Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), pazartesi Asya i\u015flemlerinde 4 g\u00fcnl\u00fck dip olan 4.633\u20134.632 dolar b\u00f6lgesinden toparland\u0131. Kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyaller nedeniyle haftal\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bo\u015flu\u011funun (hafta a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131nda olu\u015fan fiyat bo\u015flu\u011fu) b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 kapatt\u0131. Wall Street Journal\u2019\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re, b\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleri hafta sonu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri anla\u015fmas\u0131z bitse de ABD ile \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yeniden masaya d\u00f6nd\u00fcrmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Bu durum, ABD dolar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 JD Vance, \u201cson bir teklif\u201d yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ancak \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n kabul etmedi\u011fini, bu nedenle g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin t\u0131kand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ran devlet medyas\u0131 ise a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 taleplerin anla\u015fma ihtimalini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, ABD Donanmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 abluka etmeye ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Bu ad\u0131m, iki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkesi riske at\u0131yor. \u0130srail\u2019in L\u00fcbnan\u2019daki sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesi de tansiyonu art\u0131rd\u0131; bu tablo dolar\u0131 destekleyip alt\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n
WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi referans ham petrol) son geli\u015fmelerin ard\u0131ndan yeniden varil ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k 105 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. ABD\u2019nin mart ay\u0131 enflasyon verisi, yakla\u015f\u0131k 4 y\u0131l\u0131n en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi: T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi) ayl\u0131k %0,9, y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,3 y\u00fckseldi. Bu da Hazine tahvili getirilerini (ABD devlet tahvillerinin faizi) art\u0131rarak dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.<\/p>\n
Teknik tarafta alt\u0131n, 100 saatlik SMA\u2019n\u0131n (basit hareketli ortalama; fiyat\u0131n belirli saat say\u0131s\u0131ndaki ortalamas\u0131) alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. MACD (momentum g\u00f6stergesi; trendin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7er) negatife yak\u0131n seyrederken, RSI (g\u00f6receli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; 0-100 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda al\u0131m-sat\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir) 44 civar\u0131nda. Diren\u00e7, 100 saatlik SMA\u2019ya yak\u0131n 4.732,63 dolar seviyesinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar son dipleri olas\u0131 destek olarak izledi.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, y\u00f6n tahmininden \u00e7ok sert fiyat hareketlerinden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen opsiyon stratejilerini de\u011ferlendirebilir. Alt\u0131n Volatilite Endeksi (GVZ; alt\u0131n opsiyonlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen beklenen oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi) 19 civar\u0131nda y\u00fcksek seyrederken, uzun straddle veya strangle almak (ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m\/call hem sat\u0131m\/put opsiyonu almak; fiyat yukar\u0131 ya da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa kazand\u0131r\u0131r) k\u0131r\u0131lma beklentisi i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir. Bu stratejide, alt\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir hareket yaparsa iki y\u00f6nden biri kazanca ge\u00e7er.<\/p>\n
Y\u00f6nl\u00fc beklentisi olanlar i\u00e7in, call opsiyonu almak Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da gerilimin artmas\u0131na oynarken zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tutar. Tersine, Fed\u2019in enflasyonun son k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in ek faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sinyali verece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyorsa, put opsiyonlar\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlara kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge; fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta) ya da do\u011frudan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisi i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir. Opsiyonlar, riskler y\u00fcksekken pozisyonu daha kontroll\u00fc kurmaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131n 4 g\u00fcnl\u00fck dipten tepki verdi, haftal\u0131k bo\u015flu\u011fu kapatt\u0131. Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riski destek olurken, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc T\u00dcFE tahvil faizlerini ve dolar\u0131 yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekerek y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. GVZ 19; straddle\/strangle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44425","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44425","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44425"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44425\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44425"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44425"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44425"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}