AUD\/JPY, g\u00fcnl\u00fck kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 bir miktar azaltmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen negatifte kald\u0131 ve Pazartesi Asya saatlerinde 112,40 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Hareket, ABD Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 JD Vance\u2019in Washington ile Tahran\u2019\u0131n \u0130slamabad\u2019da 21 saat s\u00fcren g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin ard\u0131ndan bir bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131na varamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemesi sonras\u0131 artan riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015fla Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, ABD\u2019nin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na giren veya \u00e7\u0131kan t\u00fcm gemileri ablukaya almaya ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. ABD Merkez Komutanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (US Central Command), Pazartesi TS\u0130 21.00\u2019de (14:00 GMT \/ 10:00 ET) \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na giden ve bu limanlardan \u00e7\u0131kan deniz trafi\u011fini hedefleyen operasyonlar\u0131 do\u011frulad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Artan enerji maliyetleri enflasyon endi\u015felerini b\u00fcy\u00fctt\u00fc. Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n ayl\u0131k enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi (ay ay fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 izleyen veri) Mart\u2019ta rekor %1,3 oldu. Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA), faizi 50 baz puan art\u0131rarak %4,10\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Baz puan, faizdeki de\u011fi\u015fimin \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fcd\u00fcr; 50 baz puan = %0,50. Piyasalar May\u0131s\u2019ta bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha bekliyor.<\/p>\n
Yen taraf\u0131nda, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f \u201cstagflasyon\u201d kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. Stagflasyon, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin zay\u0131f seyrederken enflasyonun y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131d\u0131r. Daha pahal\u0131 enerji, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) yak\u0131n vadede faiz art\u0131rabilece\u011fi beklentilerini y\u00fckseltti. BoJ, 28 Nisan\u2019da politika karar\u0131n\u0131 verecek; y\u00fcksek k\u00fcresel enerji ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u201cs\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmay\u0131\u201d (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 veya para politikas\u0131n\u0131n daha k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 hale gelmesi) destekleyip desteklemedi\u011fini de\u011ferlendirecek.<\/p>\n
Japonya\u2019n\u0131n 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k devlet tahvili faizi, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin bozulmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan petrol\u00fcn y\u00fckselmesiyle Pazartesi yakla\u015f\u0131k %2,47\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Tahvil faizi (getiri), devletin uzun vadeli bor\u00e7lanma maliyetini ve piyasan\u0131n enflasyon\/faiz beklentilerini yans\u0131t\u0131r. Sakura Raporu\u2019nda \u00fcyelerin enflasyon risklerini b\u00fcy\u00fcme risklerine kar\u015f\u0131 tartt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. Dokuz b\u00f6lgenin tamam\u0131 ko\u015fullar\u0131 \u201c\u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 toparlan\u0131yor\u201d, \u201ctoparlan\u0131yor\u201d veya \u201c\u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019nin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ablukaya almas\u0131, d\u00fcnya petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc do\u011frudan tehdit ediyor; tarihsel olarak k\u00fcresel t\u00fcketimin yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019si bu bo\u011fazdan ge\u00e7iyor. Bu nedenle ham petrol \u201cvadeli i\u015flemlerinde\u201d (gelecekte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) uzun pozisyon veya \u201ccall opsiyonu\u201d (belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) gerilimi fiyatlamak i\u00e7in do\u011frudan bir y\u00f6ntem olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu \u00f6l\u00e7ekte bir arz \u015foku, fiyatlar\u0131 2025 sonlar\u0131nda ba\u015flayan enerji krizindeki seviyelerin de \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir.<\/p>\n
AUD\/JPY paritesinde ise z\u0131t bask\u0131lar, tek y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015flem yapmay\u0131 riskli k\u0131l\u0131yor. AUD, riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f nedeniyle bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda; ancak RBA\u2019n\u0131n sert faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 destek sa\u011fl\u0131yor. JPY ise y\u00fckselen enerji ithalat maliyetleri nedeniyle zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. Bu tablo, \u201ccarry trade\u201d i\u015flemlerinin (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizli para biriminden bor\u00e7lan\u0131p y\u00fcksek faizli para birimine yat\u0131r\u0131m yapma stratejisi) her iki taraftan da bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
28 Nisan\u2019daki BoJ toplant\u0131s\u0131 kritik bir g\u00fcndem. Japonya 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizinin %2,47\u2019ye s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131, ithal enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 BoJ \u00fczerinde faiz art\u0131rma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde piyasa bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. \u201cT\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcnler\u201d (dayanak varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 opsiyon ve vadeli s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler gibi ara\u00e7lar) kullan\u0131larak karar sonras\u0131 sert piyasa tepkisine pozisyon al\u0131nabilir; olas\u0131 bir politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Yen\u2019de h\u0131zl\u0131 bir yeniden fiyatlamaya yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz ablukas\u0131 tehdidi riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131 k\u00f6r\u00fckledi: AUD\/JPY 112,40\u2019ta ekside. Avustralya\u2019da rekor ayl\u0131k enflasyon RBA\u2019y\u0131 \u015fahin tutarken, petrol \u015foku Japon tahvil faizini %2,47\u2019ye ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; BoJ 28 Nisan kritik.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44439","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44439","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44439"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44439\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44439"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44439"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44439"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}