NZD\/USD haftaya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle ba\u015flad\u0131 ve ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri anla\u015fma olmadan bitti\u011fi i\u00e7in a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc (ay\u0131) bir fiyat bo\u015flu\u011fu (gap: piyasalar\u0131n kapal\u0131 oldu\u011fu s\u00fcrede fiyat\u0131n bir seviyeden di\u011ferine atlamas\u0131) ile a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131. Parite Asya seans\u0131nda 0,5800 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve negatif b\u00f6lgede kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler yakla\u015f\u0131k 21 saat s\u00fcrd\u00fc ve Pakistan arabuluculuk yapt\u0131, ancak ABD ile \u0130ran anla\u015fmaya varmad\u0131. ABD Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 JD Vance, ABD\u2019nin son teklifini sundu\u011funu s\u00f6ylerken, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bunu kabul etmedi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, ABD Donanmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ablukaya almaya ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klama, iki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkesi riske att\u0131. Geli\u015fmeler ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 desteklerken Yeni Zelanda Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ham Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckseldi; bu durum enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131) ve enerji arz\u0131 endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan ABD verileri, enflasyonun mart ay\u0131nda son yakla\u015f\u0131k d\u00f6rt y\u0131l\u0131n en h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi; bu da Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 (faizleri daha y\u00fcksek tutma) beklentilerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.<\/p>\n
Wall Street Journal, b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerinin birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri yeniden ba\u015flatmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yazd\u0131. Bu haber, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki ek y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131 ve NZD\/USD\u2019nin g\u00fcn i\u00e7i dip seviyesinden hafif toparlanmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda benzer bir tablonun olu\u015ftu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da yeniden artan gerilim petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 itiyor. WTI ham petrol vadeli kontratlar\u0131 (futures: ileri tarihte teslimat i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan standart s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) son bir ayda %6\u2019dan fazla y\u00fckselerek varil ba\u015f\u0131na 91 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu, fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 endi\u015fesini yeniden \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Bu ortam, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen (risk art\u0131nca tercih edilen) ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na destek veriyor.<\/p>\n
Kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon son verilerde de g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor: Mart 2026 ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en ana enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %3,4 artt\u0131. Bu, Fed \u00fczerinde faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutma bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 koruyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, Yeni Zelanda\u2019da a\u00e7\u0131klanan son i\u015f g\u00fcveni endeksi belirgin \u015fekilde geriledi; bu da Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBNZ) Fed kadar \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (hawkish: enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek faiz savunan) bir duru\u015f sergilemekte zorlanabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. \u0130ki \u00fclke para politikas\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, NZD\/USD i\u00e7in net bi\u00e7imde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sinyali veriyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (derivative: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) i\u015flemi yapanlar i\u00e7in bu ortam, NZD\/USD\u2019nin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden ve artan oynakl\u0131ktan (volatility: fiyatlar\u0131n daha sert dalgalanmas\u0131) kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. 0,5750 ve 0,5700 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun i\u015flem hakk\u0131 veren hedef fiyat\u0131) NZD\/USD sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) almak, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketin s\u00fcrmesine kar\u015f\u0131 temkinli bir pozisyonlanma olabilir. Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n y\u00fckselme ihtimali, \u201cimplied volatility\u201dyi (piyasan\u0131n opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 beklenen oynakl\u0131k) art\u0131rabilir; bu da oynakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan faydalanan pozisyonlar\u0131 daha cazip hale getirebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u015eok geli\u015fme: NZD\/USD, ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri sonu\u00e7suz kal\u0131nca ay\u0131 gap ile 0,5800\u2019e geriledi. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz ablukas\u0131 tehdidi ve y\u00fckselen petrol dolar talebini art\u0131rd\u0131; Fed \u015fahin, RBNZ bask\u0131da. Put opsiyonlar\u0131 g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44413","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44413","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44413"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44413\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44413"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44413"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44413"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}