin ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc: Avrupa\u2019daki jeopolitik stres Euro\u2019yu zay\u0131flat\u0131rken, enflasyon ileride faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 zorlayacak \u015fekilde y\u00fckseliyordu. \u015eu a\u015famada jeopolitik endi\u015feler, ECB\u2019nin \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na yatk\u0131n, s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015f) s\u00f6ylemini g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rakabilir.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer tarafta Kanada Dolar\u0131, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki s\u0131\u00e7ramadan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek al\u0131yor; WTI ham petrol varili 97 dolar civar\u0131nda. Kanada g\u00fcnde 4 milyon varilin \u00fczerinde petrol ihra\u00e7 ediyor ve bunun b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131 ABD\u2019ye gidiyor. Daha y\u00fcksek fiyatlar, d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirerek para birimini destekleyebilir; bu da mevcut ortamda CAD\u2019i g\u00f6rece daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Euro\u2019nun zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131, emtia (petrol gibi ham madde) destekli Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fi bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, EUR\/CAD paritesi i\u00e7in a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f) g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme i\u015faret ediyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in EUR\/CAD\u2019de \u201cput opsiyonu\u201d (vade sonunda belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften yararlanmak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) almak, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe oynayan bir y\u00f6ntem olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden petrol arz\u0131na y\u00f6nelik tehditler, ge\u00e7mi\u015fte piyasada kal\u0131c\u0131 belirsizlik yaratm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu t\u00fcr d\u00f6nemlerde oynakl\u0131k (volatilite: fiyatlar\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede sert dalgalanmas\u0131) artar; bu da opsiyon primlerini (opsiyonun maliyeti) y\u00fckseltir ve riskleri b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcr.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Jeopolitik \u015fok EUR\/CAD\u2019i a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor: ABD\u2013\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri da\u011f\u0131ld\u0131, riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f Euro\u2019yu zay\u0131flatt\u0131. Petrol %7 s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131, CAD g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. ECB \u015fahin kalsa da belirsizlik bask\u0131n. Put opsiyonu \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44444","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44444","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44444"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44444\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44444"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44444"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44444"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}