{"id":44390,"date":"2026-04-11T04:21:21","date_gmt":"2026-04-11T04:21:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/aud-usd-karsisinda-yatay-kapandi-piyasa-iyimserligi-dolari-dort-haftanin-en-dusuk-seviyesine-yakin-zayiflatirken-yukari-yonlu-riskler-suruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-04-11T04:21:21","modified_gmt":"2026-04-11T04:21:21","slug":"aud-usd-karsisinda-yatay-kapandi-piyasa-iyimserligi-dolari-dort-haftanin-en-dusuk-seviyesine-yakin-zayiflatirken-yukari-yonlu-riskler-suruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/aud-usd-karsisinda-yatay-kapandi-piyasa-iyimserligi-dolari-dort-haftanin-en-dusuk-seviyesine-yakin-zayiflatirken-yukari-yonlu-riskler-suruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD, USD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yatay kapand\u0131; piyasa iyimserli\u011fi dolar\u0131 d\u00f6rt haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine yak\u0131n zay\u0131flat\u0131rken yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskler s\u00fcr\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Avustralya Dolar\u0131 (AUD), Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda haftay\u0131 neredeyse de\u011fi\u015fmeden kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu. ABD Dolar\u0131 Endeksi (DXY \u2013 dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri sepetine kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferini \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) 98,52 civar\u0131na gerilerken, AUD\/USD paritesi (Avustralya Dolar\u0131\/ABD Dolar\u0131 kuru) 0,7070 \u00e7evresinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Piyasan\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda, hafta sonu yap\u0131lmas\u0131 beklenen ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri vard\u0131; bu geli\u015fme risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) etkileyebilir. AUD\/USD 0,7100 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 olamazken, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc zirve 0,7094 olarak kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<h3>Teknik Seviyeler Ve Son Fiyat Hareketi<\/h3>\n<p>AUD\/USD 0,6962\u2019nin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019y\u0131 (SMA \u2013 son 20 g\u00fcn\u00fcn kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n basit ortalamas\u0131) a\u015fmakta zorland\u0131. Daha sonra 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019y\u0131 0,6978\u2019de yeniden \u00fczerine alarak 0,7000 seviyesini ge\u00e7ti ve haftal\u0131k zirvelere ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fin zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) 0,7100 civar\u0131nda. Sonraki seviyeler 11 Mart\u2019taki y\u0131l i\u00e7i en y\u00fcksek seviye olan 0,7187 ve ard\u0131ndan 0,7200. Destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma beklenen seviye) 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019da 0,7026; ard\u0131ndan 0,7000, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019da 0,6978 ve 6 Nisan\u2019daki dip seviye 0,6875.<\/p>\n<h3>Devam Eden Y\u00fckseli\u015f \u0130\u00e7in Opsiyon Stratejileri<\/h3>\n<p>T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in (fiyat\u0131 d\u00f6viz kurundan t\u00fcreyen \u00fcr\u00fcnler), bu y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi al\u0131m opsiyonu (call \u2013 belirli bir fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almay\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda cazip hale getiriyor. 0,7600 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike \u2013 opsiyonda i\u015flem hakk\u0131n\u0131n verildi\u011fi fiyat) ve May\u0131s vadeli (expiration \u2013 opsiyonun sona erdi\u011fi tarih) call almak, bir sonraki psikolojik e\u015fi\u011fin (yuvarlak ve takip edilen seviye) a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 ihtimaline kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131 (k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck sermayeyle daha b\u00fcy\u00fck pozisyon etkisi) bir maruz kalma sa\u011flayabilir. Bu pozisyon, \u00f6denen prim (premium \u2013 opsiyonun maliyeti) ile maksimum riski s\u0131n\u0131rlarken yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyelden yararlanma imk\u00e2n\u0131 verir.<\/p>\n<p>Daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 iyimser ya da n\u00f6tr bir beklentisi olanlar i\u00e7inse, mevcut deste\u011fin alt\u0131nda nakit teminatl\u0131 sat\u0131m opsiyonu satmak (cash-secured put \u2013 opsiyon kullan\u0131l\u0131rsa al\u0131m i\u00e7in nakit haz\u0131r tutularak put satmak) daha temkinli bir se\u00e7enek olabilir. 0,7450 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 putlar (put \u2013 belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu seviye teknik destek ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama ile \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Bu stratejide, vade sonunda AUD\/USD kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece prim geliri elde edilir.<\/p>\n<p>Paritede ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (implied volatility \u2013 opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da not etmek gerekir; bir ayl\u0131k opsiyonlarda %9-11 band\u0131nda. Bu, 2025 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki jeopolitik gerilim d\u00f6neminde g\u00f6r\u00fclen sert oynakl\u0131k s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131na g\u00f6re belirgin bir fark. Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131 opsiyonlar\u0131 g\u00f6rece ucuzlat\u0131r ve yukar\u0131 potansiyelden fayda sa\u011flayan stratejileri destekler.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD haftay\u0131 yatay kapat\u0131rken g\u00f6zler ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde: DXY 98,52\u2019ye geriledi, parite 0,7070\u2019te. 0,7100 direnci kritik; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oynakl\u0131k call\/put stratejilerini cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44390","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44390","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44390"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44390\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44390"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44390"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44390"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}