EUR\/USD, a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fta a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir fiyat bo\u015flu\u011fu (gap: fiyat\u0131n bir \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015fa g\u00f6re arada i\u015flem g\u00f6rmeden farkl\u0131 seviyeden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131) yapt\u0131ktan sonra y\u00fckseldi ve Pazartesi Asya saatlerinde 1,1690 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte parite, y\u00fckselen bir kanal (ascending channel: fiyat\u0131n \u00fcst ve alt s\u0131n\u0131rlar aras\u0131nda yukar\u0131 e\u011fimli hareket etti\u011fi bant) i\u00e7inde yukar\u0131 hareket ediyor.<\/p>\n
Parite, 9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (EMA: son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren hareketli ortalama g\u00f6stergesi) \u00fczerinde kalmaya devam ediyor; bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filime i\u015faret ediyor. 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en, 0-100 aras\u0131 momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 56 civar\u0131nda; bu da yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, ancak a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine (fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede fazla y\u00fckselmi\u015f olabilece\u011fi alan) girmedi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Diren\u00e7 (resistance: y\u00fckseli\u015flerin zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) kanal\u0131n \u00fcst band\u0131 yak\u0131n\u0131nda 1,1750 civar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; ard\u0131ndan 23 \u015eubat\u2019ta g\u00f6r\u00fclen 8 haftan\u0131n zirvesi 1,1834 izleniyor. Fiyat bu b\u00f6lgenin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karsa bir sonraki seviye 1,2082 civar\u0131; bu da 27 Ocak\u2019ta g\u00f6r\u00fclen ve Haziran 2021\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviye.<\/p>\n
Destek (support: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin tutunma e\u011filiminde oldu\u011fu seviye) 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA olan 1,1640\u2019ta ve 9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA olan 1,1636\u2019da bulunuyor. Bu seviyelerin alt\u0131nda kanal\u0131n alt band\u0131 olan 1,1500 civar\u0131 ve 13 Mart\u2019taki 8 ay\u0131n dibi 1,1411 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Teknik analiz, bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131 yard\u0131m\u0131yla haz\u0131rland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Nisan 2026 itibar\u0131yla temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm belirgin \u015fekilde de\u011fi\u015fti. Eurostat\u2019\u0131n Mart enflasyonu i\u00e7in \u00f6nc\u00fc tahmini (flash estimate: kesinle\u015fmemi\u015f ilk hesap) %2,4 geldi ve ECB\u2019nin hedefine tam uydu. Bu tablo, merkez bankas\u0131na politikas\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmeden s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme alan\u0131 veriyor ve para birimi i\u00e7in daha sa\u011flam bir zemin olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
Paritenin di\u011fer taraf\u0131nda, vadeli i\u015flem piyasalar\u0131 (futures markets: gelecekte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerin i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc piyasa) bu yaz ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirimi yapma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %70\u2019in \u00fczerine fiyatl\u0131yor. Bu beklenti, ABD i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131n (jobless claims: i\u015fsiz kalanlar\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 haftal\u0131k destek ba\u015fvurusu verisi) 225 bine y\u00fckselmesiyle g\u00fc\u00e7lendi; bu, son d\u00f6rt ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi. Bu iki merkez bankas\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki politika fark\u0131 (policy divergence: farkl\u0131 faiz\/para politikas\u0131 y\u00f6nleri), 2025\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen \u015fekilde EUR\/USD i\u00e7in destekleyici bir r\u00fczg\u00e2r olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 (derivative traders: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerle i\u015flem yapanlar) sert s\u0131\u00e7ramadan \u00e7ok kademeli y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalanan stratejileri de\u011ferlendirebilir. Haziran 2026 vadeli 1,1200 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonu (call option: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) almak, y\u00fckseli\u015fe kat\u0131l\u0131m sa\u011flarken riski s\u0131n\u0131rlar. Z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lan beklenen dalgalanma) \u015fu anda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck; bu da opsiyon alma stratejilerini g\u00f6rece daha ucuz k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
EUR\/USD gap sonras\u0131 1,1690\u2019a toparland\u0131; y\u00fckselen kanalda, 9\/50 EMA \u00fcst\u00fcnde. RSI 56. 1,1750-1,1834 diren\u00e7, 1,1640 destek. Euro enflasyonu %2,4; Fed indirimi %70+, call opsiyon cazip.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44422","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44422","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44422"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44422\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44422"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44422"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44422"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}